Published February 10, 2026 | Version v1
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Data and code from: Environmental drivers of metapopulation dynamics throughout the full annual cycle in a declining Arctic-nesting migratory herbivore

  • 1. University of Saskatchewan
  • 2. Aarhus University
  • 3. National Parks and Wildlife Service
  • 4. Wildfowl & Wetlands Trust

Description

Assessing the impacts of changing environmental conditions on animal species requires a thorough understanding of population dynamics, which can be difficult to estimate when animals aggregate into spatially discrete subpopulations. We used 39 years of fecundity, capture-recapture, and abundance data in an integrated metapopulation model to study environmental drivers of demography in a declining migratory bird, the Greenland white-fronted goose (Anser albifrons flavirostris). We found that low fecundity due to earlier spring vegetation phenology on staging areas and increased snow on breeding areas explained metapopulation decline, though the strength of these effects varied by subpopulation. Differential immigration and emigration rates affected local wintering abundance trends, highlighting the importance of quantifying subpopulation-metapopulation dynamics for understanding fragmented animal populations. We provide a framework for extending commonly used integrated population models to a metapopulation framework for testing novel ecological hypotheses about how changing environmental conditions within and among subpopulations can drive changes in animal abundance.

Notes

Funding provided by: National Parks and Wildlife Service
ROR ID: https://ror.org/03xkf7525
Award Number:

Funding provided by: Ducks Unlimited Canada
ROR ID: https://ror.org/04p45sn64
Award Number:

Funding provided by: Ducks Unlimited
ROR ID: https://ror.org/01kdv5654
Award Number:

Funding provided by: Ducks Unlimited Canada
ROR ID: https://ror.org/04p45sn64
Award Number:

Funding provided by: University of Missouri
ROR ID: https://ror.org/02ymw8z06
Award Number:

Funding provided by: University of Saskatchewan
ROR ID: https://ror.org/010x8gc63
Award Number:

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Additional details

Related works

Is source of
10.5061/dryad.sqv9s4nd7 (DOI)