Journal article Open Access

Calculation of Paris-Compatible Emission Paths with the ESPM Using the Example of the EU

Wiegand, Daniel; Sargl, Manfred; Doerenbruch, Kerstin; Wittmann, Günter; Wolfsteiner, Andreas

The Extended Smooth Pathway Model (ESPM) presented here provides a framework for allocating a global CO2 budget to countries and deriving national emission paths. Exemplary emission targets are shown for the EU. The derivation of Paris-compatible emission paths, however, requires science-based political decisions about the global budget, its distribution, the potential for future net negative emissions and the course of national emission paths.

A brief description of the ESPM, a comprehensive mathematical description of the RM Scenario Types 1 - 6, the Excel tool for calculating the exemplary results in the journal article and a detailed working paper are offered as additional material.
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ESPM_Background.pdf
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ESPM_Wirtschaftsdienst_21-02.pdf
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ESPM_working_paper_EU_21-03-27.pdf
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RM-Scenario-Types.pdf
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Tool_Paths_RM_Scenario_Types_29_1.xlsm
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