Spectral Detection of Logistical Phase Transitions in Pandemics: A Multi-Node Early Warning Framework
Authors/Creators
Description
This paper introduces a novel computational method for detecting imminent logistical collapse in healthcare infrastructure during pandemic surges. Using the Unified Field Theory-Formalism (UFT-F), we derive a spectral norm indicator, $||V||_{L^{1}}$, which identifies "manifold folding" events—points where hospital coordination becomes non-invertible and NP-hard.
Key Features:
-
Empirical Validation: Backtested against NYC, LA, and Chicago COVID-19 waves with a reproducible 5–15 day lead time before logistical crises.
-
Multi-Node Modeling: Includes a metapopulation mobility simulation showing how logistical stress propagates across urban hubs.
-
Fixed Parameterization: Demonstrates results using identical parameters ($\alpha=13, \beta=100$) across diverse datasets to ensure falsifiability.
-
Operational Protocol: Includes a standardized surveillance protocol for public health professionals to monitor system stability in real-time.
LODES files are too large/public — link to https://lehd.ces.census.gov/data/lodes/ instead of uploading them.
Files
aPossiblePandemicApproach.pdf
Files
(1.4 MB)
| Name | Size | Download all |
|---|---|---|
|
md5:d89170b24079535393252a28b997b357
|
1.3 MB | Preview Download |
|
md5:91bc1fd14a6e79ad523dd55a4af36f5b
|
7.9 kB | Download |
|
md5:38f2a82979cec642b0220986c1f1cf81
|
7.2 kB | Download |
|
md5:f0a6dfc187bfef9142c0bcb06e01f301
|
10.1 kB | Download |
|
md5:8d7320c0809e96a0c0c86b94a3a1109b
|
8.0 kB | Download |
|
md5:80d8ec903bf5908407962c4b189941ac
|
3.1 kB | Download |
|
md5:29fc0caf495698f3fbce187eab6e18a3
|
7.5 kB | Download |
Additional details
Related works
- Is supplement to
- Publication: 10.5281/zenodo.18087952 (DOI)
- Publication: 10.5281/zenodo.17566371 (DOI)