Journal article Open Access

PROBABILISTIC MODEL FOR AIRPORT RUNWAY SAFETY AREAS

SZABO, Stanislav; VITTEK, Peter; KRAUS, Jakub; PLOS, Vladimír; LALIŠ, Andrej; ŠTUMPER, Marek; VAJDOVÁ, Iveta

The Laboratory of Aviation Safety and Security at CTU in Prague has recently started a project aimed at runway protection zones. The probability of exceeding by a certain distance from the runway in common incident/accident scenarios (take-off/landing overrun/veer-off, landing undershoot) is being identified relative to the runway for any airport. As a result, the size and position of safety areas around runways are defined for the chosen probability. The basis for probability calculation is a probabilistic model using statistics from more than 1400 real-world cases where jet airplanes have been involved over the last few decades. Other scientific studies have contributed to understanding the issue and supported the model's application to different conditions.
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