IIASA - Biodiversity and Natural Resources programme (BNR)
Published April 27, 2026 | Version 1.0.0
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GLOBIOM projections for the quantification of the VITAL-Paths-Food pathways in RAINFOREST deliverable D5.3

Authors/Creators

  • 1. ROR icon International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
  • 2. ROR icon Zhejiang University
  • 3. ROR icon Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre
  • 4. ROR icon Senckenberg Society for Nature Research
  • 5. RHEINISCHE FRIEDRICH-WILHELMS-UNIVERSITAT BONN (UBO)
  • 6. ROR icon Radboud University Nijmegen
  • 7. NTNU Fakultet for ingeniorvitenskap og teknologi Trondheim

Description

Supplement for RAINFOREST D5.3 deliverable  (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19789240) including output data for the quantitative projections, and code to generate related figures in the deliverable (Figures 1-32). The deliverable analyzes quantitative projections to 2050 generated with the GLOBIOM model for the VITAL-Paths-Food pathways. These are contrasted pathways of transformative change in the food and biomass supply chains towards climate-, nature- and people-positive futures. The pathways represent consistent and contrasted groupings of value perspectives about environmental justice (based on the AJUST framework) and human-nature relationships (based on the NFF framework). The scenarios for which a quantification is provided include:

  • 1 business-as-usual future (as a counterfactual),
  • 3 contrasted pathways, designed to meet global biodiversity, climate and human well-being goals.
  • 15 decomposition scenarios, picturing subsets of the interventions constituting each pathway, allowing to understand the effect of those on the projected outcomes.

The projections provide indicators related to efforts (understood as deviations to the BAU interns of indirect drivers, e.g., changes in consumption, trade and production volumes, adoption of sustainable production practices and area under restoration) and impacts (understood as deviations to the BAU in terms of direct drivers and environmental and socio-economic impacts, e.g., land use, GHG emissions, nutrient and pesticide input use, average ecological intactness and species extinction risks from agricultural products, value of agricultural production, labor requirements for crop production, undernourishment, health impacts from food consumption).

Files

GLOBIOM_outputs_D53_VITAL-PATH-FOOD.csv

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Additional details

Related works

Is supplement to
Project deliverable: 10.5281/zenodo.19789240 (DOI)
References
Project deliverable: https://rainforest-horizon.eu/deliverables/D1.2_final%20submission.pdf (URL)
Model: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/18996/ (URL)

Funding

European Commission
RAINFOREST - Co-produced transformative knowledge to accelerate change for biodiversity 101081744