Published February 26, 2026 | Version v1
Journal article Open

Estimation of Scores and Prediction of Ranks - A Study Based on NIRF Ranks of Engineering Colleges

Authors/Creators

  • 1. Research Scholar, Manipal Institute of Technology, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal - 576104, India.
  • 2. Associate Professor of Mathematics, Manipal Institute of Technology, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal - 576104, India.

Description

National Institutional Ranking Framework (NIRF) is a ranking methodology to assess the performance of the institutions of higher education in India. The scores and rankings of reputed institutes in India are released every year since 2016. The present paper predicts the scores for ranks for future years using time series approach. Regression models using linear and quadratic trend components are built for selected rankings. The models are assessed using the coefficient of determination and forecast accuracy measures. It is observed that the predicted scores are very close to the original scores. The official results of NIRF for 2024 and 2025 support the findings. Based on this, scores for 2026 are also estimated.

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