Published January 10, 2018 | Version v1

Fitting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck-type Student's t-processes in Stan with applications for population dynamics data

Authors/Creators

  • 1. Stanford University

Description

Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes are a mean reverting process and is used to model dynamics in biology, physics, and finance. I fit an extension of the OU process that is driven by a Lévy process with Student's t-marginals rather than Brownian motion with Gaussian marginals, which allows for heavy-tailed increments. I implement four formulations of the Student-t OU-type model in Stan and compare the sampling performance on both real and simulated population dynamic data.

Notes

Code and data available at github.com/stan-dev/stancon_talks

Files

student_ou.pdf

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