Database of peer-reviewed futures works reviewed within the snowball sampling of literature and addressing reviewers’ comments in IPBES Values Assessment Chapter 5,
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Nr,Source document
1,"Aguiar, A. P., Collste, D., Harmáčková, Z. V., Pereira, L., Selomane, O., Galafassi, D., van Vuuren, D., van der Leeuw, S. Co-designing global target seeking scenarios: a cross-scale participatory process for capturing multiple perspectives on pathways to sustainability. Global Environmental Change"
2,"Bazilian, M., Bradshaw, M., Goldthau, A., Westphal, K. 2019. Model and manage the changing geopolitics of energy. Nature 569, 29–31. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-01312-5"
3,"Bennett, E. M., M. Solan, R. Biggs, T. McPhearson, A. V Norström, P. Olsson, L. Pereira, G. D. Peterson, C. Raudsepp‐Hearne, and F. Biermann. 2016. Bright spots: seeds of a good Anthropocene. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 14(8):441–448"
4,"Boschetti, F., Price, J., Walker, I., 2016. Myths of the future and scenario archetypes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 111, 76–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.009"
5,"Boyko, C.T., Gaterell, M.R., Barber, A.R.G., Brown, J., Bryson, J.R., Butler, D., Caputo, S., Caserio, M., Coles, R., Cooper, R., Davies, G., Farmani, R., Hale, J., Hales, A.C., Hewitt, C.N., Hunt, D.V.L., Jankovic, L., Jefferson, I., Leach, J.M., Lombardi, D.R., MacKenzie, A.R., Memon, F.A., Pugh, T.A.M., Sadler, J.P., Weingaertner, C., Whyatt, J.D., Rogers, C.D.F., 2012. Benchmarking sustainability in cities: The role of indicators and future scenarios. Global Environmental Change 22, 245–254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.004"
6,"Bramnder, L.M., Wagtendonk, A.J., Hussain, S.S., McVittie, A., Verburg, P.H., de Groot, R. & van der Ploeg, S. 2012. Ecosystem service values for mangroves in Southeast Asia: a meta-analysis and value transfer application. Ecosystem Services,1: 62– 69."
7,"Butler, J. R. A., Wong, G. Y., Metcalfe, D. J., Honzák, M., Pert, P. L., Rao, N., van Grieken, M. E., Lawson, T., Bruce, C., Kroon, F. J., Brodie, J. E. (2013). An analysis of trade-offs between multiple ecosystem services and stakeholders linked to land use and water quality management in the Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 180, 176–191. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2011.08.017"
8,"DasGupta, R., Hashimoto, S., Okuro, T., Basu, M., 2019. Scenario-based land change modelling in the Indian Sundarban delta: an exploratory analysis of plausible alternative regional futures. Sustainability Science 14, 221–240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0642-6"
9,"Fernandes, J. A., Kay, S., Hossain , M. A. R., Ahmed, M., Cheung, W. W. L., Lazar, A. N. & Barange, M. (2016). Projecting marine fish production and catch potential in Bangladesh in the 21st century under long-term environmental change and management scenarios. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 73: 1357-1369."
10,"Goldstein, J.H., Caldarone, G., Duarte, T.K., Ennaanay, D., Hannahs, N., Mendoza, G., Polasky, S., Wolny, S. & Daily, G.C. 2012. Integrating ecosystem-service tradeoffs into land-use decisions. PNAS, 109(19): 7565–7570."
11,"Grubler A, Wilson C, Bento N, Boza-Kiss B, Krey V, McCollum DL, Rao ND, … Valin H (2018). A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies. Nature Energy 3(6): 515-527."
12,"Hanspach, J., T. Hartel, A. I. Milcu, F. Mikulcak, I. Dorresteijn, J. Loos, H. von Wehrden, T. Kuemmerle, D. Abson, A. Kovács-Hostyánszki, A. Báldi, and J. Fischer. 2014. A holistic approach to studying social-ecological systems and its application to southern Transylvania. Ecology and Society 19(4): 32.
 http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-06915-190432"
13,"Kabaya, K., Hashimoto, S., Fukuyo, N., Uetake, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Investigating future ecosystem services through participatory scenario building and spatial ecological–economic modelling. Sustainability Science 14, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0590-1"
14,"Kok, K., Pedde, S., Gramberger, M., Harrison, P.A., Holman, I.P., 2019. New European socio-economic scenarios for climate change research: operationalising concepts to extend the shared socio-economic pathways. Regional Environmental Change 19, 643–654. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1400-0"
15,"Nobre, C. A., Sampaio, G., Borma, L. S., Castilla-Rubio, J. C., Silva, J. S., & Cardoso, M. (2016). Land-use and climate change risks in the Amazon and the need of a novel sustainable development paradigm. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113(39), 10759-10768."
16,"O’Neill, B.C., et al., 2017. The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42, 169–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004
 Riahi, K., et al., 2017. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42, 153-168."
17,"Palacios-Agundez, I., Casado-Arzuaga, I., Madariaga, I., & Onaindia, M. (2013). The relevance of local participatory scenario planning for ecosystem management policies in the Basque Country, northern Spain. Ecology and Society, 18(3). https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-05619-180307"
18,"Riensche, M., A. Castillo, A. Flores-Díaz, and M. Maass. 2015. Tourism at Costalegre, Mexico: An ecosystem services-based exploration of current challenges and alternative futures. Futures, 66:70–84."
19,"Saito, O., Kamiyama, C., Hashimoto, S., Matsui, T., Shoyama, K., Kabaya, K., Uetake, T., Taki, H., Ishikawa, Y., Matsushita, K., Yamane, F., Hori, J., Ariga, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Co-design of national-scale future scenarios in Japan to predict and assess natural capital and ecosystem services. Sustainability Science 14, 5–21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0587-9"
20,"Sessa, C., & Ricci, A. (2014). The world in 2050 and the New Welfare scenario. Futures, 58, 77-90."
21,"Tallis, H.M., Hawthorne, P.L., Polasky, S., Reid, J., Beck, M.W., Brauman, K., Bielicki, J.M., Binder, S., Burgess, M.G., Cassidy, E., Clark, A., Fargione, J., Game, E.T., Gerber, J., Isbell, F., Kiesecker, J., McDonald, R., Metian, M., Molnar, J.L., Mueller, N.D., O’Connell, C., Ovando, D., Troell, M., Boucher, T.M., McPeek, B., 2018. An attainable global vision for conservation and human well-being. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 16, 563–570. https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1965"
22,"Tasaki, T., Yoshida, A., Aoyagi, M., Kanamori, Y., Awata, K., Tominaga, N., Shimizu, A., Suwabe, H., Nemoto, K., 2016. Scenario Writing of Future Lifestyles in Japan for 2030. Sustainable Development 24, 406–415. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.1636"
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