Data accompanying the manuscript "Assessing the Probability of Extremely Low Wind Energy Production in Europe at Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Time Scales"

This dataset contains time series of wind energy production aggregated over France and Europe, obtained from a 1000-year climate simulation from the CESM model (version 1.2.2, Hurrel et al. 2013), coupled to a simple energy model to compute grid-point capacity factor from surface wind. Wind power is then computed by multiplying the capacity factor by the installed capacity, taken from 5 e-Highway scenarios (X5, X7, X10, X13 and X16), and integrated over the regions of interest. More details about the climate simulation, wind energy model and installed capacity scenarios can be found in the associated manuscript, "Assessing the Probability of Extremely Low Wind Energy Production in Europe at Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Time Scales" (Cozian et al. 2023).

The data is organized into 10 files for France and 10 files for Europe. In each case, the 10 files correspond to 10 batches of 100 years each, with 3-hourly output. Each file contains 5 time series corresponding to the 5 installed capacity scenarios.

References

• Hurrell J W, Holland M M, Gent P R, Ghan S, Kay J E, Kushner P J, Lamarque J F, Large W G, Lawrence D, Lindsay K, Lipscomb W H, Long M C, Mahowald N, Marsh D R, Neale R B, Rasch P, Vavrus S, Vertenstein M, Bader D, Collins W D, Hack J J, Kiehl J and Marshall S (2013). The community earth system model: A framework for collaborative research. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, 1339–1360. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00121.1
• e-Highway 2050 (2015). Europe's future secure and sustainable electricity infrastructure. https://docs.entsoe.eu/baltic-conf/bites/www.e-highway2050.eu/results
• Cozian B, Herbert C and Bouchet F (2023). Assessing the Probability of Extremely Low Wind Energy Production in Europe at Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Time Scales. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2311.13526