Published November 27, 2025 | Version v3
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Satellite megaconstellations will threaten space-based astronomy

  • 1. ROR icon Ames Research Center

Contributors

Project manager:

Project member:

  • 1. ROR icon Ames Research Center
  • 2. ROR icon National Aeronautics and Space Administration

Description

Satellite megaconstellations will threaten space-based astronomy

Authors: Alejandro S. Borlaff, Pamela M. Marcum, Steve B. Howell.

Contact: a.s.borlaff@nasa.gov

Nature - Publication date: December 3rd, 2025. 
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-09759-5
Article: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09759-5

 

This repository contains the results from a series of simulations of satellite
trails in space telescopes. In particular, the properties listed contain the
position, velocity, and surface brightness of satellite trails, as well as the
properties related to the observers, Hubble Space Telescope, SPHEREx,
Xuntian, and ARRAKIHS (Future F-class ESA mission). In addition to the 
science data (described below) the repository contains three media resources
(outreach media images and videos).

simulated_satellite_trails_cover_Borlaff_2025.png
md5:920dc67bb73f493d2ab4389d3fd27767
A simulated image representing the projected contamination by satellite trails in one of the future space telescopes. The stripes of light reflected from artificial telecommunication satellites outshine the otherwise pristine image of two galaxies interacting in the background, hindering the potential discoveries that might lie below. Credit: NASA / Borlaff, Marcum, Howell (Nature, 2025)
growth_out.mp4
md5:01353d5b8f07e3898e73fa434d96ecf9
Historic increase of the number of active satellites in orbit since 1958 to 2040. Credit: NASA / Borlaff, Marcum, Howell (Nature, 2025)
orbit_clutter_v4.mp4
md5:377c008e00e644b12b7f041881a32500
Structure of proposed satellite telecommunication constellations in Low Earth Orbit from 1958 to 2037 (predicted). The altitude of satellites is compared to the orbits of Hubble Space Telescope, Xuntian Space Telescope (CSST), SPHEREx, and proposed ARRAKIHS mission. Credit: NASA / Borlaff, Marcum, Howell (Nature, 2025)


Science data:

The repository contains all the data produced on the article. 
These are organized in two folders with 4 files each, one per telescope.

.
 |-TRAILS
 | |-HST_sat_trails.csv
 | |-ARRAKIHS_sat_trails.csv
 | |-SPHEREx_sat_trails.csv
 | |-CSST_sat_trails.csv
 | |- ntrails_vs_nsats_table.csv

 |-SPECTRA
 | |-SPHEREx_trail_flux.fits
 | |-HST_trail_flux.fits
 | |-ARRAKIHS_trail_flux.fits
 | |-CSST_trail_flux.fits
 | |- mu_vs_wave.csv

 |-ReadMe.txt

TRAILS contains five astropy csv tables, containing the properties of the
satellite trail observations, divided by telescope and exposure
(track_id / nsats), and the average properties per number of satellites (ntrails_vs_nsats_table.csv)
Consult the header on each table for more details a
bout the columns.

SPECTRA contains four multiextension FITS files, containing the spectral
energy distribution of the satellite trails as a function of wavelength,
and the average properties per wavelength (mu_vs_wave.csv).
The structure of the FITS files is:

0      INFO            no-data         0
1      WAVELENGTH      float64         100       # Contains the wavelength for the spectra (in m)
2      TOTAL_FLUX      float64         NTRAILSx100  # Total surface brightness for each trail [Axis 0: Trail, Axis 1: Wavelength]
3      EARTHSHINE      float64         NTRAILSx100  # Surface brightness produced by Earthshine [Axis 0: Trail, Axis 1: Wavelength]
4      MOONSHINE       float64         NTRAILSx100  # Surface brightness produced by Moonshine [Axis 0: Trail, Axis 1: Wavelength]
5      SUNSHINE        float64         NTRAILSx100  # Surface brightness produced by Sunshine [Axis 0: Trail, Axis 1: Wavelength]
6      THERMAL_SUN     float64         NTRAILSx100  # Surface brightness produced by Earth reflected thermal emission [Axis 0: Trail, Axis 1: Wavelength]
7      THERMAL_SAT     float64         NTRAILSx100  # Surface brightness produced by Thermal satellite emission [Axis 0: Trail, Axis 1: Wavelength]

 

See also:

DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-09759-5
Article: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09759-5

Files

growth_out.mp4

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Additional details

Related works

Is described by
Publication: 10.1038/s41586-025-09759-5 (DOI)

Funding

Space Telescope Science Institute
Hubble Cycle 30 HST-AR-17041

Dates

Submitted
2025-04-09
Submitted to Nature
Updated
2025-06-20
Second iteration with Nature
Accepted
2025-08-15
Accepted for publication in Nature
Updated
2025-11-27
Released for media access (pre-release)