UPDATE: Zenodo migration postponed to Oct 13 from 06:00-08:00 UTC. Read the announcement.

Journal article Open Access

A Possible Declining Trend for Worldwide Innovation

Huebner, Jonathan

A comparison is made between a model of technology in which the level of technology advances exponentially without limit and a model with an economic limit. The model with an economic limit best fits data obtained from lists of events in the history of science and technology as well as the patent history in the United States. The rate of innovation peaked in the year 1873 and is now rapidly declining. We are at an estimated 85% of the economic limit of technology, and it is projected that we will reach 90% in 2018 and 95% in 2038.
Files (99.8 kB)
Name Size
article.pdf
md5:19ce038a25ba48c0a0121a9e6561f887
99.8 kB Download
1,307
1,127
views
downloads
Views 1,307
Downloads 1,127
Data volume 112.4 MB
Unique views 1,266
Unique downloads 1,063

Share

Cite as