Published September 25, 2025 | Version v1
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Super-Typhoon Ragasa likely strengthened by human-driven climate change

  • 1. CNRS Délégation Ile-de-France Sud
  • 2. ROR icon Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia
  • 3. ROR icon National University of Singapore

Description

  • Cyclones similar to Super Typhoon Ragasa are locally up to 10 mm/day (about 10%) wetter, around 1°C warmer, and roughly 4% windier today than in the past.

  • Super Typhoon Ragasa's exceptional intensity and track make it a rare weather event with limited past analogues, and observed changes remain scattered.

  • We mostly ascribe the heavier precipitation in Super Typhoon Ragasa to human driven climate change and natural climate variability likely played a modest role.

 

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