Published April 29, 2024 | Version v1
Dataset Open

What can we learn from 100,000 freshwater forecasts? A synthesis from the NEON Ecological Forecasting Challenge: scores and targets

Authors/Creators

Description

This data publication contains the zipped scores parquet database and the targets used in the analysis for the NEON Challenge aquatics synthesis: scores.zip contains evaluated forecast scores, targets.zip contains in-situ water temperature and dissolved oxygen data generated for the Challenge, and Model_descriptions.csv contains the meta data for the submitted models used in the analysis. 

scores: this is the primary dataset used in the manuscript. The database includes the scores (forecasts evaluated against observations).

targets: these are the data used to evaluate the forecast (observations) and were also available to forecast teams in near-real time.  The R script included in this folder (aquatics_targets.R) is intended for reference only and cannot be run. 

Model_descriptions.csv: table of summarised meta data on forecast model approaches submitted by forecast teams. This includes whether the forecasts include (1) or exclude (0) each source of uncertainty/initial conditions/model updating, which covariates are included, and the reported model class. 

Files

Model_descriptions.csv

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Additional details

Funding

U.S. National Science Foundation
NEON RCN: The Ecological Forecasting Initiative RCN: Using NEON-enabled near-term forecasting to synthesize our understanding of predictability across ecological systems and scales 1926388
U.S. National Science Foundation
Collaborative Research: CIBR: Cyberinfrastructure Enabling End-to-End Workflows for Aquatic Ecosystem Forecasting 1933016
U.S. National Science Foundation
MSA: Macrosystems EDDIE: An undergraduate training program in macrosystems science and ecological forecasting 1926050
U.S. National Science Foundation
Graduate Research Fellowship (GRFP) 1840995
U.S. National Science Foundation
Collaborative Research: Consequences of changing oxygen availability for carbon cycling in freshwater ecosystems 1753639
U.S. National Science Foundation
Collaborative Research: Frameworks: DeCODER (Democratized Cyberinfrastructure for Open Discovery to Enable Research) 2209866