Journal article Open Access

Calculation of Paris-Compatible Emission Paths with the ESPM Using the Example of the EU

Wiegand, Daniel; Sargl, Manfred; Doerenbruch, Kerstin; Wittmann, Günter; Wolfsteiner, Andreas

The Extended Smooth Pathway Model (ESPM) presented here provides a framework for allocating a global CO2 budget to countries and deriving national emission paths. Exemplary emission targets are shown for the EU. The derivation of Paris-compatible emission paths, however, requires science-based political decisions about the global budget, its distribution, the potential for future net negative emissions and the course of national emission paths.

Additional material::

  • Brief description of the ESPM
  • Updates of the article in the journal Wirtschaftsdienst (see "Working paper" on the right side)
  • Detailed working paper (Version: 27/03/2021)
  • Comprehensive mathematical description of the RM Scenario Types 1 - 6 (see "Technical note" on the right side)
  • Excel tool for calculating the exemplary results in the journal article (see "Software" (version 33.0) on the right side)
Siehe Links auf der rechten Seite zu neueren Versionen.
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ESPM_Background.pdf
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ESPM_Wirtschaftsdienst_21-02.pdf
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ESPM_working_paper_EU_21-03-27.pdf
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