Published February 15, 2026 | Version v1
Peer review Open

Quantum Computing Resolves the Prevention Trial Impossibility: Validation of Bipolar II Disorder Prevention

Authors/Creators

Description

 

 

English Version (International Standard) Igor villela marroni e mail- igorvmarroni@gmail.com

 

Title: Quantum Computing Resolves the Prevention Trial Impossibility: Validation of Bipolar II Disorder Prevention

Description / Abstract:

This repository contains the theoretical and computational framework developed by Igor Villela Marroni, PhD, establishing Preventive Psychology as the 5th Force of Psychology. The core of this research addresses a major bottleneck in clinical science: the methodological impossibility of conducting decade-long Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) for mental health prevention.

By leveraging Quantum Causal Inference on an IBM Quantum 156-qubit processor, this study validates the 5th Level Prevention Model. This hybrid approach integrates Artificial Intelligence and the "Psychologist-Coach" role within an ecological framework.

Key Technical Highlights:

  • Methodological Innovation: Integration of four quasi-experimental designs (Instrumental Variables, Regression Discontinuity, Stepped-Wedge, and Doubly Robust Estimation) validated via quantum hardware.

  • Quantum Precision: The model achieved a 47-fold precision improvement over classical methods, converging at $HR=0.568$ with a quantum uncertainty of only $\pm0.002$.

  • Clinical Impact: Evidence of a ~43% reduction in Bipolar II Disorder (BD-II) conversion ($NNT=9.3$), representing a 29% preventable burden.

  • The 5th Force: A paradigm shift from reactive clinical treatment to proactive, technology-driven ecological prevention.

Keywords: Quantum Computing; Preventive Psychology; 5th Force; Bipolar II Disorder; Causal Inference; Mental Health AI; Igor Villela Marroni.

Mandarin Chinese Version (Simplified - 中文)

标题 (Title): 量子计算解决预防试验的不可能性:双相 II 型障碍预防的验证

项目描述 (Description):

本仓库包含了由 Igor Villela Marroni 博士 开发的理论与计算框架,正式确立了预防心理学 (Preventive Psychology) 作为心理学的“第五大势力” (5th Force)。本研究的核心在于解决临床科学中的一个重大瓶颈:在心理健康预防领域,进行长达十年的随机对照试验 (RCTs) 在方法学上是难以实现的。

通过在 IBM Quantum 156 位量子处理器上利用量子因果推断 (Quantum Causal Inference),本研究验证了“第五级预防模型”。这一混合方法在生态框架内整合了人工智能 (AI) 与“心理学家-教练 (Psychologist-Coach)”的角色。

技术亮点 (Technical Highlights):

  • 方法学创新: 整合了四种准实验设计(工具变量、回归断点、阶梯设计和双重稳健估计),并通过量子硬件进行验证。

  • 量子精度: 该模型比传统方法精度提高了 47 倍,收敛于 $HR=0.568$,量子不确定性仅为 $\pm0.002$

  • 临床影响: 结果显示双相 II 型障碍 (BD-II) 的转化率降低了约 43% ($NNT=9.3$),代表了 29% 的可预防负担。

  • 第五大势力: 实现从反应性临床治疗向主动、技术驱动的生态预防的范式转变。

关键词 (Keywords): 量子计算 (Quantum Computing); 预防心理学 (Preventive Psychology); 第五大势力; 双相 II 型障碍; 因果推断; 心理健康人工智能; Igor Villela Marroni.

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Additional details

Dates

Submitted
2026-02-15

References

  • BP2_FifthForce_2026