Gartner Hype Cycle as a Methodology for Analysing the Patterns of Development of Information and Communication Technologies
Description
The purpose of the article is to characterise the Gartner Hype Cycle methodology as an attempt to identify patterns of development of modern information and communication technologies. The research methodology is based on the application of a general scientific group of formal-logical methods, such as analysis, synthesis, abstraction, and systemic and structural-functional approaches. The scientific novelty is that the paper expands the idea of methods of analysis of trends and patterns of development of modern information and communication technologies, draws attention to the need to take into account existing methods of assessing the development of ICT in humanities to obtain more sound conclusions. The article emphasises the need for a comprehensive and thorough analysis within humanities achievements, trends, patterns, and prospects for developing information and communication technologies — one of the key factors in modern society. The classification of ICT is given, which is based on taking into account the types and methods of obtaining and processing information. A detailed analysis of the Gartner Hype Cycle methodology is provided; attention is paid to its shortcomings. Conclusions. It is emphasised that since the field of information and communication technologies is subject to constant changes and extremely fast, and most importantly — unpredictable development almost every minute, every change of generations of information technology requires not just training and retraining, but a radical change in thinking of professionals and users, equipment, etc. It is noted that the development and use in many areas of human life NBIC-technologies necessitate, firstly, the acceptance of the inevitability of the process of application of advanced technologies, no matter how incredible and fantastic the consequences of their implementation, and secondly — consistent cultural understanding and adequate support of achievements and risks associated with this process.
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References
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