Creation of a forecasting information system in epidemiology based on mathematical modeling
Authors/Creators
- 1. Doctoral Student, Department of Informatics and Information Security, L.N. Gumilyov Eurasian National University, Satpayev str. 2, Nur-Sultan 010000, Kazakhstan E-mail: alyoka.01@mail.ru
- 2. PhD in Technical Sciences, Associate Professor, Department of Informatics and Information Security, L. N. Gumilyov Eurasian National University, Satpayev str. 2, Nur-Sultan 010000, Kazakhstan E-mail: aliya_kint@mail.ru
- 3. Doctor of Medicine, Professor, Medical University of Karaganda, Gogol str. 40, Karaganda 100008, Kazakhstan E-mail: nctabriz@mail.ru
- 4. PhD in Medical Sciences, Medical University of Karaganda, Gogol str. 40, Karaganda 100008, Kazakhstan E-mail: knaus@mail.ru
- 5. PhD in Technical Sciences, Associate Professor, Department of Computer Engineering, L.N. Gumilyov Eurasian National University, Satpayev str. 2, Nur-Sultan 010000, Kazakhstan E-mail: demidchik_n_n@mail.ru
Description
The article is devoted to the problem of using mathematical methods for forecasting the tuberculosis epidemic in Kazakhstan using the example of the Karaganda region. The introduction of the article reflects the problem of forecasting tuberculosis in Kazakhstan. The main part of the article reflects the results of the analysis of mathematical methods for forecasting and data processing technology, describes the mathematical analysis of epidemiological indicators made with the SPSS statistical program, describes the factors affecting the incidence among contact persons, and calculates the correlation coefficient.The article shows the importance of mathematical modeling and the importance of developing a specific mathematical model that describes the spread of infection among the population.
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