Case study n°5: Agricultural drought in the light of climate change. The case of Austria - Lessons learned. (english, long version)(D3.4.5)

The case study aims to assess the risk of agricultural drought in the province of Salzburg. The study utilizes various methods such as impact chains, stakeholder dialogues, workshops, and a quantitative risk assessment that co-develops the drivers of drought and adapts accordingly. The study applies causal loop diagrams, integrates systems modelling approaches, and uses a spatial regionalization approach that is independent of administrative boundaries. The study is at the beginning of adaptation planning and focuses on gathering qualitative data through stakeholder interactions and quantitative data from open government data portals. The expected results are spatial risk maps, insights on stakeholder consultation, and an improved methodology of impact chains. The case study takes into consideration various stakeholders including governmental institutions, farmer associations, farmers, insurance representatives, and scientists. The objective is to assess the drought risk in the municipality of Salzburg by taking into account not just the negative water balance but also procedural, financial, political and environmental aspects. The results are intended to raise awareness among the stakeholders and provide a holistic perspective on the risk aspects. The assessment focuses on the future risk and assesses if the probability of dry and wet years will increase between 2021-2050 and 2071-2100 compared to 1981-2010.