Published November 7, 2024 | Version v1
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Heavy precipitations in October 2024 South-Eastern Spain DANA mostly strengthened by human-driven climate change

  • 1. CNRS Délégation Ile-de-France Sud
  • 2. Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici
  • 3. CNRS

Description

  • Depressions similar to the October 2024 DANA that caused floods in southeastern Spain are up to 7 mm/day (an increase of up to 15%) wetter over the Mediterranean coast of Spain in the present than they would have been in the past. Additionally, conditions are up to 4°C warmer in the present compared to the past, which favors the formation of thunderstorms over the Mediterranean basin during DANA events.

  • The October 2024 DANA was driven by very exceptional meteorological conditions. 

  • We mostly ascribe the strengthened precipitation of the October 2024 DANA to human driven climate change and natural climate variability likely played a modest role.

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