Published December 15, 2022 | Version v1

Methodology for predicting the potential bankruptcy of an enterprise

Authors/Creators

Description

The subject of the study is a set of methodical features of the implementation of the financial
status and forecasting the threat of bankruptcy of the enterprise.
The purpose of writing the article is to study the theoretical aspects of the analysis for the
purpose of forecasting the bankruptcy of an enterprise based on the results of a decrease in its
solvency.
Methodology of the work – in the process of writing this article, general scientific and specific
methods were used, in particular, economic and logical methods and methods of economic analysis;
graphical and tabular methods were used for visual presentation and generalization of the results of
the calculations.
The results of the work – the classification of bankruptcy diagnostics was studied, the stages
of the onset of a crisis state and threats at the enterprise were studied, a system of prevention,
forecasting and overcoming of bankruptcy by a business entity was proposed, discriminatory models
of forecasting the financial capacity of a business entity were considered.
Conclusions – the current state of the economy requires the creation of a general algorithm for
forecasting the probability of bankruptcy of an enterprise, taking into account both domestic and foreign
experience. For a more reasonable forecast, it is necessary to use several methods of forecasting the
bankruptcy of economic entities at the same time, which will allow to significantly increase the degree
of quality and accuracy of the obtained results and to take preventive measures in order to restore
the solvency of the enterprise.

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