On the validity of the state space correspondence strategy based on k-nearest neighbor cross-predictability in assessing directionality in stochastic systems Application to cardiorespiratory coupling estimation

We tested the validity of the state space correspondence (SSC) strategy based on k-nearest neighbor cross-predictability (KNNCP) to assess the directionality of coupling in stochastic nonlinear bivariate autoregressive (NBAR) processes. The approach was applied to assess closed-loop cardiorespiratory interactions between heart period (HP) variability and respiration (R) during a controlled respiration (CR) protocol in 19 healthy humans (aged from 27 to 35 yrs, 11 females) and during active standing (STAND) in 25 athletes (aged from 20 to 40 yrs, all men) and 25 non-athletes (aged from 20 to 40 yrs, all men). Over simulated NBAR processes, we found that (i) the SSC approach can detect the correct causal relationship as the direction leads to better KNNCP from the past of the driver to the future state of the target and (ii) simulations suggest that the ability of the method is preserved in any condition of complexity of the interacting series. Over CR and STAND protocols, we found that (a) slowing the breathing rate increases the strength of the causal relationship in both temporal directions in a balanced modality; (b) STAND is more powerful in modulating the coupling strength on the pathway from HP to R; (c) regardless of protocol and experimental condition, the strength of the link from HP to R is stronger than that from R to HP; (d) significant causal relationships in both temporal directions are found regardless of the level of complexity of HP variability and R. The SSC strategy is useful to disentangle closed-loop cardiorespiratory interactions.