Published December 24, 2000 | Version v1

Machine Learning Models for Climate Prediction and Adaptation in Guinea

  • 1. Department of Data Science, Gamal Abdel Nasser University of Conakry
  • 2. Gamal Abdel Nasser University of Conakry
  • 3. Department of Cybersecurity, Institut Supérieur des Sciences et Médecine Vétérinaire
  • 4. Department of Data Science, Institut Supérieur des Sciences et Médecine Vétérinaire

Description

Climate change poses significant challenges to Guinea's agricultural productivity and socio-economic development. Machine learning algorithms were employed on historical weather data from the National Meteorological Agency of Guinea, including temperature and precipitation patterns over a decade (-). The machine learning models achieved an R-squared value of 0.78 for predicting temperature variations and 0.65 for rainfall predictions. The models demonstrated high predictive power, with potential to inform climate-resilient agricultural practices in Guinea. Implement the recommended climate adaptation strategies based on the machine learning-predicted climate scenarios. Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.

Files

zenodo.18718564.pdf

Files (100.8 kB)

Name Size
md5:95e3ad7b98258f4080bb12bab2d0cf7c
16.7 kB Download
md5:1a25400322b2ee60b9e4baae54a112e6
84.2 kB Preview Download