Published October 30, 2014 | Version v1
Journal article Open

EFFICIENT PREDICTIVE MODELLING FOR ARCHAEOLOGICAL RESEARCH

  • 1. 31st Ephorate of Prehistoric and Classical Antiquities, Archaeological Museum of Avdera, 67100, Avdera, Xanthi, Greece
  • 2. Department of Cultural Technology and Communication, University of the Aegean, University Hill, building of Geography, Off.2.14, 81-100, Mytilene, Lesvos, Greece
  • 3. ATHENA Research Centre, University Campus at Kimmeria, 67100, Xanthi, Greece

Description

The study presents a general methodology for designing, developing and implementing predictive modelling for identifying areas of archaeological interest. The methodology is based on documented archaeological data and geographical factors, geospatial analysis and predictive modelling, and has been applied to the identification of possible Macedonian tombs’ locations in Northern Greece. The model was tested extensively and the results were validated using a commonly used predictive gain, which proved the efficiency of the model’s predictive ability and its capability in providing answers to a series of questions related to  archaeological research issues.

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