Calculation of Paris-Compatible Emission Paths with the ESPM Using the Example of the EU
The Extended Smooth Pathway Model (ESPM) presented here provides a framework for allocating a global CO2 budget to countries and deriving national emission paths. Exemplary emission targets are shown for the EU. The derivation of Paris-compatible emission paths, however, requires science-based political decisions about the global budget, its distribution, the potential for future net negative emissions and the course of national emission paths.
Brief description of the ESPM
Updates of the article in the journal Wirtschaftsdienst (see "Working paper" on the right side)
Detailed working paper (Version: 27/03/2021)
Comprehensive mathematical description of the RM Scenario Types 1 - 6 (see "Technical note" on the right side)
Excel tool for calculating the exemplary results in the journal article (see "Software" (version 33.0) on the right side)
Siehe Links auf der rechten Seite zu neueren Versionen.