Finance and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Further Evidence from Diasporal Remittance
Authors/Creators
Description
This study investigates the relationship between financial inflows and economic growth in Nigeria, with a
particular focus on diaspora remittances as a complementary and sustainable source of development
finance. Traditional external financial flows such as foreign direct investment (FDI) and official
development assistance (ODA) have often proved insufficient or inconsistent due to global economic
fluctuations, political conditions, and structural limitations. In contrast, remittance inflows have grown
steadily over the study period, suggesting potential for stimulating economic growth. The study examines
the contribution of remittances to real GDP growth, alongside bank credit, FDI, ODA, exchange rate
movements, and inflation, using annual data spanning ten years. Descriptive statistics revealed consistent
growth in remittance inflows, while FDI and ODA showed volatility over the period. Correlation analysis
indicated a positive relationship between remittances and GDP growth (r = 0.62), indicating a moderately
strong association, whereas inflation and exchange rate volatility were negatively correlated with growth
(r = -0.41 and -0.35, respectively). Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression analysis further quantified
these effects, showing that a 1% increase in remittances is associated with an average 0.28% increase in
GDP, holding other factors constant. Bank credit contributed positively, especially when directed toward
productive sectors, while FDI exhibited a statistically insignificant effect due to short-term portfolio
investments. Inflation and exchange rate volatility exerted statistically significant negative effects on
economic growth. The findings highlight that diaspora remittances can serve as an effective growth driver
if channeled into productive investments and integrated within the formal financial system. High transfer
costs and limited financial sector efficiency reduce the developmental impact of these flows. The study
therefore recommends policies to deepen financial inclusion, incentivize diaspora investment, stabilize
macroeconomic conditions, improve transparency in ODA utilization, and attract sustainable FDI.