Database of scenarios coded within IPBES Values Assessment in Chapter 5 (460 scenarios),,,,,,,,,,, ,,,,,,,,,,, Nr,Source document,Scenario/ vision/ pathway name,Type of futures work,Origin,Time horizon,Geographic scale,Location,IPBES region,Country,Reference 1,Reference 2 1,2018 NAWMP,North American Waterfowl Management Plan,Other,"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Continuous,Regional (continental),North America,North America,Americas,"NAWMP. 2018. 2018 North American Waterfowl Management Plan (NAWMP) Update.; Humburg, D.D., Anderson, M.G., Brasher, M.G., Carter, M.F., Eadie, J.M., Fulton, D.C., Johnson, F.A., Runge, M.C., Vrtiska, M.P., 2018. Implementing the 2012 North American Waterfowl Management Plan revision: Populations, habitat, and people. Journal of Wildlife Management 82, 275–286. https://doi.org/10.1002/jwmg.21391",NA 2,A Green Future: Our 25 Year Plan to Improve the Environment,25 Year Environment Plan,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios","Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",25 years,National,UK,UK,Europe and Central Asia,https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/25-year-environment-plan,HM Government. 2018. A Green Future: Our 25 Year Plan to Improve the Environment. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/25-year-environment-plan 3,Accelerated action and transformative pathways: realizing the decade of action and delivery for sustainable development,"""First scenario"" Advancing sustainable and just economies",Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2030,Global,Global,Global,Global,"https://www.un.org/ecosoc/en/2020ecosochigh-levelsegment#:~:text=The%20theme%20of%20the%202020,and%20delivery%20for%20sustainable%20development%22.&text=The%20segment%20will%20include%20the,for%20in%20resolution%2067%2F290.",NA 4,Accelerated action and transformative pathways: realizing the decade of action and delivery for sustainable development,"""Second scenario"" Advancing sustainable and just economies",Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2030,Global,Global,Global,Global,"https://www.un.org/ecosoc/en/2020ecosochigh-levelsegment#:~:text=The%20theme%20of%20the%202020,and%20delivery%20for%20sustainable%20development%22.&text=The%20segment%20will%20include%20the,for%20in%20resolution%2067%2F290.",NA 5,Accelerated action and transformative pathways: realizing the decade of action and delivery for sustainable development,"""Poverty miracla"" Advancing sustainable and just economies",Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2030,Global,Global,Global,Global,"https://www.un.org/ecosoc/en/2020ecosochigh-levelsegment#:~:text=The%20theme%20of%20the%202020,and%20delivery%20for%20sustainable%20development%22.&text=The%20segment%20will%20include%20the,for%20in%20resolution%2067%2F290.",NA 6,Accelerated action and transformative pathways: realizing the decade of action and delivery for sustainable development,"""First scenario"" Energy decarbonization with universal access",Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2030,Global,Global,Global,Global,"https://www.un.org/ecosoc/en/2020ecosochigh-levelsegment#:~:text=The%20theme%20of%20the%202020,and%20delivery%20for%20sustainable%20development%22.&text=The%20segment%20will%20include%20the,for%20in%20resolution%2067%2F290.",NA 7,Accelerated action and transformative pathways: realizing the decade of action and delivery for sustainable development,"""Second scenario"" Energy decarbonization with universal access",Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2030,Global,Global,Global,Global,"https://www.un.org/ecosoc/en/2020ecosochigh-levelsegment#:~:text=The%20theme%20of%20the%202020,and%20delivery%20for%20sustainable%20development%22.&text=The%20segment%20will%20include%20the,for%20in%20resolution%2067%2F290.",NA 8,Accelerated action and transformative pathways: realizing the decade of action and delivery for sustainable development,"""Third scenario"" Energy decarbonization with universal access",Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2030,Global,Global,Global,Global,"https://www.un.org/ecosoc/en/2020ecosochigh-levelsegment#:~:text=The%20theme%20of%20the%202020,and%20delivery%20for%20sustainable%20development%22.&text=The%20segment%20will%20include%20the,for%20in%20resolution%2067%2F290.",NA 9,Accelerated action and transformative pathways: realizing the decade of action and delivery for sustainable development,"""Fourth scenario"" Energy decarbonization with universal access",Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2030,Global,Global,Global,Global,"https://www.un.org/ecosoc/en/2020ecosochigh-levelsegment#:~:text=The%20theme%20of%20the%202020,and%20delivery%20for%20sustainable%20development%22.&text=The%20segment%20will%20include%20the,for%20in%20resolution%2067%2F290.",NA 10,African Ecological Futures,Going Global,Other,"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",50 years,Regional (continental),Africa,Africa,Africa,https://www.afdb.org/fileadmin/uploads/afdb/Documents/Generic-Documents/xwwf_african_futures_report_english-lo-rez.pdf,"WWF, and AfDB. 2015. African Ecological Futures. Nairobi, Kenya" 11,African Ecological Futures,Helping Hands,Other,"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",50 years,Regional (continental),Africa,Africa,Africa,https://www.afdb.org/fileadmin/uploads/afdb/Documents/Generic-Documents/xwwf_african_futures_report_english-lo-rez.pdf,"WWF, and AfDB. 2015. African Ecological Futures. Nairobi, Kenya" 12,African Ecological Futures,All In Together,Other,"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",50 years,Regional (continental),Africa,Africa,Africa,https://www.afdb.org/fileadmin/uploads/afdb/Documents/Generic-Documents/xwwf_african_futures_report_english-lo-rez.pdf,"WWF, and AfDB. 2015. African Ecological Futures. Nairobi, Kenya" 13,African Ecological Futures,Good Neighbours,Other,"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",50 years,Regional (continental),Africa,Africa,Africa,https://www.afdb.org/fileadmin/uploads/afdb/Documents/Generic-Documents/xwwf_african_futures_report_english-lo-rez.pdf,"WWF, and AfDB. 2015. African Ecological Futures. Nairobi, Kenya" 14,Agenda 2063: The Africa We Want.,Agenda 2063: The Africa We Want.,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios","Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2013-2063,Regional (continental),Africa,Africa,Africa,https://au.int/en/agenda2063; https://au.int/sites/default/files/documents/36204-doc-agenda2063_popular_version_en.pdf;,"African Union Commission, 2015. Agenda 2063: The Africa we want (Popular version)" 15,Aguiar et al. 2020,"Convergent themes between four visions: The Ubuntu pathway, Peaceful and Prosperous East Africa pathway, Urugendo pathway, Rainbow pathway","Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Regional (continental),Africa,Africa,Africa,"Aguiar, A. P., Collste, D., Harmáčková, Z. V., Pereira, L., Selomane, O., Galafassi, D., van Vuuren, D., van der Leeuw, S. Co-designing global target seeking scenarios: a cross-scale participatory process for capturing multiple perspectives on pathways to sustainability. Global Environmental Change ","Aguiar, A. P., Collste, D., Harmáčková, Z. V., Pereira, L., Selomane, O., Galafassi, D., van Vuuren, D., van der Leeuw, S. Co-designing global target seeking scenarios: a cross-scale participatory process for capturing multiple perspectives on pathways to sustainability. Global Environmental Change " 16,Albert et al. 2016,‘unregulated',Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,15 years,Local,Northern Germany,Germany,Europe and Central Asia,"Albert, C., Galler, C., Hermes, J., Neuendorf, F., Von Haaren, C., Lovett, A., 2016. Applying ecosystem services indicators in landscape planning and management: The ES-in-Planning framework. Ecological Indicators 61, 100–113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.03.029",NA 17,Albert et al. 2016,regulated',Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,15 years ,Local,Northern Germany,Germany,Europe and Central Asia,"Albert, C., Galler, C., Hermes, J., Neuendorf, F., Von Haaren, C., Lovett, A., 2016. Applying ecosystem services indicators in landscape planning and management: The ES-in-Planning framework. Ecological Indicators 61, 100–113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.03.029",NA 18,Albert et al. 2016,Status quo,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,15 years ,Local,Northern Germany,Germany,Europe and Central Asia,"Albert, C., Galler, C., Hermes, J., Neuendorf, F., Von Haaren, C., Lovett, A., 2016. Applying ecosystem services indicators in landscape planning and management: The ES-in-Planning framework. Ecological Indicators 61, 100–113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.03.029",NA 19,Amazon,All in: Staying the course on our commitment to sustainability ,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,different timetables for different commitments,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://sustainability.aboutamazon.com/pdfBuilderDownload?name=sustainability-all-in-september-2020,NA 20,Apple ,Environmental progress report 2020,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,"reports on last fiscal year (2019) but 2030 carbon neutrality goal, ",Global,Global,Global,Global,https://www.apple.com/environment/pdf/Apple_Environmental_Progress_Report_2020.pdf,NA 21,Arunyawat et al. 2018,Business as usual,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,Local,"Wang Thong watershed, Thailand",Thailand,Asia-Pacific,"Arunyawat, S., and R. P. Shrestha. 2018. Simulating future land use and ecosystem services in Northern Thailand. Journal of Land Use Science13(1–2):146–165.",NA 22,Arunyawat et al. 2018,Integrated land use development,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,Local,"Wang Thong watershed, Thailand",Thailand,Asia-Pacific,"Arunyawat, S., and R. P. Shrestha. 2018. Simulating future land use and ecosystem services in Northern Thailand. Journal of Land Use Science13(1–2):146–165.",NA 23,Arunyawat et al. 2018,Enhancing environmental services,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,Local,"Wang Thong watershed, Thailand",Thailand,Asia-Pacific,"Arunyawat, S., and R. P. Shrestha. 2018. Simulating future land use and ecosystem services in Northern Thailand. Journal of Land Use Science13(1–2):146–165.",NA 24,Bartolai et al. 2015,"A2 ""The Fog""",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years (2063),Regional (continental),"Great Lakes-St. Lawrence River basin, United States",USA,Americas,"Bartolai, A.M., He, L., Hurst, A.E., Mortsch, L., Paehlke, R., Scavia, D., 2015. Climate change as a driver of change in the Great Lakes St. Lawrence River Basin. Journal of Great Lakes Research 41, 45–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2014.11.012",NA 25,Bartolai et al. 2015,"A1FI ""The Wreckage"" - BAU",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years (2063),Regional (continental),"Great Lakes-St. Lawrence River basin, United States",USA,Americas,"Bartolai, A.M., He, L., Hurst, A.E., Mortsch, L., Paehlke, R., Scavia, D., 2015. Climate change as a driver of change in the Great Lakes St. Lawrence River Basin. Journal of Great Lakes Research 41, 45–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2014.11.012",NA 26,Bartolai et al. 2015,"B1 ""The Lighthouse""",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years (2063),Regional (continental),"Great Lakes-St. Lawrence River basin, United States",USA,Americas,"Bartolai, A.M., He, L., Hurst, A.E., Mortsch, L., Paehlke, R., Scavia, D., 2015. Climate change as a driver of change in the Great Lakes St. Lawrence River Basin. Journal of Great Lakes Research 41, 45–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2014.11.012",NA 27,Bazilian et al. ,Big green deal,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2100,Global,World,Global,Global,"Bazilian, M., Bradshaw, M., Goldthau, A., Westphal, K. 2019. Model and manage the changing geopolitics of energy. Nature 569, 29–31. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-01312-5","Bazilian, M., Bradshaw, M., Goldthau, A., Westphal, K. 2019. Model and manage the changing geopolitics of energy. Nature 569, 29–31. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-01312-5" 28,Bazilian et al. ,Technology breakthrough,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,Global,World,Global,Global,"Bazilian, M., Bradshaw, M., Goldthau, A., Westphal, K. 2019. Model and manage the changing geopolitics of energy. Nature 569, 29–31. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-01312-5","Bazilian, M., Bradshaw, M., Goldthau, A., Westphal, K. 2019. Model and manage the changing geopolitics of energy. Nature 569, 29–31. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-01312-5" 29,Bazilian et al. ,Dirty nationalism,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,Global,World,Global,Global,"Bazilian, M., Bradshaw, M., Goldthau, A., Westphal, K. 2019. Model and manage the changing geopolitics of energy. Nature 569, 29–31. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-01312-5","Bazilian, M., Bradshaw, M., Goldthau, A., Westphal, K. 2019. Model and manage the changing geopolitics of energy. Nature 569, 29–31. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-01312-5" 30,Bazilian et al. ,Muddling on,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,Global,World,Global,Global,"Bazilian, M., Bradshaw, M., Goldthau, A., Westphal, K. 2019. Model and manage the changing geopolitics of energy. Nature 569, 29–31. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-01312-5","Bazilian, M., Bradshaw, M., Goldthau, A., Westphal, K. 2019. Model and manage the changing geopolitics of energy. Nature 569, 29–31. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-01312-5" 31,Beach and Clark 2015,Scenario 1 (Doom and Gloom) ,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,"20 years (2032) as a temporal reference point because it is approximately a generation, and bison have been on the landscape for about that amount of time",Local,"southwest Yukon Territory, Canada",Canada,Americas,"Beach, D.M., Clark, D.A., 2015. Scenario Planning during Rapid Ecological Change: Lessons and Perspectives from Workshops with Southwest {{Yukon}} Wildlife Managers. Ecology and Society. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07379-200161",NA 32,Beach and Clark 2015,Scenario 2 (Slow Boil),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,"21 years (2032) as a temporal reference point because it is approximately a generation, and bison have been on the landscape for about that amount of time",Local,"southwest Yukon Territory, Canada",Canada,Americas,"Beach, D.M., Clark, D.A., 2015. Scenario Planning during Rapid Ecological Change: Lessons and Perspectives from Workshops with Southwest {{Yukon}} Wildlife Managers. Ecology and Society. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07379-200161",NA 33,Beach and Clark 2015,Scenario 3 (A Confused State),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,"22 years (2032) as a temporal reference point because it is approximately a generation, and bison have been on the landscape for about that amount of time",Local,"southwest Yukon Territory, Canada",Canada,Americas,"Beach, D.M., Clark, D.A., 2015. Scenario Planning during Rapid Ecological Change: Lessons and Perspectives from Workshops with Southwest {{Yukon}} Wildlife Managers. Ecology and Society. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07379-200161",NA 34,Beach and Clark 2015,Scenario 4 (Win-win),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,"23 years (2032) as a temporal reference point because it is approximately a generation, and bison have been on the landscape for about that amount of time",Local,"southwest Yukon Territory, Canada",Canada,Americas,"Beach, D.M., Clark, D.A., 2015. Scenario Planning during Rapid Ecological Change: Lessons and Perspectives from Workshops with Southwest {{Yukon}} Wildlife Managers. Ecology and Society. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07379-200161",NA 35,Bennett et al. 2016,AgroEcology,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Academia participatory/policy-driven,continuous,Global,"various - concentrated in North America, Europe, and southern Africa ",Global,Global,https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/fee.1309,"Bennett, E. M., M. Solan, R. Biggs, T. McPhearson, A. V Norström, P. Olsson, L. Pereira, G. D. Peterson, C. Raudsepp‐Hearne, and F. Biermann. 2016. Bright spots: seeds of a good Anthropocene. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 14(8):441–448" 36,Bennett et al. 2016,Green Urbanism,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Academia participatory/policy-driven,continuous,Global,"various - concentrated in North America, Europe, and southern Africa ",Global,Global,https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/fee.1309,"Bennett, E. M., M. Solan, R. Biggs, T. McPhearson, A. V Norström, P. Olsson, L. Pereira, G. D. Peterson, C. Raudsepp‐Hearne, and F. Biermann. 2016. Bright spots: seeds of a good Anthropocene. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 14(8):441–448" 37,Bennett et al. 2016,Urban Transformation,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Academia participatory/policy-driven,continuous,Global,"various - concentrated in North America, Europe, and southern Africa ",Global,Global,https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/fee.1309,"Bennett, E. M., M. Solan, R. Biggs, T. McPhearson, A. V Norström, P. Olsson, L. Pereira, G. D. Peterson, C. Raudsepp‐Hearne, and F. Biermann. 2016. Bright spots: seeds of a good Anthropocene. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 14(8):441–448" 38,Bennett et al. 2016,Sustainable Futures,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Academia participatory/policy-driven,continuous,Global,"various - concentrated in North America, Europe, and southern Africa ",Global,Global,https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/fee.1309,"Bennett, E. M., M. Solan, R. Biggs, T. McPhearson, A. V Norström, P. Olsson, L. Pereira, G. D. Peterson, C. Raudsepp‐Hearne, and F. Biermann. 2016. Bright spots: seeds of a good Anthropocene. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 14(8):441–448" 39,Bennett et al. 2016,Fair Futures,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Academia participatory/policy-driven,continuous,Global,"various - concentrated in North America, Europe, and southern Africa ",Global,Global,https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/fee.1309,"Bennett, E. M., M. Solan, R. Biggs, T. McPhearson, A. V Norström, P. Olsson, L. Pereira, G. D. Peterson, C. Raudsepp‐Hearne, and F. Biermann. 2016. Bright spots: seeds of a good Anthropocene. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 14(8):441–448" 40,Bennett et al. 2016,Future Knowledge,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Academia participatory/policy-driven,continuous,Global,"various - concentrated in North America, Europe, and southern Africa ",Global,Global,https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/fee.1309,"Bennett, E. M., M. Solan, R. Biggs, T. McPhearson, A. V Norström, P. Olsson, L. Pereira, G. D. Peterson, C. Raudsepp‐Hearne, and F. Biermann. 2016. Bright spots: seeds of a good Anthropocene. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 14(8):441–448" 41,Bennich et al. 2018,Transition pathway to bio-based economy,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,Sweden,Sweden,Europe and Central Asia,"Bennich, T., Belyazid, S., Kopainsky, B., Diemer, A., 2018. The bio-based economy: Dynamics governing transition pathways in the Swedish forestry sector. Sustainability (Switzerland) 10. doi:10.3390/su10040976",NA 42,Berg et al. 2016,Increased Conservation Scenario,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2025,local,"Piscataqua-Salmon Falls watershed, NH/ME, USA",USA,Americas,"Berg, C.E., Mineau, M.M., Rogers, S.H., 2016. Reprint:Examining the ecosystem service of nutrient removal in a coastal watershed. Ecosystem Services 22, 309–317. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2016.12.001",NA 43,Berg et al. 2016,Increased Development Scenario,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2025,local,"Piscataqua-Salmon Falls watershed, NH/ME, USA",USA,Americas,"Berg, C.E., Mineau, M.M., Rogers, S.H., 2016. Reprint:Examining the ecosystem service of nutrient removal in a coastal watershed. Ecosystem Services 22, 309–317. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2016.12.001",NA 44,Beringer et al. 2011,F1C1,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,global,global,Global,Global,"Beringer, T., Lucht, W., Schaphoff, S., 2011. Bioenergy production potential of global biomass plantations under environmental and agricultural constraints. GCB Bioenergy 3, 299–312. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1757-1707.2010.01088.x",NA 45,Beringer et al. 2011,F1C2,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,global,global,Global,Global,"Beringer, T., Lucht, W., Schaphoff, S., 2011. Bioenergy production potential of global biomass plantations under environmental and agricultural constraints. GCB Bioenergy 3, 299–312. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1757-1707.2010.01088.x",NA 46,Beringer et al. 2011,F2C1,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,global,global,Global,Global,"Beringer, T., Lucht, W., Schaphoff, S., 2011. Bioenergy production potential of global biomass plantations under environmental and agricultural constraints. GCB Bioenergy 3, 299–312. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1757-1707.2010.01088.x",NA 47,Beringer et al. 2011,F2C2,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,global,global,Global,Global,"Beringer, T., Lucht, W., Schaphoff, S., 2011. Bioenergy production potential of global biomass plantations under environmental and agricultural constraints. GCB Bioenergy 3, 299–312. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1757-1707.2010.01088.x",NA 48,Borsuk et al. 2019,"Linear Trends + climate ""low""",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2099,local,"Upper Merrimack River Watershed, New Hampshire, USA",USA,Americas,"Borsuk, M.E., Mavrommati, G., Samal, N.R., Zuidema, S., Wollheim, W., Rogers, S.H., Thorn, A.M., Lutz, D., Mineau, M., Grimm, C., Wake, C.P., Howarth, R., Gardner, K., 2019. Deliberative multiattribute valuation of ecosystem services across a range of regional land-use, socioeconomic, and climate scenarios for the upper merrimack river watershed, New Hampshire, USA. Ecology and Society 24. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10806-240211",NA 49,Borsuk et al. 2019,"Backyard Amenities + climate ""low""",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2099,local,"Upper Merrimack River Watershed, New Hampshire, USA",USA,Americas,"Borsuk, M.E., Mavrommati, G., Samal, N.R., Zuidema, S., Wollheim, W., Rogers, S.H., Thorn, A.M., Lutz, D., Mineau, M., Grimm, C., Wake, C.P., Howarth, R., Gardner, K., 2019. Deliberative multiattribute valuation of ecosystem services across a range of regional land-use, socioeconomic, and climate scenarios for the upper merrimack river watershed, New Hampshire, USA. Ecology and Society 24. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10806-240211",NA 50,Borsuk et al. 2019,"Large Community & Wildlands + climate ""low""",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2099,local,"Upper Merrimack River Watershed, New Hampshire, USA",USA,Americas,"Borsuk, M.E., Mavrommati, G., Samal, N.R., Zuidema, S., Wollheim, W., Rogers, S.H., Thorn, A.M., Lutz, D., Mineau, M., Grimm, C., Wake, C.P., Howarth, R., Gardner, K., 2019. Deliberative multiattribute valuation of ecosystem services across a range of regional land-use, socioeconomic, and climate scenarios for the upper merrimack river watershed, New Hampshire, USA. Ecology and Society 24. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10806-240211",NA 51,Borsuk et al. 2019,"Small Community & Food + climate ""low""",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2099,local,"Upper Merrimack River Watershed, New Hampshire, USA",USA,Americas,"Borsuk, M.E., Mavrommati, G., Samal, N.R., Zuidema, S., Wollheim, W., Rogers, S.H., Thorn, A.M., Lutz, D., Mineau, M., Grimm, C., Wake, C.P., Howarth, R., Gardner, K., 2019. Deliberative multiattribute valuation of ecosystem services across a range of regional land-use, socioeconomic, and climate scenarios for the upper merrimack river watershed, New Hampshire, USA. Ecology and Society 24. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10806-240211",NA 52,Borsuk et al. 2019,"Linear Trends + climate ""high""",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2099,local,"Upper Merrimack River Watershed, New Hampshire, USA",USA,Americas,"Borsuk, M.E., Mavrommati, G., Samal, N.R., Zuidema, S., Wollheim, W., Rogers, S.H., Thorn, A.M., Lutz, D., Mineau, M., Grimm, C., Wake, C.P., Howarth, R., Gardner, K., 2019. Deliberative multiattribute valuation of ecosystem services across a range of regional land-use, socioeconomic, and climate scenarios for the upper merrimack river watershed, New Hampshire, USA. Ecology and Society 24. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10806-240211",NA 53,Borsuk et al. 2019,"Backyard Amenities + climate ""high""",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2099,local,"Upper Merrimack River Watershed, New Hampshire, USA",USA,Americas,"Borsuk, M.E., Mavrommati, G., Samal, N.R., Zuidema, S., Wollheim, W., Rogers, S.H., Thorn, A.M., Lutz, D., Mineau, M., Grimm, C., Wake, C.P., Howarth, R., Gardner, K., 2019. Deliberative multiattribute valuation of ecosystem services across a range of regional land-use, socioeconomic, and climate scenarios for the upper merrimack river watershed, New Hampshire, USA. Ecology and Society 24. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10806-240211",NA 54,Borsuk et al. 2019,"Large Community & Wildlands + climate ""high""",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2099,local,"Upper Merrimack River Watershed, New Hampshire, USA",USA,Americas,"Borsuk, M.E., Mavrommati, G., Samal, N.R., Zuidema, S., Wollheim, W., Rogers, S.H., Thorn, A.M., Lutz, D., Mineau, M., Grimm, C., Wake, C.P., Howarth, R., Gardner, K., 2019. Deliberative multiattribute valuation of ecosystem services across a range of regional land-use, socioeconomic, and climate scenarios for the upper merrimack river watershed, New Hampshire, USA. Ecology and Society 24. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10806-240211",NA 55,Borsuk et al. 2019,"Small Community & Food + climate ""high""",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2099,local,"Upper Merrimack River Watershed, New Hampshire, USA",USA,Americas,"Borsuk, M.E., Mavrommati, G., Samal, N.R., Zuidema, S., Wollheim, W., Rogers, S.H., Thorn, A.M., Lutz, D., Mineau, M., Grimm, C., Wake, C.P., Howarth, R., Gardner, K., 2019. Deliberative multiattribute valuation of ecosystem services across a range of regional land-use, socioeconomic, and climate scenarios for the upper merrimack river watershed, New Hampshire, USA. Ecology and Society 24. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10806-240211",NA 56,Boschetti et al. 2015,"""Now"" ",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,"Melbourne, Canberra, Hobart + Exmouth",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Boschetti, F; Fulton, EA; Grigg, NJ 2015 https://doi.org/10.3390/su7010222",NA 57,Boschetti et al. 2015,Apocalypse,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,"Melbourne, Canberra, Hobart + Exmouth",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Boschetti, F; Fulton, EA; Grigg, NJ 2015 https://doi.org/10.3390/su7010222",NA 58,Boschetti et al. 2015,Utopia,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,"Melbourne, Canberra, Hobart + Exmouth",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Boschetti, F; Fulton, EA; Grigg, NJ 2015 https://doi.org/10.3390/su7010222",NA 59,Boschetti et al. 2016,Social crisis,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Australia,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Boschetti, F., Price, J., Walker, I., 2016. Myths of the future and scenario archetypes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 111, 76–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.009","Boschetti, F., Price, J., Walker, I., 2016. Myths of the future and scenario archetypes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 111, 76–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.009" 60,Boschetti et al. 2016,Eco-crisis,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Australia,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Boschetti, F., Price, J., Walker, I., 2016. Myths of the future and scenario archetypes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 111, 76–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.009","Boschetti, F., Price, J., Walker, I., 2016. Myths of the future and scenario archetypes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 111, 76–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.009" 61,Boschetti et al. 2016,Techno-optimism,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Australia,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Boschetti, F., Price, J., Walker, I., 2016. Myths of the future and scenario archetypes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 111, 76–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.009","Boschetti, F., Price, J., Walker, I., 2016. Myths of the future and scenario archetypes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 111, 76–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.009" 62,Boschetti et al. 2016,Power and economic inequality,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Australia,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Boschetti, F., Price, J., Walker, I., 2016. Myths of the future and scenario archetypes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 111, 76–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.009","Boschetti, F., Price, J., Walker, I., 2016. Myths of the future and scenario archetypes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 111, 76–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.009" 63,Boschetti et al. 2016,Social transformation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Australia,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Boschetti, F., Price, J., Walker, I., 2016. Myths of the future and scenario archetypes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 111, 76–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.009","Boschetti, F., Price, J., Walker, I., 2016. Myths of the future and scenario archetypes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 111, 76–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.009" 64,Bosma et al. 2017,wetland conservation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,local,"Rushebeya-Kanyabaha wetland, Kabale, southwest Uganda",Uganda,Africa,"Bosma, C., Glenk, K., Novo, P., 2017. How do individuals and groups perceive wetland functioning? Fuzzy cognitive mapping of wetland perceptions in Uganda. Land Use Policy 60, 181–196. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.10.010",NA 65,Bosma et al. 2017,wetland cultivation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,local,"Rushebeya-Kanyabaha wetland, Kabale, southwest Uganda",Uganda,Africa,"Bosma, C., Glenk, K., Novo, P., 2017. How do individuals and groups perceive wetland functioning? Fuzzy cognitive mapping of wetland perceptions in Uganda. Land Use Policy 60, 181–196. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.10.010",NA 66,Bosma et al. 2017,enforcement of laws and rules,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,local,"Rushebeya-Kanyabaha wetland, Kabale, southwest Uganda",Uganda,Africa,"Bosma, C., Glenk, K., Novo, P., 2017. How do individuals and groups perceive wetland functioning? Fuzzy cognitive mapping of wetland perceptions in Uganda. Land Use Policy 60, 181–196. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.10.010",NA 67,Bottalico et al. 2016,BaU,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2035,local,Central Italy,Italy,Europe and Central Asia,"Bottalico, F., Pesola, L., Vizzarri, M., Antonello, L., Barbati, A., Chirici, G., Corona, P., Cullotta, S., Garfì, V., Giannico, V., Lafortezza, R., Lombardi, F., Marchetti, M., Nocentini, S., Riccioli, F., Travaglini, D., Sallustio, L., 2016. Modeling the influence of alternative forest management scenarios on wood production and carbon storage: A case study in the Mediterranean region. Environmental Research 144, 72–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2015.10.025",NA 68,Bottalico et al. 2016,Nature protection,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2035,local,Central Italy,Italy,Europe and Central Asia,"Bottalico, F., Pesola, L., Vizzarri, M., Antonello, L., Barbati, A., Chirici, G., Corona, P., Cullotta, S., Garfì, V., Giannico, V., Lafortezza, R., Lombardi, F., Marchetti, M., Nocentini, S., Riccioli, F., Travaglini, D., Sallustio, L., 2016. Modeling the influence of alternative forest management scenarios on wood production and carbon storage: A case study in the Mediterranean region. Environmental Research 144, 72–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2015.10.025",NA 69,Bottalico et al. 2016,Wood production,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2035,local,Central Italy,Italy,Europe and Central Asia,"Bottalico, F., Pesola, L., Vizzarri, M., Antonello, L., Barbati, A., Chirici, G., Corona, P., Cullotta, S., Garfì, V., Giannico, V., Lafortezza, R., Lombardi, F., Marchetti, M., Nocentini, S., Riccioli, F., Travaglini, D., Sallustio, L., 2016. Modeling the influence of alternative forest management scenarios on wood production and carbon storage: A case study in the Mediterranean region. Environmental Research 144, 72–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2015.10.025",NA 70,Boyko et al. 2012,UK Urban Market Forces,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Local,UK cities,UK,Europe and Central Asia,"Boyko, C.T., Gaterell, M.R., Barber, A.R.G., Brown, J., Bryson, J.R., Butler, D., Caputo, S., Caserio, M., Coles, R., Cooper, R., Davies, G., Farmani, R., Hale, J., Hales, A.C., Hewitt, C.N., Hunt, D.V.L., Jankovic, L., Jefferson, I., Leach, J.M., Lombardi, D.R., MacKenzie, A.R., Memon, F.A., Pugh, T.A.M., Sadler, J.P., Weingaertner, C., Whyatt, J.D., Rogers, C.D.F., 2012. Benchmarking sustainability in cities: The role of indicators and future scenarios. Global Environmental Change 22, 245–254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.004","Boyko, C.T., Gaterell, M.R., Barber, A.R.G., Brown, J., Bryson, J.R., Butler, D., Caputo, S., Caserio, M., Coles, R., Cooper, R., Davies, G., Farmani, R., Hale, J., Hales, A.C., Hewitt, C.N., Hunt, D.V.L., Jankovic, L., Jefferson, I., Leach, J.M., Lombardi, D.R., MacKenzie, A.R., Memon, F.A., Pugh, T.A.M., Sadler, J.P., Weingaertner, C., Whyatt, J.D., Rogers, C.D.F., 2012. Benchmarking sustainability in cities: The role of indicators and future scenarios. Global Environmental Change 22, 245–254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.004" 71,Boyko et al. 2012,UK Urban Policy Reform,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Local,UK cities,UK,Europe and Central Asia,"Boyko, C.T., Gaterell, M.R., Barber, A.R.G., Brown, J., Bryson, J.R., Butler, D., Caputo, S., Caserio, M., Coles, R., Cooper, R., Davies, G., Farmani, R., Hale, J., Hales, A.C., Hewitt, C.N., Hunt, D.V.L., Jankovic, L., Jefferson, I., Leach, J.M., Lombardi, D.R., MacKenzie, A.R., Memon, F.A., Pugh, T.A.M., Sadler, J.P., Weingaertner, C., Whyatt, J.D., Rogers, C.D.F., 2012. Benchmarking sustainability in cities: The role of indicators and future scenarios. Global Environmental Change 22, 245–254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.004","Boyko, C.T., Gaterell, M.R., Barber, A.R.G., Brown, J., Bryson, J.R., Butler, D., Caputo, S., Caserio, M., Coles, R., Cooper, R., Davies, G., Farmani, R., Hale, J., Hales, A.C., Hewitt, C.N., Hunt, D.V.L., Jankovic, L., Jefferson, I., Leach, J.M., Lombardi, D.R., MacKenzie, A.R., Memon, F.A., Pugh, T.A.M., Sadler, J.P., Weingaertner, C., Whyatt, J.D., Rogers, C.D.F., 2012. Benchmarking sustainability in cities: The role of indicators and future scenarios. Global Environmental Change 22, 245–254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.004" 72,Boyko et al. 2012,UK Urban New Sustainability Paradigm,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Local,UK cities,UK,Europe and Central Asia,"Boyko, C.T., Gaterell, M.R., Barber, A.R.G., Brown, J., Bryson, J.R., Butler, D., Caputo, S., Caserio, M., Coles, R., Cooper, R., Davies, G., Farmani, R., Hale, J., Hales, A.C., Hewitt, C.N., Hunt, D.V.L., Jankovic, L., Jefferson, I., Leach, J.M., Lombardi, D.R., MacKenzie, A.R., Memon, F.A., Pugh, T.A.M., Sadler, J.P., Weingaertner, C., Whyatt, J.D., Rogers, C.D.F., 2012. Benchmarking sustainability in cities: The role of indicators and future scenarios. Global Environmental Change 22, 245–254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.004","Boyko, C.T., Gaterell, M.R., Barber, A.R.G., Brown, J., Bryson, J.R., Butler, D., Caputo, S., Caserio, M., Coles, R., Cooper, R., Davies, G., Farmani, R., Hale, J., Hales, A.C., Hewitt, C.N., Hunt, D.V.L., Jankovic, L., Jefferson, I., Leach, J.M., Lombardi, D.R., MacKenzie, A.R., Memon, F.A., Pugh, T.A.M., Sadler, J.P., Weingaertner, C., Whyatt, J.D., Rogers, C.D.F., 2012. Benchmarking sustainability in cities: The role of indicators and future scenarios. Global Environmental Change 22, 245–254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.004" 73,Boyko et al. 2012,UK Urban Fortress World,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Local,UK cities,UK,Europe and Central Asia,"Boyko, C.T., Gaterell, M.R., Barber, A.R.G., Brown, J., Bryson, J.R., Butler, D., Caputo, S., Caserio, M., Coles, R., Cooper, R., Davies, G., Farmani, R., Hale, J., Hales, A.C., Hewitt, C.N., Hunt, D.V.L., Jankovic, L., Jefferson, I., Leach, J.M., Lombardi, D.R., MacKenzie, A.R., Memon, F.A., Pugh, T.A.M., Sadler, J.P., Weingaertner, C., Whyatt, J.D., Rogers, C.D.F., 2012. Benchmarking sustainability in cities: The role of indicators and future scenarios. Global Environmental Change 22, 245–254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.004","Boyko, C.T., Gaterell, M.R., Barber, A.R.G., Brown, J., Bryson, J.R., Butler, D., Caputo, S., Caserio, M., Coles, R., Cooper, R., Davies, G., Farmani, R., Hale, J., Hales, A.C., Hewitt, C.N., Hunt, D.V.L., Jankovic, L., Jefferson, I., Leach, J.M., Lombardi, D.R., MacKenzie, A.R., Memon, F.A., Pugh, T.A.M., Sadler, J.P., Weingaertner, C., Whyatt, J.D., Rogers, C.D.F., 2012. Benchmarking sustainability in cities: The role of indicators and future scenarios. Global Environmental Change 22, 245–254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.004" 74,BP,Energy with Purpose: BP Sustainability Report 2019,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,2050,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/sustainability/group-reports/bp-sustainability-report-2019.pdf,NA 75,Bramnder et al. 2012,BaU,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2000 to 2050,Regional (continental),Southeast Asia,Asia-Pacific,Asia-Pacific,https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212041612000046,"Bramnder, L.M., Wagtendonk, A.J., Hussain, S.S., McVittie, A., Verburg, P.H., de Groot, R. & van der Ploeg, S. 2012. Ecosystem service values for mangroves in Southeast Asia: a meta-analysis and value transfer application. Ecosystem Services,1: 62– 69." 76,Bremer et al. 2018a,Pasture,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2065,Local,"North Kona, Hawaii",USA,Americas,"Bremer, L., Falinski, K., Ching, C., Wada, C., Burnett, K., Kukea-Shultz, K., Reppun, N., Chun, G., Oleson, K., Ticktin, T., 2018. Biocultural Restoration of Traditional Agriculture: Cultural, Environmental, and Economic Outcomes of Lo‘i Kalo Restoration in He‘eia, O‘ahu. Sustainability 10, 4502. doi:10.3390/su10124502",NA 77,Bremer et al. 2018a,Native forest restoration,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2065,Local,"North Kona, Hawaii",USA,Americas,"Bremer, L., Falinski, K., Ching, C., Wada, C., Burnett, K., Kukea-Shultz, K., Reppun, N., Chun, G., Oleson, K., Ticktin, T., 2018. Biocultural Restoration of Traditional Agriculture: Cultural, Environmental, and Economic Outcomes of Lo‘i Kalo Restoration in He‘eia, O‘ahu. Sustainability 10, 4502. doi:10.3390/su10124502",NA 78,Bremer et al. 2018a,Agroforestry,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2065,Local,"North Kona, Hawaii",USA,Americas,"Bremer, L., Falinski, K., Ching, C., Wada, C., Burnett, K., Kukea-Shultz, K., Reppun, N., Chun, G., Oleson, K., Ticktin, T., 2018. Biocultural Restoration of Traditional Agriculture: Cultural, Environmental, and Economic Outcomes of Lo‘i Kalo Restoration in He‘eia, O‘ahu. Sustainability 10, 4502. doi:10.3390/su10124502",NA 79,Bremer et al. 2018a,Coffee,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2065,Local,"North Kona, Hawaii",USA,Americas,"Bremer, L., Falinski, K., Ching, C., Wada, C., Burnett, K., Kukea-Shultz, K., Reppun, N., Chun, G., Oleson, K., Ticktin, T., 2018. Biocultural Restoration of Traditional Agriculture: Cultural, Environmental, and Economic Outcomes of Lo‘i Kalo Restoration in He‘eia, O‘ahu. Sustainability 10, 4502. doi:10.3390/su10124502",NA 80,Bremer et al. 2018b,Biocultural restoration,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2037,Local,"He'eia wetland, Hawaii",USA,Americas,"Bremer, L. L., L. Mandle, C. Trauernicht, P. Pascua, H. L. McMillen, K. Burnett, C. A. Wada, N. Kurashima, S. A. Quazi, T. Giambelluca, P. Chock, and T. Ticktin. 2018. Bringing multiple values to the table: Assessing future land-use and climate change in North Kona, Hawaiʻi. Ecology and Society23(1).",NA 81,Bremer et al. 2018b,Urbanisation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2037,Local,"He'eia wetland, Hawaii",USA,Americas,"Bremer, L. L., L. Mandle, C. Trauernicht, P. Pascua, H. L. McMillen, K. Burnett, C. A. Wada, N. Kurashima, S. A. Quazi, T. Giambelluca, P. Chock, and T. Ticktin. 2018. Bringing multiple values to the table: Assessing future land-use and climate change in North Kona, Hawaiʻi. Ecology and Society23(1).",NA 82,Brown et al. 2016,Resources reallocation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,20 years,National,Mexico,Mexico,Americas,"Brown, I., Martin-Ortega, J., Waylen, K., Blackstock, K., 2016. Participatory scenario planning for developing innovation in community adaptation responses: three contrasting examples from Latin America. Regional Environmental Change 16, 1685–1700. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0898-7",NA 83,Brown et al. 2016,Policy dominates,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,20 years,National,Mexico,Mexico,Americas,"Brown, I., Martin-Ortega, J., Waylen, K., Blackstock, K., 2016. Participatory scenario planning for developing innovation in community adaptation responses: three contrasting examples from Latin America. Regional Environmental Change 16, 1685–1700. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0898-7",NA 84,Brown et al. 2016,Social entrepreneurship,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,20 years,National,Mexico,Mexico,Americas,"Brown, I., Martin-Ortega, J., Waylen, K., Blackstock, K., 2016. Participatory scenario planning for developing innovation in community adaptation responses: three contrasting examples from Latin America. Regional Environmental Change 16, 1685–1700. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0898-7",NA 85,Brown et al. 2016,Sustainable socioecological system,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,20 years,National,Mexico,Mexico,Americas,"Brown, I., Martin-Ortega, J., Waylen, K., Blackstock, K., 2016. Participatory scenario planning for developing innovation in community adaptation responses: three contrasting examples from Latin America. Regional Environmental Change 16, 1685–1700. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0898-7",NA 86,Brown et al. 2016,Chaotic world,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,20 years,National,Mexico,Mexico,Americas,"Brown, I., Martin-Ortega, J., Waylen, K., Blackstock, K., 2016. Participatory scenario planning for developing innovation in community adaptation responses: three contrasting examples from Latin America. Regional Environmental Change 16, 1685–1700. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0898-7",NA 87,Brown et al. 2016,Stable future,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,20 years,National,Colombia,Mexico,Americas,"Brown, I., Martin-Ortega, J., Waylen, K., Blackstock, K., 2016. Participatory scenario planning for developing innovation in community adaptation responses: three contrasting examples from Latin America. Regional Environmental Change 16, 1685–1700. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0898-7",NA 88,Brown et al. 2016,Desirable future,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,20 years,National,Colombia,Mexico,Americas,"Brown, I., Martin-Ortega, J., Waylen, K., Blackstock, K., 2016. Participatory scenario planning for developing innovation in community adaptation responses: three contrasting examples from Latin America. Regional Environmental Change 16, 1685–1700. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0898-7",NA 89,Brown et al. 2016,Undesirable future,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,20 years,National,Colombia,Mexico,Americas,"Brown, I., Martin-Ortega, J., Waylen, K., Blackstock, K., 2016. Participatory scenario planning for developing innovation in community adaptation responses: three contrasting examples from Latin America. Regional Environmental Change 16, 1685–1700. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0898-7",NA 90,Brown et al. 2016,Policy reform,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,20 years,National,Argentina,Mexico,Americas,"Brown, I., Martin-Ortega, J., Waylen, K., Blackstock, K., 2016. Participatory scenario planning for developing innovation in community adaptation responses: three contrasting examples from Latin America. Regional Environmental Change 16, 1685–1700. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0898-7",NA 91,Brown et al. 2016,"A new paradigm of sustainability",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,20 years,National,Argentina,Mexico,Americas,"Brown, I., Martin-Ortega, J., Waylen, K., Blackstock, K., 2016. Participatory scenario planning for developing innovation in community adaptation responses: three contrasting examples from Latin America. Regional Environmental Change 16, 1685–1700. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0898-7",NA 92,Brown et al. 2016,Chaos,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,20 years,National,Argentina,Mexico,Americas,"Brown, I., Martin-Ortega, J., Waylen, K., Blackstock, K., 2016. Participatory scenario planning for developing innovation in community adaptation responses: three contrasting examples from Latin America. Regional Environmental Change 16, 1685–1700. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0898-7",NA 93,Bryan et al. 2015,L1,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Regional (continental),Australia,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Bryan, B.A., Crossman, N.D., Nolan, M., Li, J., Navarro, J., Connor, J.D., 2015. Land Use Efficiency: Anticipating Future Demand for Land-Sector Greenhouse Gas Emissions Abatement and Managing Trade-Offs with Agriculture, Water, and Biodiversity. Global Change Biology 21, 4098–4114. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13020",NA 94,Bryan et al. 2015,M3,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Regional (continental),Australia,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Bryan, B.A., Crossman, N.D., Nolan, M., Li, J., Navarro, J., Connor, J.D., 2015. Land Use Efficiency: Anticipating Future Demand for Land-Sector Greenhouse Gas Emissions Abatement and Managing Trade-Offs with Agriculture, Water, and Biodiversity. Global Change Biology 21, 4098–4114. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13020",NA 95,Bryan et al. 2015,M2,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Regional (continental),Australia,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Bryan, B.A., Crossman, N.D., Nolan, M., Li, J., Navarro, J., Connor, J.D., 2015. Land Use Efficiency: Anticipating Future Demand for Land-Sector Greenhouse Gas Emissions Abatement and Managing Trade-Offs with Agriculture, Water, and Biodiversity. Global Change Biology 21, 4098–4114. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13020",NA 96,Bryan et al. 2015,H3,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Regional (continental),Australia,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Bryan, B.A., Crossman, N.D., Nolan, M., Li, J., Navarro, J., Connor, J.D., 2015. Land Use Efficiency: Anticipating Future Demand for Land-Sector Greenhouse Gas Emissions Abatement and Managing Trade-Offs with Agriculture, Water, and Biodiversity. Global Change Biology 21, 4098–4114. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13020",NA 97,Budiharta et al. 2018,Restoration to offset the impacts of palm-oil developments,Other,Academia without stakeholder engagement,25 year cycle,Local,"Kalimantan, Indonesia",Indonesia,Asia-Pacific,"Budiharta, S., Meijaard, E., Gaveau, D.L.A., Struebig, M.J., Wilting, A., Kramer-Schadt, S., Niedballa, J., Raes, N., Maron, M., Wilson, K.A., 2018. Restoration to offset the impacts of developments at a landscape scale reveals opportunities, challenges and tough choices. Global Environmental Change 52, 152–161. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.07.008",NA 98,Burnett et al. 2019,Unrestored forest,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"Kauai Island, Hawaii",USA,Americas,"Burnett, K.M., Ticktin, T., Bremer, L.L., Quazi, S.A., Geslani, C., Wada, C.A., Kurashima, N., Mandle, L., Pascua, P., Depraetere, T., Wolkis, D., Edmonds, M., Giambelluca, T., Falinski, K., Winter, K.B., 2019. Restoring to the future: Environmental, cultural, and management trade-offs in historical versus hybrid restoration of a highly modified ecosystem. Conservation Letters 12, 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12606",NA 99,Burnett et al. 2019,Pre-European,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"Kauai Island, Hawaii",USA,Americas,"Burnett, K.M., Ticktin, T., Bremer, L.L., Quazi, S.A., Geslani, C., Wada, C.A., Kurashima, N., Mandle, L., Pascua, P., Depraetere, T., Wolkis, D., Edmonds, M., Giambelluca, T., Falinski, K., Winter, K.B., 2019. Restoring to the future: Environmental, cultural, and management trade-offs in historical versus hybrid restoration of a highly modified ecosystem. Conservation Letters 12, 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12606",NA 100,Burnett et al. 2019,Pre-rat (hypothetical),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"Kauai Island, Hawaii",USA,Americas,"Burnett, K.M., Ticktin, T., Bremer, L.L., Quazi, S.A., Geslani, C., Wada, C.A., Kurashima, N., Mandle, L., Pascua, P., Depraetere, T., Wolkis, D., Edmonds, M., Giambelluca, T., Falinski, K., Winter, K.B., 2019. Restoring to the future: Environmental, cultural, and management trade-offs in historical versus hybrid restoration of a highly modified ecosystem. Conservation Letters 12, 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12606",NA 101,Burnett et al. 2019,Hybrid (hypothetical),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"Kauai Island, Hawaii",USA,Americas,"Burnett, K.M., Ticktin, T., Bremer, L.L., Quazi, S.A., Geslani, C., Wada, C.A., Kurashima, N., Mandle, L., Pascua, P., Depraetere, T., Wolkis, D., Edmonds, M., Giambelluca, T., Falinski, K., Winter, K.B., 2019. Restoring to the future: Environmental, cultural, and management trade-offs in historical versus hybrid restoration of a highly modified ecosystem. Conservation Letters 12, 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12606",NA 102,"Butler et al., 2013",No Vegetation Management Act,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,Local,"Tully–Murray catchment, Great Barrier Reef",Australia,Asia-Pacific,https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167880911003215,"Butler, J. R. A., Wong, G. Y., Metcalfe, D. J., Honzák, M., Pert, P. L., Rao, N., van Grieken, M. E., Lawson, T., Bruce, C., Kroon, F. J., Brodie, J. E. (2013). An analysis of trade-offs between multiple ecosystem services and stakeholders linked to land use and water quality management in the Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 180, 176–191. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2011.08.017" 103,"Butler et al., 2013",Present Day,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,Local,"Tully–Murray catchment, Great Barrier Reef",Australia,Asia-Pacific,https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167880911003215,"Butler, J. R. A., Wong, G. Y., Metcalfe, D. J., Honzák, M., Pert, P. L., Rao, N., van Grieken, M. E., Lawson, T., Bruce, C., Kroon, F. J., Brodie, J. E. (2013). An analysis of trade-offs between multiple ecosystem services and stakeholders linked to land use and water quality management in the Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 180, 176–191. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2011.08.017" 104,"Butler et al., 2013",De-nitrification and Sediment Priorities,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,Local,"Tully–Murray catchment, Great Barrier Reef",Australia,Asia-Pacific,https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167880911003215,"Butler, J. R. A., Wong, G. Y., Metcalfe, D. J., Honzák, M., Pert, P. L., Rao, N., van Grieken, M. E., Lawson, T., Bruce, C., Kroon, F. J., Brodie, J. E. (2013). An analysis of trade-offs between multiple ecosystem services and stakeholders linked to land use and water quality management in the Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 180, 176–191. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2011.08.017" 105,"Butler et al., 2013",Native Forestry,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,Local,"Tully–Murray catchment, Great Barrier Reef",Australia,Asia-Pacific,https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167880911003215,"Butler, J. R. A., Wong, G. Y., Metcalfe, D. J., Honzák, M., Pert, P. L., Rao, N., van Grieken, M. E., Lawson, T., Bruce, C., Kroon, F. J., Brodie, J. E. (2013). An analysis of trade-offs between multiple ecosystem services and stakeholders linked to land use and water quality management in the Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 180, 176–191. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2011.08.017" 106,Capital Institute (John Fullerton),Regenerative capitalism: How universal principles and patterns will shape our new economy,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,Unspecified,Global,Global,Global,Global,http://capitalinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/2015-Regenerative-Capitalism-4-20-15-final.pdf,NA 107,Carlsson et al. 2016,Fade Out,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,30 years,local,Northern Sweden,Sweden,Europe and Central Asia,"Carlsson, J., Eriksson, L.O., Öhman, K., Nordström, E.M., 2015. Combining scientific and stakeholder knowledge in future scenario development - A forest landscape case study in northern Sweden. Forest Policy and Economics 61, 122–134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2015.08.008",NA 108,Carlsson et al. 2016,Rural diversity,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,30 years,local,Northern Sweden,Sweden,Europe and Central Asia,"Carlsson, J., Eriksson, L.O., Öhman, K., Nordström, E.M., 2015. Combining scientific and stakeholder knowledge in future scenario development - A forest landscape case study in northern Sweden. Forest Policy and Economics 61, 122–134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2015.08.008",NA 109,Carlsson et al. 2016,Reindeer husbandary,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,30 years,local,Northern Sweden,Sweden,Europe and Central Asia,"Carlsson, J., Eriksson, L.O., Öhman, K., Nordström, E.M., 2015. Combining scientific and stakeholder knowledge in future scenario development - A forest landscape case study in northern Sweden. Forest Policy and Economics 61, 122–134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2015.08.008",NA 110,Carpenter et al. 2015 & Qiu et al. 2018,Abandonment and Renewal,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2070,Local,"Yahara, Wisconsin, USA",USA,Americas,"Carpenter, S. R., E. G. Booth, S. Gillon, C. J. Kucharik, S. Loheide, A. S. Mase, M. Motew, J. Qiu, A. R. Rissman, J. Seifert, E. Soylu, M. Turner, and C. B. Wardropper. 2015. Plausible futures of a social-ecological system: Yahara watershed, Wisconsin, USA. Ecology and Society 20(2). Qiu, J., S. R. Carpenter, E. G. Booth, M. Motew, S. C. Zipper, C. J. Kucharik, X. Chen, S. P. Loheide, J. Seifert, and M. G. Turner. 2018. Scenarios reveal pathways to sustain future ecosystem services in an agricultural landscape: Ecological Applications 28(1):119–134.",NA 111,Carpenter et al. 2015 & Qiu et al. 2018,Accelerated Innovation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2070,Local,"Yahara, Wisconsin, USA",USA,Americas,"Carpenter, S. R., E. G. Booth, S. Gillon, C. J. Kucharik, S. Loheide, A. S. Mase, M. Motew, J. Qiu, A. R. Rissman, J. Seifert, E. Soylu, M. Turner, and C. B. Wardropper. 2015. Plausible futures of a social-ecological system: Yahara watershed, Wisconsin, USA. Ecology and Society 20(2). Qiu, J., S. R. Carpenter, E. G. Booth, M. Motew, S. C. Zipper, C. J. Kucharik, X. Chen, S. P. Loheide, J. Seifert, and M. G. Turner. 2018. Scenarios reveal pathways to sustain future ecosystem services in an agricultural landscape: Ecological Applications 28(1):119–134.",NA 112,Carpenter et al. 2015 & Qiu et al. 2018,Connected Communities,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2070,Local,"Yahara, Wisconsin, USA",USA,Americas,"Carpenter, S. R., E. G. Booth, S. Gillon, C. J. Kucharik, S. Loheide, A. S. Mase, M. Motew, J. Qiu, A. R. Rissman, J. Seifert, E. Soylu, M. Turner, and C. B. Wardropper. 2015. Plausible futures of a social-ecological system: Yahara watershed, Wisconsin, USA. Ecology and Society 20(2). Qiu, J., S. R. Carpenter, E. G. Booth, M. Motew, S. C. Zipper, C. J. Kucharik, X. Chen, S. P. Loheide, J. Seifert, and M. G. Turner. 2018. Scenarios reveal pathways to sustain future ecosystem services in an agricultural landscape: Ecological Applications 28(1):119–134.",NA 113,Carpenter et al. 2015 & Qiu et al. 2018,Nested Watersheds,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2070,Local,"Yahara, Wisconsin, USA",USA,Americas,"Carpenter, S. R., E. G. Booth, S. Gillon, C. J. Kucharik, S. Loheide, A. S. Mase, M. Motew, J. Qiu, A. R. Rissman, J. Seifert, E. Soylu, M. Turner, and C. B. Wardropper. 2015. Plausible futures of a social-ecological system: Yahara watershed, Wisconsin, USA. Ecology and Society 20(2). Qiu, J., S. R. Carpenter, E. G. Booth, M. Motew, S. C. Zipper, C. J. Kucharik, X. Chen, S. P. Loheide, J. Seifert, and M. G. Turner. 2018. Scenarios reveal pathways to sustain future ecosystem services in an agricultural landscape: Ecological Applications 28(1):119–134.",NA 114,CBD Technical Series No 79,Trend Scenario,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.cbd.int/doc/publications/cbd-ts-79-en.pdf, biodiversity loss 115,CBD Technical Series No 79,Global Technology,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.cbd.int/doc/publications/cbd-ts-79-en.pdf,"Kok, M. et al. How Sectors Can Contribute To Sustainable Use And Conservation Of Biodiversity CBD Technical Report No. 79 (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, 2014)." 116,CBD Technical Series No 79,Decentralised Solutions,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.cbd.int/doc/publications/cbd-ts-79-en.pdf,"Kok, M. et al. How Sectors Can Contribute To Sustainable Use And Conservation Of Biodiversity CBD Technical Report No. 79 (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, 2014)." 117,CBD Technical Series No 79,Consumption Change,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.cbd.int/doc/publications/cbd-ts-79-en.pdf,"Kok, M. et al. How Sectors Can Contribute To Sustainable Use And Conservation Of Biodiversity CBD Technical Report No. 79 (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, 2014)." 118,Charting Our Water Future: Economic frameworks to inform decision-making - 2030 Water Resources Group,Base-case scenario,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Business/ private sector,2030,Global,"Global scenario, but considers four case studies separately India, China, South Africa, and Sao Paolo State (Brazil)",Global,Global,http://www.2030wrg.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/Charting-Our-Water-Future-Final.pdf,"2030 Water Resources Group, 2009. Charting Our Water Future: Economic frameworks to inform decision-making." 119,Charting Our Water Future: Economic frameworks to inform decision-making - 2030 Water Resources Group,Endogenous scenario: Accelerated economic growth,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Business/ private sector,2030,Global,"Global scenario, but considers four case studies separately India, China, South Africa, and Sao Paolo State (Brazil)",Global,Global,http://www.2030wrg.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/Charting-Our-Water-Future-Final.pdf,"2030 Water Resources Group, 2009. Charting Our Water Future: Economic frameworks to inform decision-making." 120,Charting Our Water Future: Economic frameworks to inform decision-making - 2030 Water Resources Group,Exogenous scenario: Climate change,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Business/ private sector,2030,Global,"Global scenario, but considers four case studies separately India, China, South Africa, and Sao Paolo State (Brazil)",Global,Global,http://www.2030wrg.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/Charting-Our-Water-Future-Final.pdf,"2030 Water Resources Group, 2009. Charting Our Water Future: Economic frameworks to inform decision-making." 121,Charting Our Water Future: Economic frameworks to inform decision-making - 2030 Water Resources Group,Base-case scenario,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Business/ private sector,2030,Global,"Global scenario, but considers four case studies separately India, China, South Africa, and Sao Paolo State (Brazil)",Global,Global,http://www.2030wrg.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/Charting-Our-Water-Future-Final.pdf,"2030 Water Resources Group, 2009. Charting Our Water Future: Economic frameworks to inform decision-making." 122,Charting Our Water Future: Economic frameworks to inform decision-making - 2030 Water Resources Group,Ethanol/sugarcane boom,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Business/ private sector,2030,Global,"Global scenario, but considers four case studies separately India, China, South Africa, and Sao Paolo State (Brazil)",Global,Global,http://www.2030wrg.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/Charting-Our-Water-Future-Final.pdf,"2030 Water Resources Group, 2009. Charting Our Water Future: Economic frameworks to inform decision-making." 123,Chatterton et al. 2015,Business As Usual (BAU),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"United Kingdom, agricultural and rural sectors",UK,Europe and Central Asia,"Chatterton, J; Graves, A; Audsley, E; Morris, J; Williams, A 2015 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.05.103",NA 124,Chatterton et al. 2015,Optimised BAU,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"United Kingdom, agricultural and rural sectors",UK,Europe and Central Asia,"Chatterton, J; Graves, A; Audsley, E; Morris, J; Williams, A 2015 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.05.103",NA 125,Chatterton et al. 2015,BAU + (up to 20%+),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"United Kingdom, agricultural and rural sectors",UK,Europe and Central Asia,"Chatterton, J; Graves, A; Audsley, E; Morris, J; Williams, A 2015 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.05.103",NA 126,Chatterton et al. 2015,GHG reduced by 25%,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"United Kingdom, agricultural and rural sectors",UK,Europe and Central Asia,"Chatterton, J; Graves, A; Audsley, E; Morris, J; Williams, A 2015 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.05.103",NA 127,Chatterton et al. 2015,Red to white meat,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"United Kingdom, agricultural and rural sectors",UK,Europe and Central Asia,"Chatterton, J; Graves, A; Audsley, E; Morris, J; Williams, A 2015 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.05.103",NA 128,Chatterton et al. 2015,Arable substitution,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"United Kingdom, agricultural and rural sectors",UK,Europe and Central Asia,"Chatterton, J; Graves, A; Audsley, E; Morris, J; Williams, A 2015 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.05.103",NA 129,Chu et al. 2018,BaU,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2020,Local,"Three Gorges Reservoir Area, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Chu, L., Sun, T., Wang, T., Li, Z., Cai, C., 2018. Evolution and prediction of landscape pattern and habitat quality based on CA-Markov and InVEST model in hubei section of Three Gorges Reservoir Area (TGRA). Sustainability (Switzerland). doi:10.3390/su10113854",NA 130,Chu et al. 2018,Ecological Protection,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2020,Local,"Three Gorges Reservoir Area, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Chu, L., Sun, T., Wang, T., Li, Z., Cai, C., 2018. Evolution and prediction of landscape pattern and habitat quality based on CA-Markov and InVEST model in hubei section of Three Gorges Reservoir Area (TGRA). Sustainability (Switzerland). doi:10.3390/su10113854",NA 131,Ciplak 2015,SC1: off site incineration,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"West Black Sea Region, Turkey",Turkey,Europe and Central Asia,"Ciplak, N., 2015. Assessing future scenarios for health care waste management using a multi-criteria decision analysis tool: A case study in the Turkish West Black Sea Region. Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association 65, 919–929. https://doi.org/10.1080/10962247.2015.1038398",NA 132,Ciplak 2015,SC2: central incinerator,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"West Black Sea Region, Turkey",Turkey,Europe and Central Asia,"Ciplak, N., 2015. Assessing future scenarios for health care waste management using a multi-criteria decision analysis tool: A case study in the Turkish West Black Sea Region. Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association 65, 919–929. https://doi.org/10.1080/10962247.2015.1038398",NA 133,Ciplak 2015,SC3: in situ incineration,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"West Black Sea Region, Turkey",Turkey,Europe and Central Asia,"Ciplak, N., 2015. Assessing future scenarios for health care waste management using a multi-criteria decision analysis tool: A case study in the Turkish West Black Sea Region. Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association 65, 919–929. https://doi.org/10.1080/10962247.2015.1038398",NA 134,Comer et al. 2014,thriving and prosperous,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Academia participatory/policy-driven,2013-2063,Regional (continental),"Great-Lakes - St. Lawrence River basin, North America",North America,Americas,"Comer, B; Fera, SA; Splawinski, S; Laurent, KL; Friedman, KB; Krantzberg, G; Scavia, D; Creed, IF 2014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2014.12.004",NA 135,Connor et al. 2016,No cap,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,National,"Murray-Darling Basin, SE Australia",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Connor, J.D., Bryan, B.A., Nolan, M., 2016. Cap and trade policy for managing water competition from potential future carbon plantations. Environmental Science and Policy 66, 11–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2016.07.005",NA 136,Connor et al. 2016,Cap with trade,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,National,"Murray-Darling Basin, SE Australia",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Connor, J.D., Bryan, B.A., Nolan, M., 2016. Cap and trade policy for managing water competition from potential future carbon plantations. Environmental Science and Policy 66, 11–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2016.07.005",NA 137,Connor et al. 2016,Cap without trade,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,National,"Murray-Darling Basin, SE Australia",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Connor, J.D., Bryan, B.A., Nolan, M., 2016. Cap and trade policy for managing water competition from potential future carbon plantations. Environmental Science and Policy 66, 11–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2016.07.005",NA 138,CONSAVE 2050,Unlimited Skies; IPCC/SRES A1G-Message ,Exploratory scenarios,"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2050; also 2025 and 2100,Global,Germany,Global,Global,https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/30945495.pdf,"R. Berghof, A. Schmitt, J. Middel, C. Eyers, R. Hancox, A. Grübler, M. Hepting.(2005) CONSAVE 2050 - Final Technical Report" 139,CONSAVE 2050,Regulatory Push & Pull; IPCC/SRES A1T-Message,Exploratory scenarios,"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2050; also 2025 and 2101,Global,World,Global,Global,https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/30945495.pdf,"R. Berghof, A. Schmitt, J. Middel, C. Eyers, R. Hancox, A. Grübler, M. Hepting.(2005) CONSAVE 2050 - Final Technical Report" 140,CONSAVE 2050,Fractured World; IPCC/SRES A2 Message ,Exploratory scenarios,"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2050; also 2025 and 2102,Global,World,Global,Global,https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/30945495.pdf,"R. Berghof, A. Schmitt, J. Middel, C. Eyers, R. Hancox, A. Grübler, M. Hepting.(2005) CONSAVE 2050 - Final Technical Report" 141,CONSAVE 2050,Down to Earth; IPCC/SRES B1 Message ,Exploratory scenarios,"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2050; also 2025 and 2103,Global,World,Global,Global,https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/30945495.pdf,"R. Berghof, A. Schmitt, J. Middel, C. Eyers, R. Hancox, A. Grübler, M. Hepting.(2005) CONSAVE 2050 - Final Technical Report" 142,Costello et al. 2016,BaU,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,global,global,Global,Global,"Costello, C., Ovando, D., Clavelle, T., Strauss, C.K., Hilborn, R., Melnychuk, M.C., Branch, T.A., Gaines, S.D., Szuwalski, C.S., Cabral, R.B., Rader, D.N., Leland, A., Kent Strauss, C., Hilborn, R., Melnychuk, M.C., Branch, T.A., Gaines, S.D., Szuwalski, C.S., Cabral, R.B., Rader, D.N., Leland, A., 2016. Global fishery prospects under contrasting management regimes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 113, 5125–5129. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1520420113",NA 143,Costello et al. 2016,Fishing to maximize long-term catch (FMSY),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,global,global,Global,Global,"Costello, C., Ovando, D., Clavelle, T., Strauss, C.K., Hilborn, R., Melnychuk, M.C., Branch, T.A., Gaines, S.D., Szuwalski, C.S., Cabral, R.B., Rader, D.N., Leland, A., Kent Strauss, C., Hilborn, R., Melnychuk, M.C., Branch, T.A., Gaines, S.D., Szuwalski, C.S., Cabral, R.B., Rader, D.N., Leland, A., 2016. Global fishery prospects under contrasting management regimes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 113, 5125–5129. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1520420113",NA 144,Costello et al. 2016,Rights-Based Fishery Management (RBFM),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,global,global,Global,Global,"Costello, C., Ovando, D., Clavelle, T., Strauss, C.K., Hilborn, R., Melnychuk, M.C., Branch, T.A., Gaines, S.D., Szuwalski, C.S., Cabral, R.B., Rader, D.N., Leland, A., Kent Strauss, C., Hilborn, R., Melnychuk, M.C., Branch, T.A., Gaines, S.D., Szuwalski, C.S., Cabral, R.B., Rader, D.N., Leland, A., 2016. Global fishery prospects under contrasting management regimes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 113, 5125–5129. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1520420113",NA 145,DasGupta et al. 2019,Business as Usual (BAU),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,Local,The lower Gangetic delta in India (aka the Indian Sundarban),India,Asia-Pacific,"DasGupta, R., Hashimoto, S., Okuro, T., Basu, M., 2019. Scenario-based land change modelling in the Indian Sundarban delta: an exploratory analysis of plausible alternative regional futures. Sustainability Science 14, 221–240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0642-6","DasGupta, R., Hashimoto, S., Okuro, T., Basu, M., 2019. Scenario-based land change modelling in the Indian Sundarban delta: an exploratory analysis of plausible alternative regional futures. Sustainability Science 14, 221–240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0642-6" 146,DasGupta et al. 2019,Market forces,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,Local,The lower Gangetic delta in India (aka the Indian Sundarban),India,Asia-Pacific,"DasGupta, R., Hashimoto, S., Okuro, T., Basu, M., 2019. Scenario-based land change modelling in the Indian Sundarban delta: an exploratory analysis of plausible alternative regional futures. Sustainability Science 14, 221–240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0642-6","DasGupta, R., Hashimoto, S., Okuro, T., Basu, M., 2019. Scenario-based land change modelling in the Indian Sundarban delta: an exploratory analysis of plausible alternative regional futures. Sustainability Science 14, 221–240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0642-6" 147,DasGupta et al. 2019,Delta Republic,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,Local,The lower Gangetic delta in India (aka the Indian Sundarban),India,Asia-Pacific,"DasGupta, R., Hashimoto, S., Okuro, T., Basu, M., 2019. Scenario-based land change modelling in the Indian Sundarban delta: an exploratory analysis of plausible alternative regional futures. Sustainability Science 14, 221–240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0642-6","DasGupta, R., Hashimoto, S., Okuro, T., Basu, M., 2019. Scenario-based land change modelling in the Indian Sundarban delta: an exploratory analysis of plausible alternative regional futures. Sustainability Science 14, 221–240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0642-6" 148,DasGupta et al. 2019,Green Sundarban,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,Local,The lower Gangetic delta in India (aka the Indian Sundarban),India,Asia-Pacific,"DasGupta, R., Hashimoto, S., Okuro, T., Basu, M., 2019. Scenario-based land change modelling in the Indian Sundarban delta: an exploratory analysis of plausible alternative regional futures. Sustainability Science 14, 221–240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0642-6","DasGupta, R., Hashimoto, S., Okuro, T., Basu, M., 2019. Scenario-based land change modelling in the Indian Sundarban delta: an exploratory analysis of plausible alternative regional futures. Sustainability Science 14, 221–240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0642-6" 149,Davies et al. 2015,Protected ocean,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,15 years,Regional (continental),Indian Ocean,Indian Ocean,Asia-Pacific,"Davies, T.K., Mees, C.C., Milner-Gulland, E.J., 2015. Second-guessing uncertainty: Scenario planning for management of the Indian Ocean tuna purse seine fishery. Marine Policy 62, 169–177. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.09.019",NA 150,Davies et al. 2015,Sustainable seafood,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,15 years,Regional (continental),Indian Ocean,Indian Ocean,Asia-Pacific,"Davies, T.K., Mees, C.C., Milner-Gulland, E.J., 2015. Second-guessing uncertainty: Scenario planning for management of the Indian Ocean tuna purse seine fishery. Marine Policy 62, 169–177. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.09.019",NA 151,Davies et al. 2015,Depleted ocean,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,15 years,Regional (continental),Indian Ocean,Indian Ocean,Asia-Pacific,"Davies, T.K., Mees, C.C., Milner-Gulland, E.J., 2015. Second-guessing uncertainty: Scenario planning for management of the Indian Ocean tuna purse seine fishery. Marine Policy 62, 169–177. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.09.019",NA 152,de Bruin et al. 2017,Liberal future,Other,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2044,Local,"Veluwe, the Netherlands",Netherlands,Europe and Central Asia,"de Bruin, J. O., K. Kok, and M. A. Hoogstra-Klein. 2017. Exploring the potential of combining participative backcasting and exploratory scenarios for robust strategies: Insights from the Dutch forest sector. Forest Policy and Economics85(June):269–282.",NA 153,de Bruin et al. 2017,Romantic nature future,Other,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2044,Local,"Veluwe, the Netherlands",Netherlands,Europe and Central Asia,"de Bruin, J. O., K. Kok, and M. A. Hoogstra-Klein. 2017. Exploring the potential of combining participative backcasting and exploratory scenarios for robust strategies: Insights from the Dutch forest sector. Forest Policy and Economics85(June):269–282.",NA 154,de Bruin et al. 2017,Utilitarian future,Other,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2044,Local,"Veluwe, the Netherlands",Netherlands,Europe and Central Asia,"de Bruin, J. O., K. Kok, and M. A. Hoogstra-Klein. 2017. Exploring the potential of combining participative backcasting and exploratory scenarios for robust strategies: Insights from the Dutch forest sector. Forest Policy and Economics85(June):269–282.",NA 155,Decision No 1386/2013/EU,"Living well, within the limits of our planet","Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios","Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2050 (written in 2013),Regional (continental),European Union,EU,Europe and Central Asia,http://data.europa.eu/eli/dec/2013/1386/oj; https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/1d861dfb-ae0c-4638-83ab-69b234bde376,"Decision No 1386/2013/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 20 November 2013 on a General Union Environment Action Programme to 2020 ‘Living well, within the limits of our planet’ " 156,Delzeit et al. 2017,baseline ,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,Global,Global,Global,Global,"Delzeit, R., Zabel, F., Meyer, C., Václavík, T., 2017. Addressing future trade-offs between biodiversity and cropland expansion to improve food security. Regional Environmental Change 17, 1429–1441. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-016-0927-1",NA 157,Delzeit et al. 2017,land expansion,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,Global,Global,Global,Global,"Delzeit, R., Zabel, F., Meyer, C., Václavík, T., 2017. Addressing future trade-offs between biodiversity and cropland expansion to improve food security. Regional Environmental Change 17, 1429–1441. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-016-0927-1",NA 158,Devisscher et al. 2016,Hands-off,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"Chiquitania, Bolivia",Bolivia,Americas,"Devisscher, T., Boyd, E., Malhi, Y., 2016. Anticipating future risk in social-ecological systems using fuzzy cognitive mapping: The case of wildfire in the Chiquitania, Bolivia. Ecology and Society 21. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-08599-210418",NA 159,Devisscher et al. 2016,Fire management,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"Chiquitania, Bolivia",Bolivia,Americas,"Devisscher, T., Boyd, E., Malhi, Y., 2016. Anticipating future risk in social-ecological systems using fuzzy cognitive mapping: The case of wildfire in the Chiquitania, Bolivia. Ecology and Society 21. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-08599-210418",NA 160,Devisscher et al. 2016,Fire supression,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"Chiquitania, Bolivia",Bolivia,Americas,"Devisscher, T., Boyd, E., Malhi, Y., 2016. Anticipating future risk in social-ecological systems using fuzzy cognitive mapping: The case of wildfire in the Chiquitania, Bolivia. Ecology and Society 21. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-08599-210418",NA 161,Dole,Our promise for a brighter world ,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,2025,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://assets.ctfassets.net/b8undcd1e9w8/3KjulJMAm5Uk63vfQeiUoB/b8b01fd1ec56cd58bfafe8c41da66754/Dole_Promise_Visual.pdf,NA 162,Dueri et al. 2016,Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2095,global,global,Global,Global,"Dueri, S., Guillotreau, P., Jiménez-Toribio, R., Oliveros-Ramos, R., Bopp, L., Maury, O., 2016. Food security or economic profitability? Projecting the effects of climate and socioeconomic changes on global skipjack tuna fisheries under three management strategies. Global Environmental Change 41, 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.08.003",NA 163,Dueri et al. 2016,Maximum Economic Yield (MEY),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2095,global,global,Global,Global,"Dueri, S., Guillotreau, P., Jiménez-Toribio, R., Oliveros-Ramos, R., Bopp, L., Maury, O., 2016. Food security or economic profitability? Projecting the effects of climate and socioeconomic changes on global skipjack tuna fisheries under three management strategies. Global Environmental Change 41, 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.08.003",NA 164,Dueri et al. 2016,Zero Rent (ZR),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2095,global,global,Global,Global,"Dueri, S., Guillotreau, P., Jiménez-Toribio, R., Oliveros-Ramos, R., Bopp, L., Maury, O., 2016. Food security or economic profitability? Projecting the effects of climate and socioeconomic changes on global skipjack tuna fisheries under three management strategies. Global Environmental Change 41, 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.08.003",NA 165,Dupont et al. 2016,Current Trends,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2028,local,"Britany, France",France,Europe and Central Asia,"Dupont, H., Gourmelon, F., Rouan, M., Le Viol, I., Kerbiriou, C., 2016. The contribution of agent-based simulations to conservation management on a Natura 2000 site. Journal of Environmental Management 168, 27–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2015.11.056",NA 166,Dupont et al. 2016,Sustained Management,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2028,local,"Britany, France",France,Europe and Central Asia,"Dupont, H., Gourmelon, F., Rouan, M., Le Viol, I., Kerbiriou, C., 2016. The contribution of agent-based simulations to conservation management on a Natura 2000 site. Journal of Environmental Management 168, 27–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2015.11.056",NA 167,Dupont et al. 2016,Stopping Agricultural Activities,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2028,local,"Britany, France",France,Europe and Central Asia,"Dupont, H., Gourmelon, F., Rouan, M., Le Viol, I., Kerbiriou, C., 2016. The contribution of agent-based simulations to conservation management on a Natura 2000 site. Journal of Environmental Management 168, 27–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2015.11.056",NA 168,Dupont et al. 2016,Without Agriculture and Without Conservation Actions,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2028,local,"Britany, France",France,Europe and Central Asia,"Dupont, H., Gourmelon, F., Rouan, M., Le Viol, I., Kerbiriou, C., 2016. The contribution of agent-based simulations to conservation management on a Natura 2000 site. Journal of Environmental Management 168, 27–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2015.11.056",NA 169,ECVC’s contribution for the EU Long Term Vision for Rural Areas,European Coordination Via Campesina Long-term vision for rural areas,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,2040,Regional (continental),Europe,Global,Europe and Central Asia,https://www.eurovia.org/ecvc-contribution-for-eu-long-term-vision-for-rural-areas/,NA 170,Eide 2008,"High exploitation rates (scenarios OA, TAC2, LE)",Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2034,Regional (continental),Barents Sea,Barents Sea,Europe and Central Asia,"Eide, A., Heen, K., 2002. Economic impacts of global warming. Fisheries Research 56, 261–274. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0165-7836(01)00324-1",NA 171,Eide 2008,"Low exploitation rates (scenarios PA, 3PA and TAC1)",Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2034,Regional (continental),Barents Sea,Barents Sea,Europe and Central Asia,"Eide, A., Heen, K., 2002. Economic impacts of global warming. Fisheries Research 56, 261–274. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0165-7836(01)00324-1",NA 172,Elwell et al. 2018,Potential interventions,Other,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,"Pudeto estuary, Chile",Chile,Americas,"Elwell, T.L., Gelcich, S., Gaines, S.D., López-Carr, D., 2018. Using people’s perceptions of ecosystem services to guide modeling and management efforts. Science of the Total Environment 637–638, 1014–1025. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.04.052",NA 173,Estoque & Murayama 2016,S1 (BaU),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,local,"S/SE Asia: 1. Baguio, Philippines, 2. Bogor, Indonesia, 3. Dalat, Vietnam, 4. Pyin Oo Lwin, Myanmar",Asia-Pacific,Asia-Pacific,"Estoque, R.C., Murayama, Y., 2016. Quantifying landscape pattern and ecosystem service value changes in four rapidly urbanizing hill stations of Southeast Asia. Landscape Ecology 31, 1481–1507. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-016-0341-6",NA 174,Estoque & Murayama 2016,S2 (slowed urban expansion),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,local,"S/SE Asia: 1. Baguio, Philippines, 2. Bogor, Indonesia, 3. Dalat, Vietnam, 4. Pyin Oo Lwin, Myanmar",Asia-Pacific,Asia-Pacific,"Estoque, R.C., Murayama, Y., 2016. Quantifying landscape pattern and ecosystem service value changes in four rapidly urbanizing hill stations of Southeast Asia. Landscape Ecology 31, 1481–1507. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-016-0341-6",NA 175,Estoque & Murayama 2016,S3 (increased urban expansion),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,local,"S/SE Asia: 1. Baguio, Philippines, 2. Bogor, Indonesia, 3. Dalat, Vietnam, 4. Pyin Oo Lwin, Myanmar",Asia-Pacific,Asia-Pacific,"Estoque, R.C., Murayama, Y., 2016. Quantifying landscape pattern and ecosystem service value changes in four rapidly urbanizing hill stations of Southeast Asia. Landscape Ecology 31, 1481–1507. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-016-0341-6",NA 176,Fain et al. 2017,B1,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2099,National,Puerto Rico,Puerto Rico,Americas,"Fain, S. J., M. Quiñones, N. L. Álvarez-Berríos, I. K. Parés-Ramos, and W. A. Gould. 2018. Climate change and coffee: assessing vulnerability by modeling future climate suitability in the Caribbean island of Puerto Rico. Climatic Change 146(1–2):175–186.",NA 177,Fain et al. 2017,A1B,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2099,National,Puerto Rico,Puerto Rico,Americas,"Fain, S. J., M. Quiñones, N. L. Álvarez-Berríos, I. K. Parés-Ramos, and W. A. Gould. 2018. Climate change and coffee: assessing vulnerability by modeling future climate suitability in the Caribbean island of Puerto Rico. Climatic Change 146(1–2):175–186.",NA 178,Fain et al. 2017,A2,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2099,National,Puerto Rico,Puerto Rico,Americas,"Fain, S. J., M. Quiñones, N. L. Álvarez-Berríos, I. K. Parés-Ramos, and W. A. Gould. 2018. Climate change and coffee: assessing vulnerability by modeling future climate suitability in the Caribbean island of Puerto Rico. Climatic Change 146(1–2):175–186.",NA 179,Farrell and Silva-Macher 2017,Conservation is prioritized over cash income,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,"Sierra del Divisor NP, Peru & Brazil",South America,Americas,"Farrell, K. N., and J. C. Silva-macher. 2017. Exploring Futures for Amazonia ’ s Sierra del Divisor : An Environmental Valuation Triadics Approach to Analyzing Ecological Economic Decision Choices in the Context of Major Shifts in Boundary Conditions. Ecological Economics 141:166–179.",NA 180,Farrell and Silva-Macher 2017,Cash income is prioritized over conservation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,"Sierra del Divisor NP, Peru & Brazil",South America,Americas,"Farrell, K. N., and J. C. Silva-macher. 2017. Exploring Futures for Amazonia ’ s Sierra del Divisor : An Environmental Valuation Triadics Approach to Analyzing Ecological Economic Decision Choices in the Context of Major Shifts in Boundary Conditions. Ecological Economics 141:166–179.",NA 181,"Fernandes et al., 2016",Sustainability scenario,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2060,National,Bangladeshi Bay of Bengal,Bangladesh,Asia-Pacific,https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article/73/5/1357/2296500,"Fernandes, J. A., Kay, S., Hossain , M. A. R., Ahmed, M., Cheung, W. W. L., Lazar, A. N. & Barange, M. (2016). Projecting marine fish production and catch potential in Bangladesh in the 21st century under long-term environmental change and management scenarios. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 73: 1357-1369." 182,"Fernandes et al., 2016",Business as usual scenario (BaU),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2060,National,Bangladeshi Bay of Bengal,Bangladesh,Asia-Pacific,https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article/73/5/1357/2296500,"Fernandes, J. A., Kay, S., Hossain , M. A. R., Ahmed, M., Cheung, W. W. L., Lazar, A. N. & Barange, M. (2016). Projecting marine fish production and catch potential in Bangladesh in the 21st century under long-term environmental change and management scenarios. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 73: 1357-1369." 183,"Fernandes et al., 2016",OF scenario,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2060,National,Bangladeshi Bay of Bengal,Bangladesh,Asia-Pacific,https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article/73/5/1357/2296500,"Fernandes, J. A., Kay, S., Hossain , M. A. R., Ahmed, M., Cheung, W. W. L., Lazar, A. N. & Barange, M. (2016). Projecting marine fish production and catch potential in Bangladesh in the 21st century under long-term environmental change and management scenarios. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 73: 1357-1369." 184,"Food, Farming and Countryside Commission, Royal society for arts, manufactures and commerce (RSA) ",Our Future in the Land,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Unspecified,National,UK,UK,Europe and Central Asia,https://www.thersa.org/reports/future-land,"RSA Food, Farming & Countryside Commission 2019. Our Future in the Land. https://www.thersa.org/globalassets/reports/rsa-ffcc-our-future-in-the-land.pdf" 185,Future-Fit Foundation ,Future-Fit Business Benchmark Methodology Guide ,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios","Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Unspecified,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://futurefitbusiness.org/benchmark-documents/,NA 186,GEO3: Four Scenarios for Europe,Sustainability First,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2002-2032,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/global-environment-outlook-3,"UNEP 2002. GEO-3 Environment for Development. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya." 187,GEO4,Markets First,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/global-environment-outlook-4,"UNEP 2007. GEO-4 Environment for Development. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya." 188,GEO4,Policy First,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/global-environment-outlook-4,"UNEP 2007. GEO-4 Environment for Development. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya." 189,GEO4,Security First,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/global-environment-outlook-4,"UNEP 2007. GEO-4 Environment for Development. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya." 190,GEO4,Sustainability First,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/global-environment-outlook-4,"UNEP 2007. GEO-4 Environment for Development. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya." 191,GEO6 Africa regional report,Good neighbours,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2030 and 2063,Regional (continental),Africa,Africa,Africa,"https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/assessment/geo-6-regional-assessment-africa#:~:text=The%20GEO%2D6%20regional%20assessment,well%2Dbeing%20are%20continuously%20enhanced.","UNEP 2016. GEO-6 Regional Assessment for Africa. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya." 192,GEO6 Africa regional report,Going global,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2030 and 2063,Regional (continental),Africa,Africa,Africa,"https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/assessment/geo-6-regional-assessment-africa#:~:text=The%20GEO%2D6%20regional%20assessment,well%2Dbeing%20are%20continuously%20enhanced.","UNEP 2016. GEO-6 Regional Assessment for Africa. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya." 193,GEO6 Africa regional report,Helping hands,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2032 and 2063,Regional (continental),Africa,Africa,Africa,"https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/assessment/geo-6-regional-assessment-africa#:~:text=The%20GEO%2D6%20regional%20assessment,well%2Dbeing%20are%20continuously%20enhanced.","UNEP 2016. GEO-6 Regional Assessment for Africa. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya." 194,GEO6 Africa regional report,All in together,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2033 and 2063,Regional (continental),Africa,Africa,Africa,"https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/assessment/geo-6-regional-assessment-africa#:~:text=The%20GEO%2D6%20regional%20assessment,well%2Dbeing%20are%20continuously%20enhanced.","UNEP 2016. GEO-6 Regional Assessment for Africa. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya." 195,GEO6 LAC,Economy prevails,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050,Regional (continental),LAC,Americas,Americas,https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/assessment/geo-6-regional-assessment-latin-america-and-caribbean,"UNEP 2016. GEO-6 Regional Assessment for Latin America and the Caribbean. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya." 196,GEO6 LAC,Policy trade-offs,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050,Regional (continental),LAC,Americas,Americas,https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/assessment/geo-6-regional-assessment-latin-america-and-caribbean,"UNEP 2016. GEO-6 Regional Assessment for Latin America and the Caribbean. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya." 197,GEO6 LAC,Towards a sustainability agenda,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050,Regional (continental),LAC,Americas,Americas,https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/assessment/geo-6-regional-assessment-latin-america-and-caribbean,"UNEP 2016. GEO-6 Regional Assessment for Latin America and the Caribbean. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya." 198,GEO6 West Asia,Oryx scenario,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,25 years,Regional (continental),West Asia,Asia-Pacific,Asia-Pacific,https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/report/geo-6-global-environment-outlook-regional-assessment-west-asia,"UNEP 2016. GEO-6 Regional Assessment for West Asia. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya" 199,Gilbert et al. 2015,"""then""","Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,southern North Sea,North Sea,Europe and Central Asia,"Gilbert, A.J., McQuatters-Gollop, A., Langmead, O. et al. AMBIO (2015) 44: 142. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-014-0536-5",NA 200,Gilbert et al. 2015,"""now"" ","Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,southern North Sea,North Sea,Europe and Central Asia,"Gilbert, A.J., McQuatters-Gollop, A., Langmead, O. et al. AMBIO (2015) 44: 142. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-014-0536-5",NA 201,Goldstein et al. 2012,1. Status quo (maintaining current land uses into the future) ,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years,Local,"O'ahu, Hawaii",USA,Americas,https://www.pnas.org/content/109/19/7565,"Goldstein, J.H., Caldarone, G., Duarte, T.K., Ennaanay, D., Hannahs, N., Mendoza, G., Polasky, S., Wolny, S. & Daily, G.C. 2012. Integrating ecosystem-service tradeoffs into land-use decisions. PNAS, 109(19): 7565–7570." 202,Goldstein et al. 2012,2. Pasture (converting all fields to pasture for cattle grazing),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years,Local,"O'ahu, Hawaii",USA,Americas,https://www.pnas.org/content/109/19/7565,"Goldstein, J.H., Caldarone, G., Duarte, T.K., Ennaanay, D., Hannahs, N., Mendoza, G., Polasky, S., Wolny, S. & Daily, G.C. 2012. Integrating ecosystem-service tradeoffs into land-use decisions. PNAS, 109(19): 7565–7570." 203,Goldstein et al. 2012,3. Food crops and forestry (using lower irrigated fields for diversified food crops and upper fields for forestry plantings) ,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years,Local,"O'ahu, Hawaii",USA,Americas,https://www.pnas.org/content/109/19/7565,"Goldstein, J.H., Caldarone, G., Duarte, T.K., Ennaanay, D., Hannahs, N., Mendoza, G., Polasky, S., Wolny, S. & Daily, G.C. 2012. Integrating ecosystem-service tradeoffs into land-use decisions. PNAS, 109(19): 7565–7570." 204,Goldstein et al. 2012,4. Biofuels (returning agricultural lands to sugarcane to produce energy feedstock),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years,Local,"O'ahu, Hawaii",USA,Americas,https://www.pnas.org/content/109/19/7565,"Goldstein, J.H., Caldarone, G., Duarte, T.K., Ennaanay, D., Hannahs, N., Mendoza, G., Polasky, S., Wolny, S. & Daily, G.C. 2012. Integrating ecosystem-service tradeoffs into land-use decisions. PNAS, 109(19): 7565–7570." 205,Goldstein et al. 2012,5. Food crops and forestry with field buffers (vegetative buffers added to fields adjacent to streams to reduce nutrient and sediment run-off,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years,Local,"O'ahu, Hawaii",USA,Americas,https://www.pnas.org/content/109/19/7565,"Goldstein, J.H., Caldarone, G., Duarte, T.K., Ennaanay, D., Hannahs, N., Mendoza, G., Polasky, S., Wolny, S. & Daily, G.C. 2012. Integrating ecosystem-service tradeoffs into land-use decisions. PNAS, 109(19): 7565–7570." 206,Goldstein et al. 2012,6. Biofuels with field buffers (vegetative buffers added to fields adjacent to streams to reduce nutrient and sediment run-off),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years,Local,"O'ahu, Hawaii",USA,Americas,https://www.pnas.org/content/109/19/7565,"Goldstein, J.H., Caldarone, G., Duarte, T.K., Ennaanay, D., Hannahs, N., Mendoza, G., Polasky, S., Wolny, S. & Daily, G.C. 2012. Integrating ecosystem-service tradeoffs into land-use decisions. PNAS, 109(19): 7565–7570." 207,Goldstein et al. 2012,7. Residential development (agricultural lands sold for a housing development),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years,Local,"O'ahu, Hawaii",USA,Americas,https://www.pnas.org/content/109/19/7565,"Goldstein, J.H., Caldarone, G., Duarte, T.K., Ennaanay, D., Hannahs, N., Mendoza, G., Polasky, S., Wolny, S. & Daily, G.C. 2012. Integrating ecosystem-service tradeoffs into land-use decisions. PNAS, 109(19): 7565–7570." 208,Goldstein et al. 2012,hypothetical full native-vegetation restoration scenario,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years,Local,"O'ahu, Hawaii",USA,Americas,https://www.pnas.org/content/109/19/7565,"Goldstein, J.H., Caldarone, G., Duarte, T.K., Ennaanay, D., Hannahs, N., Mendoza, G., Polasky, S., Wolny, S. & Daily, G.C. 2012. Integrating ecosystem-service tradeoffs into land-use decisions. PNAS, 109(19): 7565–7570." 209,Grubler et al. 2018,Low Energy Demand (LED),Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15301/1/FINAL_LED_MS_REVISED_noTRCHNoComments_SUBMIT_newFig2.pdf; https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-018-0172-6,"Grubler A, Wilson C, Bento N, Boza-Kiss B, Krey V, McCollum DL, Rao ND, … Valin H (2018). A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies. Nature Energy 3(6): 515-527." 210,Hanspach et al. 2014,Prosperity through growth,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2012-2042,Local,"Transylvania, Romania",Romania,Europe and Central Asia,"Hanspach, J., T. Hartel, A. I. Milcu, F. Mikulcak, I. Dorresteijn, J. Loos, H. von Wehrden, T. Kuemmerle, D. Abson, A. Kovács-Hostyánszki, A. Báldi, and J. Fischer. 2014. A holistic approach to studying social-ecological systems and its application to southern Transylvania. Ecology and Society 19(4): 32. http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-06915-190432","Hanspach, J., T. Hartel, A. I. Milcu, F. Mikulcak, I. Dorresteijn, J. Loos, H. von Wehrden, T. Kuemmerle, D. Abson, A. Kovács-Hostyánszki, A. Báldi, and J. Fischer. 2014. A holistic approach to studying social-ecological systems and its application to southern Transylvania. Ecology and Society 19(4): 32. http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-06915-190432" 211,Hanspach et al. 2014,"Our land, their wealth",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2012-2042,Local,"Transylvania, Romania",Romania,Europe and Central Asia,"Hanspach, J., T. Hartel, A. I. Milcu, F. Mikulcak, I. Dorresteijn, J. Loos, H. von Wehrden, T. Kuemmerle, D. Abson, A. Kovács-Hostyánszki, A. Báldi, and J. Fischer. 2014. A holistic approach to studying social-ecological systems and its application to southern Transylvania. Ecology and Society 19(4): 32. http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-06915-190432","Hanspach, J., T. Hartel, A. I. Milcu, F. Mikulcak, I. Dorresteijn, J. Loos, H. von Wehrden, T. Kuemmerle, D. Abson, A. Kovács-Hostyánszki, A. Báldi, and J. Fischer. 2014. A holistic approach to studying social-ecological systems and its application to southern Transylvania. Ecology and Society 19(4): 32. http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-06915-190432" 212,Hanspach et al. 2014,Balance brings beauty,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2012-2042,Local,"Transylvania, Romania",Romania,Europe and Central Asia,"Hanspach, J., T. Hartel, A. I. Milcu, F. Mikulcak, I. Dorresteijn, J. Loos, H. von Wehrden, T. Kuemmerle, D. Abson, A. Kovács-Hostyánszki, A. Báldi, and J. Fischer. 2014. A holistic approach to studying social-ecological systems and its application to southern Transylvania. Ecology and Society 19(4): 32. http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-06915-190432","Hanspach, J., T. Hartel, A. I. Milcu, F. Mikulcak, I. Dorresteijn, J. Loos, H. von Wehrden, T. Kuemmerle, D. Abson, A. Kovács-Hostyánszki, A. Báldi, and J. Fischer. 2014. A holistic approach to studying social-ecological systems and its application to southern Transylvania. Ecology and Society 19(4): 32. http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-06915-190432" 213,Hanspach et al. 2014,Missed opportunity,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2012-2042,Local,"Transylvania, Romania",Romania,Europe and Central Asia,"Hanspach, J., T. Hartel, A. I. Milcu, F. Mikulcak, I. Dorresteijn, J. Loos, H. von Wehrden, T. Kuemmerle, D. Abson, A. Kovács-Hostyánszki, A. Báldi, and J. Fischer. 2014. A holistic approach to studying social-ecological systems and its application to southern Transylvania. Ecology and Society 19(4): 32. http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-06915-190432","Hanspach, J., T. Hartel, A. I. Milcu, F. Mikulcak, I. Dorresteijn, J. Loos, H. von Wehrden, T. Kuemmerle, D. Abson, A. Kovács-Hostyánszki, A. Báldi, and J. Fischer. 2014. A holistic approach to studying social-ecological systems and its application to southern Transylvania. Ecology and Society 19(4): 32. http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-06915-190432" 214,Harmackova and Vackar 2015,Business-as-Usual,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Tˇreboˇn Basin, South Bohemia, Czech Republic",Czechia,Europe and Central Asia,"Harmáčková, Z. V., Vačkář, D., 2015. Modelling regulating ecosystem services trade-offs across landscape scenarios in Třeboňsko Wetlands Biosphere Reserve, Czech Republic. Ecological Modelling 295, 207–215. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.10.003",NA 215,Harmackova and Vackar 2015,Protection,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Tˇreboˇn Basin, South Bohemia, Czech Republic",Czechia,Europe and Central Asia,"Harmáčková, Z. V., Vačkář, D., 2015. Modelling regulating ecosystem services trade-offs across landscape scenarios in Třeboňsko Wetlands Biosphere Reserve, Czech Republic. Ecological Modelling 295, 207–215. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.10.003",NA 216,Harmackova and Vackar 2015,Exploitation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Tˇreboˇn Basin, South Bohemia, Czech Republic",Czechia,Europe and Central Asia,"Harmáčková, Z. V., Vačkář, D., 2015. Modelling regulating ecosystem services trade-offs across landscape scenarios in Třeboňsko Wetlands Biosphere Reserve, Czech Republic. Ecological Modelling 295, 207–215. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.10.003",NA 217,Hengeveld et al. 2017,Green values,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2117,Local,"Helgeå, Sweden",Sweden,Europe and Central Asia,"Hengeveld, G. M., E. Schüll, R. Trubins, and O. Sallnäs. 2017. Forest Landscape Development Scenarios (FoLDS)–A framework for integrating forest models, owners’ behaviour and socio-economic developments. Forest Policy and Economics85:245–255.",NA 218,Hermanns et al. 2017,Services for services (PU1),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"Germany, Northeast",Germany,Europe and Central Asia,"Hermanns, T., Helming, K., König, H.J., Schmidt, K., Li, Q., Faust, H., 2017. Sustainability impact assessment of peatland-use scenarios: Confronting land use supply with demand. Ecosystem Services 26, 365–376. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2017.02.002",NA 219,Hermanns et al. 2017,Market determines usage (PU2),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"Germany, Northeast",Germany,Europe and Central Asia,"Hermanns, T., Helming, K., König, H.J., Schmidt, K., Li, Q., Faust, H., 2017. Sustainability impact assessment of peatland-use scenarios: Confronting land use supply with demand. Ecosystem Services 26, 365–376. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2017.02.002",NA 220,Hu et al. 2018,Inner Mongolian Plateau with sound landscape management,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2100,Regional (continental),Inner Mongolian Plateau,Mongolia,Asia-Pacific,"Hu, G., Davies, J., Gao, Q., Liang, C., 2018. Response of ecosystem functions to climate change and implications for sustainable development on the Inner Mongolian Plateau. Rangeland Journal 40, 191–203. https://doi.org/10.1071/RJ18041",NA 221,Hu et al. 2018,Inner Mongolian Plateau without sound landscape management,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2100,Regional (continental),Inner Mongolian Plateau,Mongolia,Asia-Pacific,"Hu, G., Davies, J., Gao, Q., Liang, C., 2018. Response of ecosystem functions to climate change and implications for sustainable development on the Inner Mongolian Plateau. Rangeland Journal 40, 191–203. https://doi.org/10.1071/RJ18041",NA 222,Ikea Group,People and Planet Positive: Ikea Group Sustainability Strategy ,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,2012 - 2020,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://www.ikea.com/ms/en_AU/pdf/reports-downloads/sustainability-strategy-people-and-planet-positive.pdf,NA 223,IPBES archetypes (GA and other assessments),Economic Optimism,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050/2100,Global,World,Global,Global,"Shin, Y.-J., Arneth, A., Chowdhury, R.R., Midgley, G.F., et al., 2019. Chapter 4: Plausible futures of nature, its contributions to people and their good quality of life, in: Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondizio (Eds.), IPBES Global Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany, pp. xx–xx.","Shin, Y.-J., Arneth, A., Chowdhury, R.R., Midgley, G.F., et al., 2019. Chapter 4: Plausible futures of nature, its contributions to people and their good quality of life, in: Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondizio (Eds.), IPBES Global Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany, pp. xx–xx." 224,IPBES archetypes (GA and other assessments),Reformed Markets,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050/2100,Global,World,Global,Global,"Shin, Y.-J., Arneth, A., Chowdhury, R.R., Midgley, G.F., et al., 2019. Chapter 4: Plausible futures of nature, its contributions to people and their good quality of life, in: Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondizio (Eds.), IPBES Global Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany, pp. xx–xx.","Shin, Y.-J., Arneth, A., Chowdhury, R.R., Midgley, G.F., et al., 2019. Chapter 4: Plausible futures of nature, its contributions to people and their good quality of life, in: Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondizio (Eds.), IPBES Global Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany, pp. xx–xx." 225,IPBES archetypes (GA and other assessments),Global Sustainable Development,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050/2100,Global,World,Global,Global,"Shin, Y.-J., Arneth, A., Chowdhury, R.R., Midgley, G.F., et al., 2019. Chapter 4: Plausible futures of nature, its contributions to people and their good quality of life, in: Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondizio (Eds.), IPBES Global Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany, pp. xx–xx.","Shin, Y.-J., Arneth, A., Chowdhury, R.R., Midgley, G.F., et al., 2019. Chapter 4: Plausible futures of nature, its contributions to people and their good quality of life, in: Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondizio (Eds.), IPBES Global Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany, pp. xx–xx." 226,IPBES archetypes (GA and other assessments),Regional Sustainability,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050/2100,Global,World,Global,Global,"Shin, Y.-J., Arneth, A., Chowdhury, R.R., Midgley, G.F., et al., 2019. Chapter 4: Plausible futures of nature, its contributions to people and their good quality of life, in: Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondizio (Eds.), IPBES Global Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany, pp. xx–xx.","Shin, Y.-J., Arneth, A., Chowdhury, R.R., Midgley, G.F., et al., 2019. Chapter 4: Plausible futures of nature, its contributions to people and their good quality of life, in: Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondizio (Eds.), IPBES Global Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany, pp. xx–xx." 227,IPBES archetypes (GA and other assessments),Regional Competition,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050/2100,Global,World,Global,Global,"Shin, Y.-J., Arneth, A., Chowdhury, R.R., Midgley, G.F., et al., 2019. Chapter 4: Plausible futures of nature, its contributions to people and their good quality of life, in: Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondizio (Eds.), IPBES Global Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany, pp. xx–xx.","Shin, Y.-J., Arneth, A., Chowdhury, R.R., Midgley, G.F., et al., 2019. Chapter 4: Plausible futures of nature, its contributions to people and their good quality of life, in: Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondizio (Eds.), IPBES Global Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany, pp. xx–xx." 228,IPBES archetypes (GA and other assessments),Business-as-Usual,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050/2100,Global,World,Global,Global,"Shin, Y.-J., Arneth, A., Chowdhury, R.R., Midgley, G.F., et al., 2019. Chapter 4: Plausible futures of nature, its contributions to people and their good quality of life, in: Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondizio (Eds.), IPBES Global Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany, pp. xx–xx.","Shin, Y.-J., Arneth, A., Chowdhury, R.R., Midgley, G.F., et al., 2019. Chapter 4: Plausible futures of nature, its contributions to people and their good quality of life, in: Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondizio (Eds.), IPBES Global Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany, pp. xx–xx." 229,IPBES Europe and Central Asia Archetypes,Business-as-Usual,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050/2100,Regional (continental),Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,"Harrison, P.A., Hauck, J., Austrheim, G., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Fürst, C., Guisan, A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Lavorel, S., Olsson, G.A., Proença, V., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M., Solidoro, C., Takenov, Z., Turok, J., 2018. Chapter 5: Current and future interactions between nature and society, in: Rounsevell, M., Fischer, M., Torre-Marin Rando, A., Mader, A. (Eds.), IPBES (2018): The IPBES Regional Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for Europe and Central Asia. Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem services, Bonn, Germany, pp. 571–660. Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Aloe Karabulut, A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R.W., Guisan, A., Holman, I.P., Jacobs, S., Kok, K., Lobanova, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Pedde, S., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M.A., Solidoro, C., Sonrel, A., Hauck, J., 2019. Synthesising plausible futures for nature and its contributions to people in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology and Society 24, 27. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10818-240227","Harrison, P.A., Hauck, J., Austrheim, G., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Fürst, C., Guisan, A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Lavorel, S., Olsson, G.A., Proença, V., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M., Solidoro, C., Takenov, Z., Turok, J., 2018. Chapter 5: Current and future interactions between nature and society, in: Rounsevell, M., Fischer, M., Torre-Marin Rando, A., Mader, A. (Eds.), IPBES (2018): The IPBES Regional Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for Europe and Central Asia. Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem services, Bonn, Germany, pp. 571–660. Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Aloe Karabulut, A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R.W., Guisan, A., Holman, I.P., Jacobs, S., Kok, K., Lobanova, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Pedde, S., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M.A., Solidoro, C., Sonrel, A., Hauck, J., 2019. Synthesising plausible futures for nature and its contributions to people in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology and Society 24, 27. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10818-240227" 230,IPBES Europe and Central Asia Archetypes,Economic optimism,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050/2100,Regional (continental),Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,"Harrison, P.A., Hauck, J., Austrheim, G., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Fürst, C., Guisan, A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Lavorel, S., Olsson, G.A., Proença, V., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M., Solidoro, C., Takenov, Z., Turok, J., 2018. Chapter 5: Current and future interactions between nature and society, in: Rounsevell, M., Fischer, M., Torre-Marin Rando, A., Mader, A. (Eds.), IPBES (2018): The IPBES Regional Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for Europe and Central Asia. Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem services, Bonn, Germany, pp. 571–660. Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Aloe Karabulut, A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R.W., Guisan, A., Holman, I.P., Jacobs, S., Kok, K., Lobanova, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Pedde, S., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M.A., Solidoro, C., Sonrel, A., Hauck, J., 2019. Synthesising plausible futures for nature and its contributions to people in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology and Society 24, 27. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10818-240227","Harrison, P.A., Hauck, J., Austrheim, G., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Fürst, C., Guisan, A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Lavorel, S., Olsson, G.A., Proença, V., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M., Solidoro, C., Takenov, Z., Turok, J., 2018. Chapter 5: Current and future interactions between nature and society, in: Rounsevell, M., Fischer, M., Torre-Marin Rando, A., Mader, A. (Eds.), IPBES (2018): The IPBES Regional Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for Europe and Central Asia. Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem services, Bonn, Germany, pp. 571–660. Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Aloe Karabulut, A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R.W., Guisan, A., Holman, I.P., Jacobs, S., Kok, K., Lobanova, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Pedde, S., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M.A., Solidoro, C., Sonrel, A., Hauck, J., 2019. Synthesising plausible futures for nature and its contributions to people in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology and Society 24, 27. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10818-240227" 231,IPBES Europe and Central Asia Archetypes,Regional competition,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050/2100,Regional (continental),Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,"Harrison, P.A., Hauck, J., Austrheim, G., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Fürst, C., Guisan, A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Lavorel, S., Olsson, G.A., Proença, V., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M., Solidoro, C., Takenov, Z., Turok, J., 2018. Chapter 5: Current and future interactions between nature and society, in: Rounsevell, M., Fischer, M., Torre-Marin Rando, A., Mader, A. (Eds.), IPBES (2018): The IPBES Regional Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for Europe and Central Asia. Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem services, Bonn, Germany, pp. 571–660. Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Aloe Karabulut, A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R.W., Guisan, A., Holman, I.P., Jacobs, S., Kok, K., Lobanova, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Pedde, S., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M.A., Solidoro, C., Sonrel, A., Hauck, J., 2019. Synthesising plausible futures for nature and its contributions to people in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology and Society 24, 27. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10818-240227","Harrison, P.A., Hauck, J., Austrheim, G., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Fürst, C., Guisan, A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Lavorel, S., Olsson, G.A., Proença, V., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M., Solidoro, C., Takenov, Z., Turok, J., 2018. Chapter 5: Current and future interactions between nature and society, in: Rounsevell, M., Fischer, M., Torre-Marin Rando, A., Mader, A. (Eds.), IPBES (2018): The IPBES Regional Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for Europe and Central Asia. Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem services, Bonn, Germany, pp. 571–660. Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Aloe Karabulut, A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R.W., Guisan, A., Holman, I.P., Jacobs, S., Kok, K., Lobanova, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Pedde, S., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M.A., Solidoro, C., Sonrel, A., Hauck, J., 2019. Synthesising plausible futures for nature and its contributions to people in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology and Society 24, 27. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10818-240227" 232,IPBES Europe and Central Asia Archetypes,Regional sustainability,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050/2100,Regional (continental),Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,"Harrison, P.A., Hauck, J., Austrheim, G., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Fürst, C., Guisan, A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Lavorel, S., Olsson, G.A., Proença, V., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M., Solidoro, C., Takenov, Z., Turok, J., 2018. Chapter 5: Current and future interactions between nature and society, in: Rounsevell, M., Fischer, M., Torre-Marin Rando, A., Mader, A. (Eds.), IPBES (2018): The IPBES Regional Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for Europe and Central Asia. Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem services, Bonn, Germany, pp. 571–660. Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Aloe Karabulut, A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R.W., Guisan, A., Holman, I.P., Jacobs, S., Kok, K., Lobanova, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Pedde, S., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M.A., Solidoro, C., Sonrel, A., Hauck, J., 2019. Synthesising plausible futures for nature and its contributions to people in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology and Society 24, 27. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10818-240227","Harrison, P.A., Hauck, J., Austrheim, G., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Fürst, C., Guisan, A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Lavorel, S., Olsson, G.A., Proença, V., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M., Solidoro, C., Takenov, Z., Turok, J., 2018. Chapter 5: Current and future interactions between nature and society, in: Rounsevell, M., Fischer, M., Torre-Marin Rando, A., Mader, A. (Eds.), IPBES (2018): The IPBES Regional Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for Europe and Central Asia. Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem services, Bonn, Germany, pp. 571–660. Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Aloe Karabulut, A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R.W., Guisan, A., Holman, I.P., Jacobs, S., Kok, K., Lobanova, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Pedde, S., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M.A., Solidoro, C., Sonrel, A., Hauck, J., 2019. Synthesising plausible futures for nature and its contributions to people in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology and Society 24, 27. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10818-240227" 233,IPBES Europe and Central Asia Archetypes,Global sustainable development,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050/2100,Regional (continental),Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,"Harrison, P.A., Hauck, J., Austrheim, G., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Fürst, C., Guisan, A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Lavorel, S., Olsson, G.A., Proença, V., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M., Solidoro, C., Takenov, Z., Turok, J., 2018. Chapter 5: Current and future interactions between nature and society, in: Rounsevell, M., Fischer, M., Torre-Marin Rando, A., Mader, A. (Eds.), IPBES (2018): The IPBES Regional Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for Europe and Central Asia. Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem services, Bonn, Germany, pp. 571–660. Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Aloe Karabulut, A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R.W., Guisan, A., Holman, I.P., Jacobs, S., Kok, K., Lobanova, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Pedde, S., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M.A., Solidoro, C., Sonrel, A., Hauck, J., 2019. Synthesising plausible futures for nature and its contributions to people in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology and Society 24, 27. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10818-240227","Harrison, P.A., Hauck, J., Austrheim, G., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Fürst, C., Guisan, A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Lavorel, S., Olsson, G.A., Proença, V., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M., Solidoro, C., Takenov, Z., Turok, J., 2018. Chapter 5: Current and future interactions between nature and society, in: Rounsevell, M., Fischer, M., Torre-Marin Rando, A., Mader, A. (Eds.), IPBES (2018): The IPBES Regional Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for Europe and Central Asia. Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem services, Bonn, Germany, pp. 571–660. Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Aloe Karabulut, A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R.W., Guisan, A., Holman, I.P., Jacobs, S., Kok, K., Lobanova, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Pedde, S., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M.A., Solidoro, C., Sonrel, A., Hauck, J., 2019. Synthesising plausible futures for nature and its contributions to people in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology and Society 24, 27. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10818-240227" 234,IPBES Europe and Central Asia Archetypes,Inequality,Exploratory scenarios,Science-policy interface,2050/2100,Regional (continental),Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,"Harrison, P.A., Hauck, J., Austrheim, G., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Fürst, C., Guisan, A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Lavorel, S., Olsson, G.A., Proença, V., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M., Solidoro, C., Takenov, Z., Turok, J., 2018. Chapter 5: Current and future interactions between nature and society, in: Rounsevell, M., Fischer, M., Torre-Marin Rando, A., Mader, A. (Eds.), IPBES (2018): The IPBES Regional Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for Europe and Central Asia. Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem services, Bonn, Germany, pp. 571–660. Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Aloe Karabulut, A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R.W., Guisan, A., Holman, I.P., Jacobs, S., Kok, K., Lobanova, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Pedde, S., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M.A., Solidoro, C., Sonrel, A., Hauck, J., 2019. Synthesising plausible futures for nature and its contributions to people in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology and Society 24, 27. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10818-240227","Harrison, P.A., Hauck, J., Austrheim, G., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Fürst, C., Guisan, A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Lavorel, S., Olsson, G.A., Proença, V., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M., Solidoro, C., Takenov, Z., Turok, J., 2018. Chapter 5: Current and future interactions between nature and society, in: Rounsevell, M., Fischer, M., Torre-Marin Rando, A., Mader, A. (Eds.), IPBES (2018): The IPBES Regional Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for Europe and Central Asia. Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem services, Bonn, Germany, pp. 571–660. Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Aloe Karabulut, A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R.W., Guisan, A., Holman, I.P., Jacobs, S., Kok, K., Lobanova, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Pedde, S., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M.A., Solidoro, C., Sonrel, A., Hauck, J., 2019. Synthesising plausible futures for nature and its contributions to people in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology and Society 24, 27. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10818-240227" 235,IPBES Scenarios and Models Task Force scenarios from New Zealand,Nature-based Inclusive Prosperity,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Science-policy interface,NA,Global,World,Global,Global,"Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp.","Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp." 236,IPBES Scenarios and Models Task Force scenarios from New Zealand,Sustainable Food Systems,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Science-policy interface,NA,Global,World,Global,Global,"Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp.","Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp." 237,IPBES Scenarios and Models Task Force scenarios from New Zealand,ReWilding and ReFooding Urban Rural Flows,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Science-policy interface,NA,Global,World,Global,Global,"Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp.","Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp." 238,IPBES Scenarios and Models Task Force scenarios from New Zealand,Healthy Social-Ecological Freshwater Systems,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Science-policy interface,NA,Global,World,Global,Global,"Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp.","Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp." 239,IPBES Scenarios and Models Task Force scenarios from New Zealand,A Tasty World with Values,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Science-policy interface,NA,Global,World,Global,Global,"Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp.","Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp." 240,IPBES Scenarios and Models Task Force scenarios from New Zealand,Dancing with Nature,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Science-policy interface,NA,Global,World,Global,Global,"Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp.","Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp." 241,IPBES Scenarios and Models Task Force scenarios from New Zealand,"Healthy Oceans, Happy Communities","Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Science-policy interface,NA,Global,World,Global,Global,"Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp.","Lundquist, C. J., et al., 2017. Visions for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century, NIWA Science and Technology Series Report No. 83, NIWA, New Zealand. 123 pp." 242,Japan Satoyama Satoumi Assessment,Global Environmental Citizens,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Japan,Japan,Asia-Pacific,https://projects.eionet.europa.eu/leac/library/cube/ecosystem_coastal/jssa-sdm_2010decpdf/download/1/Satoyama_UNU_JSSA-SDM_Web%20EN%202010Dec.pdf?action=view,"Satoyama–Satoumi Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Socio-Ecological Production Landscapes of Japan, ed. Duraiappah, Anantha Kumar, Nakamura, Koji, Takeuchi, Kazuhiko, Watanabe, Masataka and Nishi, Maiko (Tokyo: UNU Press, 2012)." 243,Japan Satoyama Satoumi Assessment,Global Technotopia,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Japan,Japan,Asia-Pacific,https://projects.eionet.europa.eu/leac/library/cube/ecosystem_coastal/jssa-sdm_2010decpdf/download/1/Satoyama_UNU_JSSA-SDM_Web%20EN%202010Dec.pdf?action=view,"Satoyama–Satoumi Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Socio-Ecological Production Landscapes of Japan, ed. Duraiappah, Anantha Kumar, Nakamura, Koji, Takeuchi, Kazuhiko, Watanabe, Masataka and Nishi, Maiko (Tokyo: UNU Press, 2012)." 244,Japan Satoyama Satoumi Assessment,Techno Introvert,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Japan,Japan,Asia-Pacific,https://projects.eionet.europa.eu/leac/library/cube/ecosystem_coastal/jssa-sdm_2010decpdf/download/1/Satoyama_UNU_JSSA-SDM_Web%20EN%202010Dec.pdf?action=view,"Satoyama–Satoumi Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Socio-Ecological Production Landscapes of Japan, ed. Duraiappah, Anantha Kumar, Nakamura, Koji, Takeuchi, Kazuhiko, Watanabe, Masataka and Nishi, Maiko (Tokyo: UNU Press, 2012)." 245,Japan Satoyama Satoumi Assessment,Satoyama-Satoumi Rennaisance,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Japan,Japan,Asia-Pacific,https://projects.eionet.europa.eu/leac/library/cube/ecosystem_coastal/jssa-sdm_2010decpdf/download/1/Satoyama_UNU_JSSA-SDM_Web%20EN%202010Dec.pdf?action=view,"Satoyama–Satoumi Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Socio-Ecological Production Landscapes of Japan, ed. Duraiappah, Anantha Kumar, Nakamura, Koji, Takeuchi, Kazuhiko, Watanabe, Masataka and Nishi, Maiko (Tokyo: UNU Press, 2012)." 246,Jia et al. 2018,No spatial restrictions,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2020,Local,"Beijing, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Jia, Z., Ma, B., Zhang, J., Zeng, W., 2018. Simulating spatial-temporal changes of land-use based on ecological redline restrictions and landscape driving factors: A case study in Beijing. Sustainability (Switzerland). doi:10.3390/su10041299",NA 247,Jia et al. 2018,Traditional spatial restrictions,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2020,Local,"Beijing, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Jia, Z., Ma, B., Zhang, J., Zeng, W., 2018. Simulating spatial-temporal changes of land-use based on ecological redline restrictions and landscape driving factors: A case study in Beijing. Sustainability (Switzerland). doi:10.3390/su10041299",NA 248,Jia et al. 2018,Ecological redline restrictions,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2020,Local,"Beijing, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Jia, Z., Ma, B., Zhang, J., Zeng, W., 2018. Simulating spatial-temporal changes of land-use based on ecological redline restrictions and landscape driving factors: A case study in Beijing. Sustainability (Switzerland). doi:10.3390/su10041299",NA 249,Kabaya et al. 2019,Good Old Good New,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Sado island, Japan",Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Kabaya, K., Hashimoto, S., Fukuyo, N., Uetake, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Investigating future ecosystem services through participatory scenario building and spatial ecological–economic modelling. Sustainability Science 14, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0590-1","Kabaya, K., Hashimoto, S., Fukuyo, N., Uetake, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Investigating future ecosystem services through participatory scenario building and spatial ecological–economic modelling. Sustainability Science 14, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0590-1" 250,Kabaya et al. 2019,Environmental Resort,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Sado island, Japan",Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Kabaya, K., Hashimoto, S., Fukuyo, N., Uetake, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Investigating future ecosystem services through participatory scenario building and spatial ecological–economic modelling. Sustainability Science 14, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0590-1","Kabaya, K., Hashimoto, S., Fukuyo, N., Uetake, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Investigating future ecosystem services through participatory scenario building and spatial ecological–economic modelling. Sustainability Science 14, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0590-1" 251,Kabaya et al. 2019,One of A Kind,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Sado island, Japan",Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Kabaya, K., Hashimoto, S., Fukuyo, N., Uetake, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Investigating future ecosystem services through participatory scenario building and spatial ecological–economic modelling. Sustainability Science 14, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0590-1","Kabaya, K., Hashimoto, S., Fukuyo, N., Uetake, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Investigating future ecosystem services through participatory scenario building and spatial ecological–economic modelling. Sustainability Science 14, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0590-1" 252,Kabaya et al. 2019,Subsistence and Sufficiency,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Sado island, Japan",Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Kabaya, K., Hashimoto, S., Fukuyo, N., Uetake, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Investigating future ecosystem services through participatory scenario building and spatial ecological–economic modelling. Sustainability Science 14, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0590-1","Kabaya, K., Hashimoto, S., Fukuyo, N., Uetake, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Investigating future ecosystem services through participatory scenario building and spatial ecological–economic modelling. Sustainability Science 14, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0590-1" 253,Kabaya et al. 2019,Live with Android,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Sado island, Japan",Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Kabaya, K., Hashimoto, S., Fukuyo, N., Uetake, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Investigating future ecosystem services through participatory scenario building and spatial ecological–economic modelling. Sustainability Science 14, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0590-1","Kabaya, K., Hashimoto, S., Fukuyo, N., Uetake, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Investigating future ecosystem services through participatory scenario building and spatial ecological–economic modelling. Sustainability Science 14, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0590-1" 254,Kabaya et al. 2019,Treasure Island,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Sado island, Japan",Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Kabaya, K., Hashimoto, S., Fukuyo, N., Uetake, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Investigating future ecosystem services through participatory scenario building and spatial ecological–economic modelling. Sustainability Science 14, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0590-1","Kabaya, K., Hashimoto, S., Fukuyo, N., Uetake, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Investigating future ecosystem services through participatory scenario building and spatial ecological–economic modelling. Sustainability Science 14, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0590-1" 255,Kindu et al. 2018,Business As Usual (BAU),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Local,"Munessa-Shashemene, Ethiopia",Ethiopia,Africa,"Kindu, M., Schneider, T., Döllerer, M., Teketay, D., Knoke, T., 2018. Scenario modelling of land use/land cover changes in Munessa-Shashemene landscape of the Ethiopian highlands. Science of the Total Environment 622–623, 534–546. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.11.338",NA 256,Kindu et al. 2018,Forest Conservation and Water Protection (FCWP),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Local,"Munessa-Shashemene, Ethiopia",Ethiopia,Africa,"Kindu, M., Schneider, T., Döllerer, M., Teketay, D., Knoke, T., 2018. Scenario modelling of land use/land cover changes in Munessa-Shashemene landscape of the Ethiopian highlands. Science of the Total Environment 622–623, 534–546. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.11.338",NA 257,Kindu et al. 2018,Sustainable Intensification (SI) ,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Local,"Munessa-Shashemene, Ethiopia",Ethiopia,Africa,"Kindu, M., Schneider, T., Döllerer, M., Teketay, D., Knoke, T., 2018. Scenario modelling of land use/land cover changes in Munessa-Shashemene landscape of the Ethiopian highlands. Science of the Total Environment 622–623, 534–546. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.11.338",NA 258,Kohler et al. 2017,trend,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Tyrolean Alps LTSER, Austria",Austria,Europe and Central Asia,"Kohler, M., R. Stotten, M. Steinbacher, G. Leitinger, E. Tasser, U. Schirpke, U. Tappeiner, and M. Schermer. 2017. Participative Spatial Scenario Analysis for Alpine Ecosystems. Environmental Management 60(4):679–692.",NA 259,Kohler et al. 2017,positive,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Tyrolean Alps LTSER, Austria",Austria,Europe and Central Asia,"Kohler, M., R. Stotten, M. Steinbacher, G. Leitinger, E. Tasser, U. Schirpke, U. Tappeiner, and M. Schermer. 2017. Participative Spatial Scenario Analysis for Alpine Ecosystems. Environmental Management 60(4):679–692.",NA 260,Kohler et al. 2017,negative,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Tyrolean Alps LTSER, Austria",Austria,Europe and Central Asia,"Kohler, M., R. Stotten, M. Steinbacher, G. Leitinger, E. Tasser, U. Schirpke, U. Tappeiner, and M. Schermer. 2017. Participative Spatial Scenario Analysis for Alpine Ecosystems. Environmental Management 60(4):679–692.",NA 261,Kok et al. 2019,Eur-SSP1 We are the World,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2100,Regional (continental),Europe,Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,"Kok, K., Pedde, S., Gramberger, M., Harrison, P.A., Holman, I.P., 2019. New European socio-economic scenarios for climate change research: operationalising concepts to extend the shared socio-economic pathways. Regional Environmental Change 19, 643–654. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1400-0","Kok, K., Pedde, S., Gramberger, M., Harrison, P.A., Holman, I.P., 2019. New European socio-economic scenarios for climate change research: operationalising concepts to extend the shared socio-economic pathways. Regional Environmental Change 19, 643–654. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1400-0" 262,Kok et al. 2019,Eur-SSP3 Icarus,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2100,Regional (continental),Europe,Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,"Kok, K., Pedde, S., Gramberger, M., Harrison, P.A., Holman, I.P., 2019. New European socio-economic scenarios for climate change research: operationalising concepts to extend the shared socio-economic pathways. Regional Environmental Change 19, 643–654. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1400-0","Kok, K., Pedde, S., Gramberger, M., Harrison, P.A., Holman, I.P., 2019. New European socio-economic scenarios for climate change research: operationalising concepts to extend the shared socio-economic pathways. Regional Environmental Change 19, 643–654. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1400-0" 263,Kok et al. 2019,Eur-SSP4 Riders on the Storm,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2100,Regional (continental),Europe,Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,"Kok, K., Pedde, S., Gramberger, M., Harrison, P.A., Holman, I.P., 2019. New European socio-economic scenarios for climate change research: operationalising concepts to extend the shared socio-economic pathways. Regional Environmental Change 19, 643–654. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1400-0","Kok, K., Pedde, S., Gramberger, M., Harrison, P.A., Holman, I.P., 2019. New European socio-economic scenarios for climate change research: operationalising concepts to extend the shared socio-economic pathways. Regional Environmental Change 19, 643–654. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1400-0" 264,Kok et al. 2019,Eur-SSP45 Fossil-fuelled Development,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2100,Regional (continental),Europe,Europe and Central Asia,Europe and Central Asia,"Kok, K., Pedde, S., Gramberger, M., Harrison, P.A., Holman, I.P., 2019. New European socio-economic scenarios for climate change research: operationalising concepts to extend the shared socio-economic pathways. Regional Environmental Change 19, 643–654. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1400-0","Kok, K., Pedde, S., Gramberger, M., Harrison, P.A., Holman, I.P., 2019. New European socio-economic scenarios for climate change research: operationalising concepts to extend the shared socio-economic pathways. Regional Environmental Change 19, 643–654. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1400-0" 265,Koo et al. 2019,Urbanisation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2070,local,Northern Ghana,Ghana,Africa,"Koo, H., Kleemann, J., Fürst, C., 2019. Impact assessment of land use changes using local knowledge for the provision of ecosystem services in northern Ghana, West Africa. Ecological Indicators 103, 156–172. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.04.002",NA 266,Koo et al. 2019,Deforestation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2070,local,Northern Ghana,Ghana,Africa,"Koo, H., Kleemann, J., Fürst, C., 2019. Impact assessment of land use changes using local knowledge for the provision of ecosystem services in northern Ghana, West Africa. Ecological Indicators 103, 156–172. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.04.002",NA 267,Kostakis et al. 2016,Neo-feudal cognitive capitalism (NFCC),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,global,global,Global,Global,"Kostakis, V., Roos, A., Bauwens, M., 2016. Towards a political ecology of the digital economy: Socio-environmental implications of two competing value models. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions 18, 82–100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2015.08.002",NA 268,Kostakis et al. 2016,Hypothetical case of mature peer production (HMPP),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,global,global,Global,Global,"Kostakis, V., Roos, A., Bauwens, M., 2016. Towards a political ecology of the digital economy: Socio-environmental implications of two competing value models. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions 18, 82–100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2015.08.002",NA 269,Kubiszewski et al. 2017,Market Forces,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Global,global,Global,Global,"Kubiszewski, I., Costanza, R., Anderson, S., Sutton, P., 2017. The Future Value of Ecosystem Services: {{Global}} Scenarios and National Implications. Ecosystem Services 26, 289–301. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2017.05.004",NA 270,Kubiszewski et al. 2017,Fortress World,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Global,global,Global,Global,"Kubiszewski, I., Costanza, R., Anderson, S., Sutton, P., 2017. The Future Value of Ecosystem Services: {{Global}} Scenarios and National Implications. Ecosystem Services 26, 289–301. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2017.05.004",NA 271,Kubiszewski et al. 2017,Policy Reform,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Global,global,Global,Global,"Kubiszewski, I., Costanza, R., Anderson, S., Sutton, P., 2017. The Future Value of Ecosystem Services: {{Global}} Scenarios and National Implications. Ecosystem Services 26, 289–301. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2017.05.004",NA 272,Kubiszewski et al. 2017,Great Transition,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Global,global,Global,Global,"Kubiszewski, I., Costanza, R., Anderson, S., Sutton, P., 2017. The Future Value of Ecosystem Services: {{Global}} Scenarios and National Implications. Ecosystem Services 26, 289–301. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2017.05.004",NA 273,Lane et al. 2015,the reference (REF) or “business-as-usual” case,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2100,National,"Hawaii, South Florida, and Puerto Rico",Americas,Americas,"Lane, D., Jones, R., Mills, D. et al. Climatic Change (2015) 131: 143. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1107-2",NA 274,Lane et al. 2015,(POL4.5): radiative forcing levels are stabilized at 4.5 W/m2,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2100,National,"Hawaii, South Florida, and Puerto Rico",Americas,Americas,"Lane, D., Jones, R., Mills, D. et al. Climatic Change (2015) 131: 143. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1107-2",NA 275,Lane et al. 2015,(POL3.7): radiative forcing levels are stabilized at 3.7 W/m2,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2100,National,"Hawaii, South Florida, and Puerto Rico",Americas,Americas,"Lane, D., Jones, R., Mills, D. et al. Climatic Change (2015) 131: 143. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1107-2",NA 276,Larondelle et al. 2016,Edible city,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,"Rotterdam, Netherlands",Netherlands,Europe and Central Asia,"Larondelle, N., Frantzeskaki, N., Haase, D., 2016. Mapping transition potential with stakeholder- and policy-driven scenarios in Rotterdam City. Ecological Indicators 70, 630–643. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.02.028",NA 277,Larondelle et al. 2016,Thermally comfortable city,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,"Rotterdam, Netherlands",Netherlands,Europe and Central Asia,"Larondelle, N., Frantzeskaki, N., Haase, D., 2016. Mapping transition potential with stakeholder- and policy-driven scenarios in Rotterdam City. Ecological Indicators 70, 630–643. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.02.028",NA 278,Larondelle et al. 2016,Celebrating water city,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,"Rotterdam, Netherlands",Netherlands,Europe and Central Asia,"Larondelle, N., Frantzeskaki, N., Haase, D., 2016. Mapping transition potential with stakeholder- and policy-driven scenarios in Rotterdam City. Ecological Indicators 70, 630–643. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.02.028",NA 279,Larondelle et al. 2016,Clean circular city,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,"Rotterdam, Netherlands",Netherlands,Europe and Central Asia,"Larondelle, N., Frantzeskaki, N., Haase, D., 2016. Mapping transition potential with stakeholder- and policy-driven scenarios in Rotterdam City. Ecological Indicators 70, 630–643. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.02.028",NA 280,Larondelle et al. 2016,Joyful city,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,"Rotterdam, Netherlands",Netherlands,Europe and Central Asia,"Larondelle, N., Frantzeskaki, N., Haase, D., 2016. Mapping transition potential with stakeholder- and policy-driven scenarios in Rotterdam City. Ecological Indicators 70, 630–643. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.02.028",NA 281,Larondelle et al. 2016,Reindustrialization (BaU),"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,"Rotterdam, Netherlands",Netherlands,Europe and Central Asia,"Larondelle, N., Frantzeskaki, N., Haase, D., 2016. Mapping transition potential with stakeholder- and policy-driven scenarios in Rotterdam City. Ecological Indicators 70, 630–643. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.02.028",NA 282,Larondelle et al. 2016,Reindustrialization (eco-smart),"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,"Rotterdam, Netherlands",Netherlands,Europe and Central Asia,"Larondelle, N., Frantzeskaki, N., Haase, D., 2016. Mapping transition potential with stakeholder- and policy-driven scenarios in Rotterdam City. Ecological Indicators 70, 630–643. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.02.028",NA 283,Law et al. 2015,current,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,40 years,Regional (continental),"Central Kalimantan, Indonesia",Indonesia,Asia-Pacific,"Law, EA; Bryan, BA; Meijaard, E; Mallawaarachchi, T; Struebig, M; Wilson, KA 2015 10.1890/13-2014.1",NA 284,Law et al. 2015,current with oil palm,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,40 years,Regional (continental),"Central Kalimantan, Indonesia",Indonesia,Asia-Pacific,"Law, EA; Bryan, BA; Meijaard, E; Mallawaarachchi, T; Struebig, M; Wilson, KA 2015 10.1890/13-2014.1",NA 285,Law et al. 2015,scenario 3: development as per the zoning plan outlined in Presidential Instruction No. 2/2007 on rehabilitaion and revitalization of the Ex-Mega Rice Project Area in Central Kalimantan ,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,40 years,Regional (continental),"Central Kalimantan, Indonesia",Indonesia,Asia-Pacific,"Law, EA; Bryan, BA; Meijaard, E; Mallawaarachchi, T; Struebig, M; Wilson, KA 2015 10.1890/13-2014.1",NA 286,Law et al. 2015,"scenario 4: development as per the zoning plan outlined in the Ex-Mega Rice Project ""master plan""",Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,40 years,Regional (continental),"Central Kalimantan, Indonesia",Indonesia,Asia-Pacific,"Law, EA; Bryan, BA; Meijaard, E; Mallawaarachchi, T; Struebig, M; Wilson, KA 2015 10.1890/13-2014.1",NA 287,Lázár et al. 2015,Extended CROPWAT model,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,south-western coastal zone of Bangladesh,Bangladesh,Asia-Pacific,"Lázár, A.N., Clarke, D., Adams, H., Akanda, A.R., Szabo, S., Nicholls, R.J., Matthews, Z., Begum, D., Saleh, A.F.M., Abedin, M.A., Payo, A., Streatfield, P.K., Hutton, C., Mondal, M.S., Moslehuddin, A.Z.M., 2015. Agricultural livelihoods in coastal Bangladesh under climate and environmental change - A model framework. Environmental Sciences: Processes and Impacts 17, 1018–1031. https://doi.org/10.1039/c4em00600c",NA 288,Le Heron et al. 2016,Open Exploitation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"Chatham Rise and Hauraki Gulf, New Zealand",New Zealand,Asia-Pacific,"Le Heron, R., Lewis, N., Fisher, K., Thrush, S., Lundquist, C., Hewitt, J., Ellis, J., 2016. Non-sectarian scenario experiments in socio-ecological knowledge building for multi-use marine environments: Insights from New Zealand’s Marine Futures project. Marine Policy 67, 10–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2016.01.022",NA 289,Le Heron et al. 2016,Regulation by response,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"Chatham Rise and Hauraki Gulf, New Zealand",New Zealand,Asia-Pacific,"Le Heron, R., Lewis, N., Fisher, K., Thrush, S., Lundquist, C., Hewitt, J., Ellis, J., 2016. Non-sectarian scenario experiments in socio-ecological knowledge building for multi-use marine environments: Insights from New Zealand’s Marine Futures project. Marine Policy 67, 10–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2016.01.022",NA 290,Le Heron et al. 2016,Sustainable management,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"Chatham Rise and Hauraki Gulf, New Zealand",New Zealand,Asia-Pacific,"Le Heron, R., Lewis, N., Fisher, K., Thrush, S., Lundquist, C., Hewitt, J., Ellis, J., 2016. Non-sectarian scenario experiments in socio-ecological knowledge building for multi-use marine environments: Insights from New Zealand’s Marine Futures project. Marine Policy 67, 10–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2016.01.022",NA 291,Le Heron et al. 2016,Socio-ecological visioning,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,"Chatham Rise and Hauraki Gulf, New Zealand",New Zealand,Asia-Pacific,"Le Heron, R., Lewis, N., Fisher, K., Thrush, S., Lundquist, C., Hewitt, J., Ellis, J., 2016. Non-sectarian scenario experiments in socio-ecological knowledge building for multi-use marine environments: Insights from New Zealand’s Marine Futures project. Marine Policy 67, 10–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2016.01.022",NA 292,Li and Wu 2015,Scenario 1 Yan'an area for all the grass,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"Yan'an, northern Shaanxi Province, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Jing, L., LiLi, W., 2015. Examining the potential impact of land use/cover changes on the NPP ecosystem services of Yan’an region of China: a scenario-based analysis. International Journal of Global Warming 8, 319–334.",NA 293,Li and Wu 2015,"Scenario 2 Yan'an regional gradient in the 6° above all land to grassland, slope below 6° for farm land",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"Yan'an, northern Shaanxi Province, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Jing, L., LiLi, W., 2015. Examining the potential impact of land use/cover changes on the NPP ecosystem services of Yan’an region of China: a scenario-based analysis. International Journal of Global Warming 8, 319–334.",NA 294,Li and Wu 2015,"Scenario 3 Yan'an regional gradient in the 15° above all land to woodland, 6°-15° for grassland, farm land still is below 6°",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"Yan'an, northern Shaanxi Province, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Jing, L., LiLi, W., 2015. Examining the potential impact of land use/cover changes on the NPP ecosystem services of Yan’an region of China: a scenario-based analysis. International Journal of Global Warming 8, 319–334.",NA 295,Li and Wu 2015,"Scenario 4 Yan'an regional gradient in the 25° above all land to woodland, 6°-25° for grassland, farm land still is below 6°",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"Yan'an, northern Shaanxi Province, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Jing, L., LiLi, W., 2015. Examining the potential impact of land use/cover changes on the NPP ecosystem services of Yan’an region of China: a scenario-based analysis. International Journal of Global Warming 8, 319–334.",NA 296,Li and Wu 2015,"Scenario 5 Yan'an regional gradient in the 6° above all land for forest land, slope below 6° for farmland",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"Yan'an, northern Shaanxi Province, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Jing, L., LiLi, W., 2015. Examining the potential impact of land use/cover changes on the NPP ecosystem services of Yan’an region of China: a scenario-based analysis. International Journal of Global Warming 8, 319–334.",NA 297,Li and Wu 2015,Scenario 6 Yan'an an area for all the woodlands,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"Yan'an, northern Shaanxi Province, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Jing, L., LiLi, W., 2015. Examining the potential impact of land use/cover changes on the NPP ecosystem services of Yan’an region of China: a scenario-based analysis. International Journal of Global Warming 8, 319–334.",NA 298,Li and Wu 2015,"Scenario 7 Yan'an an regional gradient in the 25° land to woodland, 25° following total farmland",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"Yan'an, northern Shaanxi Province, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Jing, L., LiLi, W., 2015. Examining the potential impact of land use/cover changes on the NPP ecosystem services of Yan’an region of China: a scenario-based analysis. International Journal of Global Warming 8, 319–334.",NA 299,Li and Wu 2015,"Scenario 8 Yan'an regional gradient in the 15° land to woodland, 15° following total farmland",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"Yan'an, northern Shaanxi Province, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Jing, L., LiLi, W., 2015. Examining the potential impact of land use/cover changes on the NPP ecosystem services of Yan’an region of China: a scenario-based analysis. International Journal of Global Warming 8, 319–334.",NA 300,Li and Wu 2015,Scenario 9 Yan'an regional farmland,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"Yan'an, northern Shaanxi Province, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Jing, L., LiLi, W., 2015. Examining the potential impact of land use/cover changes on the NPP ecosystem services of Yan’an region of China: a scenario-based analysis. International Journal of Global Warming 8, 319–334.",NA 301,M&S,Plan A 2025 Commitments ,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,2025,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://corporate.marksandspencer.com/documents/plan-a/plan-a-2025-commitments.pdf,NA 302,Mahabadi et al. 2018,Non-optimized scenario,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2049,Local,"Tashk-Bakhtegan basin, Iran",Iran,Asia-Pacific,"Mahabadi, S.A., Bavani, A.R.M., Bgheri, A., 2018. Improving adaptive capacity of social-ecological system of Tashk-Bakhtegan Lake basin to climate change effects – A methodology based on Post-Modern Portfolio Theory. Ecohydrology and Hydrobiology 18, 365–378. doi:10.1016/j.ecohyd.2018.11.002",NA 303,Mahabadi et al. 2018,Optimized scenario,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2049,Local,"Tashk-Bakhtegan basin, Iran",Iran,Asia-Pacific,"Mahabadi, S.A., Bavani, A.R.M., Bgheri, A., 2018. Improving adaptive capacity of social-ecological system of Tashk-Bakhtegan Lake basin to climate change effects – A methodology based on Post-Modern Portfolio Theory. Ecohydrology and Hydrobiology 18, 365–378. doi:10.1016/j.ecohyd.2018.11.002",NA 304,Martinez-Sastre et al. 2017 (Zuzana's version),Intensified and green olive production,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,Local,"Sierra Morena, Spain",Spain,Europe and Central Asia,"Martínez-Sastre, R., Ravera, F., González, J.A., López Santiago, C., Bidegain, I., Munda, G., 2017. Mediterranean landscapes under change: Combining social multicriteria evaluation and the ecosystem services framework for land use planning. Land Use Policy 67, 472–486. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.06.001",NA 305,Martinez-Sastre et al. 2017 (Zuzana's version),BaU,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,Local,"Sierra Morena, Spain",Spain,Europe and Central Asia,"Martínez-Sastre, R., Ravera, F., González, J.A., López Santiago, C., Bidegain, I., Munda, G., 2017. Mediterranean landscapes under change: Combining social multicriteria evaluation and the ecosystem services framework for land use planning. Land Use Policy 67, 472–486. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.06.001",NA 306,Martinez-Sastre et al. 2017 (Zuzana's version),Back to livestock,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,Local,"Sierra Morena, Spain",Spain,Europe and Central Asia,"Martínez-Sastre, R., Ravera, F., González, J.A., López Santiago, C., Bidegain, I., Munda, G., 2017. Mediterranean landscapes under change: Combining social multicriteria evaluation and the ecosystem services framework for land use planning. Land Use Policy 67, 472–486. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.06.001",NA 307,Martinez-Sastre et al. 2017 (Zuzana's version),Mosaic landscape,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,Local,"Sierra Morena, Spain",Spain,Europe and Central Asia,"Martínez-Sastre, R., Ravera, F., González, J.A., López Santiago, C., Bidegain, I., Munda, G., 2017. Mediterranean landscapes under change: Combining social multicriteria evaluation and the ecosystem services framework for land use planning. Land Use Policy 67, 472–486. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.06.001",NA 308,Mavrommati et al. 2017,backyard amenities,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2100,local,"Merrimack River watershed, New Hampshire, USA",USA,Americas,"Mavrommati, G., Borsuk, M.E., Howarth, R.B., 2017. A novel deliberative multicriteria evaluation approach to ecosystem service valuation. Ecology and Society 22. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-09105-220239",NA 309,Mavrommati et al. 2017,community ammenities,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2100,local,"Merrimack River watershed, New Hampshire, USA",USA,Americas,"Mavrommati, G., Borsuk, M.E., Howarth, R.B., 2017. A novel deliberative multicriteria evaluation approach to ecosystem service valuation. Ecology and Society 22. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-09105-220239",NA 310,May et al. 2019,Business As Usual (BAU),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,local,Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem,Tanzania,Africa,"May, R., Jackson, C., Bevanger, K., Røskaft, E., 2019. Servicescape of the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem: Visualizing the linkages between land use, biodiversity and the delivery of wildlife-related ecosystem services. Ecosystem Services 40, 101025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.101025",NA 311,May et al. 2019,Green Haveen,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,local,Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem,Tanzania,Africa,"May, R., Jackson, C., Bevanger, K., Røskaft, E., 2019. Servicescape of the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem: Visualizing the linkages between land use, biodiversity and the delivery of wildlife-related ecosystem services. Ecosystem Services 40, 101025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.101025",NA 312,May et al. 2019,Downward Spiral,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,local,Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem,Tanzania,Africa,"May, R., Jackson, C., Bevanger, K., Røskaft, E., 2019. Servicescape of the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem: Visualizing the linkages between land use, biodiversity and the delivery of wildlife-related ecosystem services. Ecosystem Services 40, 101025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.101025",NA 313,May et al. 2019,Local Communities,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,local,Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem,Tanzania,Africa,"May, R., Jackson, C., Bevanger, K., Røskaft, E., 2019. Servicescape of the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem: Visualizing the linkages between land use, biodiversity and the delivery of wildlife-related ecosystem services. Ecosystem Services 40, 101025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.101025",NA 314,May et al. 2019,Globalization,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,NA,local,Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem,Tanzania,Africa,"May, R., Jackson, C., Bevanger, K., Røskaft, E., 2019. Servicescape of the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem: Visualizing the linkages between land use, biodiversity and the delivery of wildlife-related ecosystem services. Ecosystem Services 40, 101025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.101025",NA 315,MEA Scenarios Assessment,Global orchestration: Globalized world with reactive ecosystem management,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2000 to 2050,Global,World,Global,Global,"MEA Scenarios Assessment: https://www.millenniumassessment.org/en/Scenarios.html WHO 2005 (MEA - Box 3.2): https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/43354/9241563095.pdf;jsessionid=E49F82E0AA76ACFEA84EBA92CF2A5331?sequence=1","Carpenter, S.R., Pingali, P.L., Bennett, E.M., & Zurek, M.B. (Eds.) 2005. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios, Volume 2. Island Press. " 316,MEA Scenarios Assessment,Order from Strength: Regionalized world with reactive ecosystem management,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2000 to 2050,Global,World,Global,Global,"MEA Scenarios Assessment: https://www.millenniumassessment.org/en/Scenarios.html WHO 2005 (MEA - Box 3.2): https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/43354/9241563095.pdf;jsessionid=E49F82E0AA76ACFEA84EBA92CF2A5331?sequence=1","Carpenter, S.R., Pingali, P.L., Bennett, E.M., & Zurek, M.B. (Eds.) 2005. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios, Volume 2. Island Press. " 317,MEA Scenarios Assessment,Adapting Mosaic: Regionalized world with proactive ecosystem management,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2000 to 2050,Global,World,Global,Global,"MEA Scenarios Assessment: https://www.millenniumassessment.org/en/Scenarios.html WHO 2005 (MEA - Box 3.2): https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/43354/9241563095.pdf;jsessionid=E49F82E0AA76ACFEA84EBA92CF2A5331?sequence=1","Carpenter, S.R., Pingali, P.L., Bennett, E.M., & Zurek, M.B. (Eds.) 2005. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios, Volume 2. Island Press. " 318,MEA Scenarios Assessment,TechnoGarden: Globalized world with proactive ecosystem management,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2000 to 2050,Global,World,Global,Global,"MEA Scenarios Assessment: https://www.millenniumassessment.org/en/Scenarios.html WHO 2005 (MEA - Box 3.2): https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/43354/9241563095.pdf;jsessionid=E49F82E0AA76ACFEA84EBA92CF2A5331?sequence=1","Carpenter, S.R., Pingali, P.L., Bennett, E.M., & Zurek, M.B. (Eds.) 2005. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios, Volume 2. Island Press. " 319,MEA Southern African Sub Global Assessment (SAfMA): Gariep basin,Fortress World,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2000-2030,Regional (continental),"south-central southern Africa: the area of South Africa and Lesotho drained by the Senqu-Gariep-Vaal River system, as well as two primary catchments connected to this system by major water transfer schemes",South Africa,Africa,"Overview: https://www.millenniumassessment.org/documents_sga/SAfMA_Integrated_Report.pdf Full basin report: https://www.millenniumassessment.org/documents_sga/SAfMA_Gariep_Basin_non-printable.pdf Ch4 of basin report (scenarios): https://www.millenniumassessment.org/documents_sga/SAfMA%205_Gariep_Basin_Looking_Ahead.pdf","Bohensky, E., Reyers, B., van Jaarsveld, A.S., & Fabricius C. (Eds.) 2004. Ecosystem Services in the Gariep Basin. A Basin-Scale Component of the Southern African Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. Stellenbosch: SUN PReSS." 320,MEA Southern African Sub Global Assessment (SAfMA): Gariep basin,Local Learning,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2000-2030,Regional (continental),"south-central southern Africa: the area of South Africa and Lesotho drained by the Senqu-Gariep-Vaal River system, as well as two primary catchments connected to this system by major water transfer schemes",South Africa,Africa,"Overview: https://www.millenniumassessment.org/documents_sga/SAfMA_Integrated_Report.pdf Full basin report: https://www.millenniumassessment.org/documents_sga/SAfMA_Gariep_Basin_non-printable.pdf Ch4 of basin report (scenarios): https://www.millenniumassessment.org/documents_sga/SAfMA%205_Gariep_Basin_Looking_Ahead.pdf","Bohensky, E., Reyers, B., van Jaarsveld, A.S., & Fabricius C. (Eds.) 2004. Ecosystem Services in the Gariep Basin. A Basin-Scale Component of the Southern African Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. Stellenbosch: SUN PReSS." 321,MEA Southern African Sub Global Assessment (SAfMA): Regional,African Patchwork scenario,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2000-2030,Regional (continental),southern Africa,Africa,Africa,"Regional report: https://www.millenniumassessment.org/documents_sga/SAfMA_Regional_Report_-_final.pdf ecosystems: https://www.millenniumassessment.org/documents/document.773.aspx.pdf (pg iv) integrated report: https://www.millenniumassessment.org/documents_sga/SAfMA_Integrated_Report.pdf","Scholes, R.J. & Biggs, R. (Eds.) 2004: Ecosystem Services in Southern Africa: A Regional Assessment. The Regional-Scale Component of the Southern African Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. Pretoria, South Africa: Council for Scientific and Industrial Research." 322,Meyer et al. 2016,Regional aspirations for landscape futures analysis tool,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,"South Australian Murray-Darling Basin, Australia",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Meyer, W.S., Bryan, B.A., Summers, D.M., Lyle, G., Wells, S., McLean, J., Siebentritt, M., 2016. Regional engagement and spatial modelling for natural resource management planning. Sustainability Science 11, 733–747. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-015-0341-5",NA 323,Mitchell et al. 2016,Death by a Thousand Cuts,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,local,Tasmanian Midlands,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Mitchell, M., Lockwood, M., Moore, S.A., Clement, S., Gilfedder, L., Anderson, G., 2016. Using scenario planning to assess governance reforms for enhancing biodiversity outcomes. Land Use Policy 50, 559–572. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.10.020",NA 324,Mitchell et al. 2016,Cha Ching,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,local,Tasmanian Midlands,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Mitchell, M., Lockwood, M., Moore, S.A., Clement, S., Gilfedder, L., Anderson, G., 2016. Using scenario planning to assess governance reforms for enhancing biodiversity outcomes. Land Use Policy 50, 559–572. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.10.020",NA 325,Mitchell et al. 2016,People's Republic of Northern Midlands,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,local,Tasmanian Midlands,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Mitchell, M., Lockwood, M., Moore, S.A., Clement, S., Gilfedder, L., Anderson, G., 2016. Using scenario planning to assess governance reforms for enhancing biodiversity outcomes. Land Use Policy 50, 559–572. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.10.020",NA 326,Mitchell et al. 2016,Marvellous Midlands,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,local,Tasmanian Midlands,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Mitchell, M., Lockwood, M., Moore, S.A., Clement, S., Gilfedder, L., Anderson, G., 2016. Using scenario planning to assess governance reforms for enhancing biodiversity outcomes. Land Use Policy 50, 559–572. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.10.020",NA 327,Mitchell et al. 2016,RIP - Take the Package Now,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,local,Australian Alps,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Mitchell, M., Lockwood, M., Moore, S.A., Clement, S., Gilfedder, L., Anderson, G., 2016. Using scenario planning to assess governance reforms for enhancing biodiversity outcomes. Land Use Policy 50, 559–572. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.10.020",NA 328,Mitchell et al. 2016,Mulit Use Park,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,local,Australian Alps,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Mitchell, M., Lockwood, M., Moore, S.A., Clement, S., Gilfedder, L., Anderson, G., 2016. Using scenario planning to assess governance reforms for enhancing biodiversity outcomes. Land Use Policy 50, 559–572. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.10.020",NA 329,Mitchell et al. 2016,"We Care, But is it Too Late?",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,local,Australian Alps,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Mitchell, M., Lockwood, M., Moore, S.A., Clement, S., Gilfedder, L., Anderson, G., 2016. Using scenario planning to assess governance reforms for enhancing biodiversity outcomes. Land Use Policy 50, 559–572. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.10.020",NA 330,Mitchell et al. 2016,Alpine Dreaming,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,local,Australian Alps,Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Mitchell, M., Lockwood, M., Moore, S.A., Clement, S., Gilfedder, L., Anderson, G., 2016. Using scenario planning to assess governance reforms for enhancing biodiversity outcomes. Land Use Policy 50, 559–572. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.10.020",NA 331,Natura&Co,Sustainability Vision 2030 Commitment to life ,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,2030,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://www.naturaeco.com/en/commitment-to-life/sustainability-vision-2030/; https://www.naturaeco.com/en/press-release/natura-co-unveils-its-commitment-to-life-for-2030/; https://api.mziq.com/mzfilemanager/v2/d/9e61d5ff-4641-4ec3-97a5-3595f938bb75/31213384-235e-a318-b58a-27782c1b1cbd?origin=2,NA 332,NIES 2015,Society as an Abundant Fountain,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.nies.go.jp/program/psocial-e/pj1/jqjm10000006swgn-att/jqjm100000072fhy.pdf,"What is a sustainable society in Japan? An examination of Japan's sustainable future in 2050. (2015). (Eds) Matsuhashi, K., Kameyama, Y., Iwabuchi, Y., Kanamori, Y., Tasaki, T., Masui, T. Japan: National Institute for Environmental Studies. https://www.nies.go.jp/program/psocial-e/pj1/jqjm10000006swgn-att/jqjm100000072fhy.pdf " 333,NIES 2015,Society as a Rainbow-Colored Shower,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Japan,Japan,Asia-Pacific,https://www.nies.go.jp/program/psocial-e/pj1/jqjm10000006swgn-att/jqjm100000072fhy.pdf,What is a sustainable society in Japan? An examination of Japan's sustainable future in 2050. (2015) Japan: National Institute for Environmental Studies. https://www.nies.go.jp/program/psocial-e/pj1/jqjm10000006swgn-att/jqjm100000072fhy.pdf 334,Nobre et al. 2016,Third Way as Paradigm of Sustainable Development for the Amazon,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,Continuous,Regional (continental),Brazilian Amazon region,Brazil,Americas,https://www.pnas.org/content/113/39/10759,"Nobre, C. A., Sampaio, G., Borma, L. S., Castilla-Rubio, J. C., Silva, J. S., & Cardoso, M. (2016). Land-use and climate change risks in the Amazon and the need of a novel sustainable development paradigm. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113(39), 10759-10768." 335,OnePlanet Business for Biodiversity ,Statement of Ambition,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,2030,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://op2b.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/OP2B_Ambition_Statement.pdf,NA 336,Outeiro et al 2016,Enviro conservation and indigenous development,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,southern Chile,Chile,Americas,"Outeiro, L., Häussermann, V., Viddi, F., Hucke-Gaete, R., Försterra, G., Oyarzo, H., Kosiel, K., Villasante, S., 2015. Using ecosystem services mapping for marine spatial planning in southern Chile under scenario assessment. Ecosystem Services 16, 341–353. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2015.03.004",NA 337,Outeiro et al 2016,Industrial development,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,southern Chile,Chile,Americas,"Outeiro, L., Häussermann, V., Viddi, F., Hucke-Gaete, R., Försterra, G., Oyarzo, H., Kosiel, K., Villasante, S., 2015. Using ecosystem services mapping for marine spatial planning in southern Chile under scenario assessment. Ecosystem Services 16, 341–353. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2015.03.004",NA 338,Outeiro et al 2016,BAU- current zoning,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,local,southern Chile,Chile,Americas,"Outeiro, L., Häussermann, V., Viddi, F., Hucke-Gaete, R., Försterra, G., Oyarzo, H., Kosiel, K., Villasante, S., 2015. Using ecosystem services mapping for marine spatial planning in southern Chile under scenario assessment. Ecosystem Services 16, 341–353. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2015.03.004",NA 339,"Palacios-Agundez et al., 2013",Present conditions,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Biscay, Basque Country",Spain,Europe and Central Asia,https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol18/iss3/art7/,"Palacios-Agundez, I., Casado-Arzuaga, I., Madariaga, I., & Onaindia, M. (2013). The relevance of local participatory scenario planning for ecosystem management policies in the Basque Country, northern Spain. Ecology and Society, 18(3). https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-05619-180307" 340,"Palacios-Agundez et al., 2013","Oppressed Biscay, adapted from Order From Strength",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Biscay, Basque Country",Spain,Europe and Central Asia,https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol18/iss3/art7/,"Palacios-Agundez, I., Casado-Arzuaga, I., Madariaga, I., & Onaindia, M. (2013). The relevance of local participatory scenario planning for ecosystem management policies in the Basque Country, northern Spain. Ecology and Society, 18(3). https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-05619-180307" 341,"Palacios-Agundez et al., 2013","Global Delicatessen, adapted from Global Orchestration",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Biscay, Basque Country",Spain,Europe and Central Asia,https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol18/iss3/art7/,"Palacios-Agundez, I., Casado-Arzuaga, I., Madariaga, I., & Onaindia, M. (2013). The relevance of local participatory scenario planning for ecosystem management policies in the Basque Country, northern Spain. Ecology and Society, 18(3). https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-05619-180307" 342,"Palacios-Agundez et al., 2013","TechnoFaith, adapted from Techno Garden",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Biscay, Basque Country",Spain,Europe and Central Asia,https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol18/iss3/art7/,"Palacios-Agundez, I., Casado-Arzuaga, I., Madariaga, I., & Onaindia, M. (2013). The relevance of local participatory scenario planning for ecosystem management policies in the Basque Country, northern Spain. Ecology and Society, 18(3). https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-05619-180307" 343,"Palacios-Agundez et al., 2013","Cultivating Social Values, adapted from Adapting Mosaic",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Biscay, Basque Country",Spain,Europe and Central Asia,https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol18/iss3/art7/,"Palacios-Agundez, I., Casado-Arzuaga, I., Madariaga, I., & Onaindia, M. (2013). The relevance of local participatory scenario planning for ecosystem management policies in the Basque Country, northern Spain. Ecology and Society, 18(3). https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-05619-180307" 344,"Palacios-Agundez et al., 2013",Biscay from the local to the global scale and vice versa,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Local,"Biscay, Basque Country",Spain,Europe and Central Asia,https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol18/iss3/art7/,"Palacios-Agundez, I., Casado-Arzuaga, I., Madariaga, I., & Onaindia, M. (2013). The relevance of local participatory scenario planning for ecosystem management policies in the Basque Country, northern Spain. Ecology and Society, 18(3). https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-05619-180307" 345,Pröbstl-Haider et al. 2016,Short-Rotation Forestry,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,5-10 years,National,"March–Thaya floodplains, north-eastern Austria,",Austria,Europe and Central Asia,"Pröbstl-Haider, U., Mostegl, N.M., Kelemen-Finan, J., Haider, W., Formayer, H., Kantelhardt, J., Moser, T., Kapfer, M., Trenholm, R., 2016. Farmers’ Preferences for Future Agricultural Land Use Under the Consideration of Climate Change. Environmental Management 58, 446–464. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-016-0720-4",NA 346,Pröbstl-Haider et al. 2016,Improved Growing Conditions for Cash Crop,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,5-10 years,National,"March–Thaya floodplains, north-eastern Austria,",Austria,Europe and Central Asia,"Pröbstl-Haider, U., Mostegl, N.M., Kelemen-Finan, J., Haider, W., Formayer, H., Kantelhardt, J., Moser, T., Kapfer, M., Trenholm, R., 2016. Farmers’ Preferences for Future Agricultural Land Use Under the Consideration of Climate Change. Environmental Management 58, 446–464. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-016-0720-4",NA 347,Pröbstl-Haider et al. 2016,Impact of Incentives and Possible Structural Policies (AES,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,5-10 years,National,"March–Thaya floodplains, north-eastern Austria,",Austria,Europe and Central Asia,"Pröbstl-Haider, U., Mostegl, N.M., Kelemen-Finan, J., Haider, W., Formayer, H., Kantelhardt, J., Moser, T., Kapfer, M., Trenholm, R., 2016. Farmers’ Preferences for Future Agricultural Land Use Under the Consideration of Climate Change. Environmental Management 58, 446–464. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-016-0720-4",NA 348,Putting people at the heart of the green transition,Green New Deal,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios","Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Unspecified,National,UK,UK,Europe and Central Asia,https://www.ippr.org/research/publications/green-transition,"Murphy, L. & Francis, A. (Eds.) 2019. Putting people at the heart of the green transition. Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) and World Wildlife Fund (WWF). https://www.ippr.org/research/publications/green-transition" 349,Ramm et al. 2017,RCP4.5,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2100,Local,"Kingston Beach, Tasmania",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Ramm, T. D., S. Graham, C. J. White, and C. S. Watson. 2017. Advancing values-based approaches to climate change adaptation: A case study from Australia. Environmental Science and Policy 76(March):113–123.",NA 350,"Ramsar Technical Report No.3, Appendix 1",Current scenario,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,1994 to 2050,Local,"El Tamarindo, El Salvador",El Salvador,Americas,https://www.ramsar.org/sites/default/files/documents/pdf/lib/lib_rtr03.pdf,"De Groot,R.S., Stuip, M.A.M., Finlayson, C.M. & Davidson, N. 2006. Valuing wetlands: guidance for valuing the benefi ts derived from wetland ecosystem services, Ramsar Technical Report No. 3/CBD Technical Series No. 27. Ramsar Convention Secretariat, Gland, Switz erland & Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity, Montreal, Canada. ISBN 2-940073-31-7." 351,"Ramsar Technical Report No.3, Appendix 1",Partial conversion,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,1994 to 2050,Local,"El Tamarindo, El Salvador",El Salvador,Americas,https://www.ramsar.org/sites/default/files/documents/pdf/lib/lib_rtr03.pdf,"De Groot,R.S., Stuip, M.A.M., Finlayson, C.M. & Davidson, N. 2006. Valuing wetlands: guidance for valuing the benefi ts derived from wetland ecosystem services, Ramsar Technical Report No. 3/CBD Technical Series No. 27. Ramsar Convention Secretariat, Gland, Switz erland & Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity, Montreal, Canada. ISBN 2-940073-31-7." 352,"Ramsar Technical Report No.3, Appendix 1",Sustainable management,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,1994 to 2050,Local,"El Tamarindo, El Salvador",El Salvador,Americas,https://www.ramsar.org/sites/default/files/documents/pdf/lib/lib_rtr03.pdf,"De Groot,R.S., Stuip, M.A.M., Finlayson, C.M. & Davidson, N. 2006. Valuing wetlands: guidance for valuing the benefi ts derived from wetland ecosystem services, Ramsar Technical Report No. 3/CBD Technical Series No. 27. Ramsar Convention Secretariat, Gland, Switz erland & Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity, Montreal, Canada. ISBN 2-940073-31-7." 353,Rawluk et al. 2018,Developing self-reliant people and communities,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"Victoria, Australia",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Rawluk, A., R. M. Ford, and K. J. H. Williams. 2018. Value-based scenario planning: Exploring multifaceted values in natural disaster planning and management. Ecology and Society 23(4).",NA 354,Rawluk et al. 2018,A safe society: separating people and fuel,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"Victoria, Australia",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Rawluk, A., R. M. Ford, and K. J. H. Williams. 2018. Value-based scenario planning: Exploring multifaceted values in natural disaster planning and management. Ecology and Society 23(4).",NA 355,Rawluk et al. 2018,Living with nature and fire,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,National,"Victoria, Australia",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Rawluk, A., R. M. Ford, and K. J. H. Williams. 2018. Value-based scenario planning: Exploring multifaceted values in natural disaster planning and management. Ecology and Society 23(4).",NA 356,"Report of the Secretary-General on long-term future trends and scenarios - impacts in the economic, social and environmental areas on the realization of the Sustainable Development Goals",Low-energy demand,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2030/2050,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/3927759?ln=en,NA 357,"Report of the Secretary-General on long-term future trends and scenarios - impacts in the economic, social and environmental areas on the realization of the Sustainable Development Goals",BAU,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2030/2050,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/3927759?ln=en,NA 358,"Report of the Secretary-General on long-term future trends and scenarios - impacts in the economic, social and environmental areas on the realization of the Sustainable Development Goals",Worst case scenario,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2030/2050,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/3927759?ln=en,NA 359,"Riensche et al., 2015",Massive tourism,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,10–50 years,Local,"‘Costalegre Ecological Tourism Corridor’: La Huerta, Tomatlán and Cabo Corrientes municipalities, Mexico",Mexico,Americas,https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328714002067?dgcid=rss_sd_all#tbl0010,"Riensche, M., A. Castillo, A. Flores-Díaz, and M. Maass. 2015. Tourism at Costalegre, Mexico: An ecosystem services-based exploration of current challenges and alternative futures. Futures, 66:70–84." 360,"Riensche et al., 2015",More high-end tourism,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,10–50 years,Local,"‘Costalegre Ecological Tourism Corridor’: La Huerta, Tomatlán and Cabo Corrientes municipalities, Mexico",Mexico,Americas,https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328714002067?dgcid=rss_sd_all#tbl0010,"Riensche, M., A. Castillo, A. Flores-Díaz, and M. Maass. 2015. Tourism at Costalegre, Mexico: An ecosystem services-based exploration of current challenges and alternative futures. Futures, 66:70–84." 361,"Riensche et al., 2015",Environmental conservation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,10–50 years,Local,"‘Costalegre Ecological Tourism Corridor’: La Huerta, Tomatlán and Cabo Corrientes municipalities, Mexico",Mexico,Americas,https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328714002067?dgcid=rss_sd_all#tbl0010,"Riensche, M., A. Castillo, A. Flores-Díaz, and M. Maass. 2015. Tourism at Costalegre, Mexico: An ecosystem services-based exploration of current challenges and alternative futures. Futures, 66:70–84." 362,"Riensche et al., 2015",Integrated Management,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,10–50 years,Local,"‘Costalegre Ecological Tourism Corridor’: La Huerta, Tomatlán and Cabo Corrientes municipalities, Mexico",Mexico,Americas,https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328714002067?dgcid=rss_sd_all#tbl0010,"Riensche, M., A. Castillo, A. Flores-Díaz, and M. Maass. 2015. Tourism at Costalegre, Mexico: An ecosystem services-based exploration of current challenges and alternative futures. Futures, 66:70–84." 363,RIPESS,"Global Vision for a Social Solidarity Economy: Convergences and Differences in Concepts, Definitions and Frameworks ",Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Unspecified,Global,Global,Global,Global,http://www.ripess.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/RIPESS_Vision-Global_EN.pdf,NA 364,Roads from Rio+20,Roads from Rio (Trend),Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Science-policy interface,2050,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2012/roads-from-rio20,"van Vuuren, D., Kok, M., van der Esch, S., Jeuken, M., Lucas, P. et al. 2012. Roads from Rio+20, pathways to achieve global sustainability goals by 2050. The Hague: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. " 365,Roads from Rio+20,Roads from Rio - Global Technology pathways,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Science-policy interface,2050,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2012/roads-from-rio20,"van Vuuren, D., Kok, M., van der Esch, S., Jeuken, M., Lucas, P. et al. 2012. Roads from Rio+20, pathways to achieve global sustainability goals by 2050. The Hague: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. " 366,Roads from Rio+20,Roads from Rio - Decentralized solutions,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Science-policy interface,2050,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2012/roads-from-rio20,"van Vuuren, D., Kok, M., van der Esch, S., Jeuken, M., Lucas, P. et al. 2012. Roads from Rio+20, pathways to achieve global sustainability goals by 2050. The Hague: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. " 367,Roads from Rio+20,Roads from Rio - Consumption change,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Science-policy interface,2050,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2012/roads-from-rio20,"van Vuuren, D., Kok, M., van der Esch, S., Jeuken, M., Lucas, P. et al. 2012. Roads from Rio+20, pathways to achieve global sustainability goals by 2050. The Hague: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. " 368,Saito et al. 2019,Natural capital-based dispersed society (ND),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Japan,Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Saito, O., Kamiyama, C., Hashimoto, S., Matsui, T., Shoyama, K., Kabaya, K., Uetake, T., Taki, H., Ishikawa, Y., Matsushita, K., Yamane, F., Hori, J., Ariga, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Co-design of national-scale future scenarios in Japan to predict and assess natural capital and ecosystem services. Sustainability Science 14, 5–21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0587-9","Saito, O., Kamiyama, C., Hashimoto, S., Matsui, T., Shoyama, K., Kabaya, K., Uetake, T., Taki, H., Ishikawa, Y., Matsushita, K., Yamane, F., Hori, J., Ariga, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Co-design of national-scale future scenarios in Japan to predict and assess natural capital and ecosystem services. Sustainability Science 14, 5–21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0587-9" 369,Saito et al. 2019,Natural capital-based compact society (NC),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Japan,Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Saito, O., Kamiyama, C., Hashimoto, S., Matsui, T., Shoyama, K., Kabaya, K., Uetake, T., Taki, H., Ishikawa, Y., Matsushita, K., Yamane, F., Hori, J., Ariga, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Co-design of national-scale future scenarios in Japan to predict and assess natural capital and ecosystem services. Sustainability Science 14, 5–21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0587-9","Saito, O., Kamiyama, C., Hashimoto, S., Matsui, T., Shoyama, K., Kabaya, K., Uetake, T., Taki, H., Ishikawa, Y., Matsushita, K., Yamane, F., Hori, J., Ariga, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Co-design of national-scale future scenarios in Japan to predict and assess natural capital and ecosystem services. Sustainability Science 14, 5–21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0587-9" 370,Saito et al. 2019,Produced capital-based dispersed society (PD),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Japan,Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Saito, O., Kamiyama, C., Hashimoto, S., Matsui, T., Shoyama, K., Kabaya, K., Uetake, T., Taki, H., Ishikawa, Y., Matsushita, K., Yamane, F., Hori, J., Ariga, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Co-design of national-scale future scenarios in Japan to predict and assess natural capital and ecosystem services. Sustainability Science 14, 5–21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0587-9","Saito, O., Kamiyama, C., Hashimoto, S., Matsui, T., Shoyama, K., Kabaya, K., Uetake, T., Taki, H., Ishikawa, Y., Matsushita, K., Yamane, F., Hori, J., Ariga, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Co-design of national-scale future scenarios in Japan to predict and assess natural capital and ecosystem services. Sustainability Science 14, 5–21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0587-9" 371,Saito et al. 2019,Produced capital-based compact society (PC),Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,National,Japan,Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Saito, O., Kamiyama, C., Hashimoto, S., Matsui, T., Shoyama, K., Kabaya, K., Uetake, T., Taki, H., Ishikawa, Y., Matsushita, K., Yamane, F., Hori, J., Ariga, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Co-design of national-scale future scenarios in Japan to predict and assess natural capital and ecosystem services. Sustainability Science 14, 5–21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0587-9","Saito, O., Kamiyama, C., Hashimoto, S., Matsui, T., Shoyama, K., Kabaya, K., Uetake, T., Taki, H., Ishikawa, Y., Matsushita, K., Yamane, F., Hori, J., Ariga, T., Takeuchi, K., 2019. Co-design of national-scale future scenarios in Japan to predict and assess natural capital and ecosystem services. Sustainability Science 14, 5–21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0587-9" 372,Sandhu et al. 2018 - very detailed narratives available,Lacuna,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,local,"the northern Adelaide coastline, South Australia",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Sandhu, H., Clarke, B., Baring, R., Anderson, S., Fisk, C., Dittmann, S., Walker, S., Sutton, P., Kubiszewski, I., Costanza, R., 2018. Scenario planning including ecosystem services for a coastal region in South Australia. Ecosystem Services 31, 194–207. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2018.04.006",NA 373,Sandhu et al. 2018 - very detailed narratives available,Gold Coast SA,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,local,"the northern Adelaide coastline, South Australia",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Sandhu, H., Clarke, B., Baring, R., Anderson, S., Fisk, C., Dittmann, S., Walker, S., Sutton, P., Kubiszewski, I., Costanza, R., 2018. Scenario planning including ecosystem services for a coastal region in South Australia. Ecosystem Services 31, 194–207. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2018.04.006",NA 374,Sandhu et al. 2018 - very detailed narratives available,Down to Earth,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,local,"the northern Adelaide coastline, South Australia",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Sandhu, H., Clarke, B., Baring, R., Anderson, S., Fisk, C., Dittmann, S., Walker, S., Sutton, P., Kubiszewski, I., Costanza, R., 2018. Scenario planning including ecosystem services for a coastal region in South Australia. Ecosystem Services 31, 194–207. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2018.04.006",NA 375,Sandhu et al. 2018 - very detailed narratives available,Green & Gold,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,local,"the northern Adelaide coastline, South Australia",Australia,Asia-Pacific,"Sandhu, H., Clarke, B., Baring, R., Anderson, S., Fisk, C., Dittmann, S., Walker, S., Sutton, P., Kubiszewski, I., Costanza, R., 2018. Scenario planning including ecosystem services for a coastal region in South Australia. Ecosystem Services 31, 194–207. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2018.04.006",NA 376,Sandström et al. 2020,Biomass and Bioenergy,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,2054,national,Sweden,Sweden,Europe and Central Asia,"Sandström, C., Kanyama, A.C., Räty, R., Sonnek, K.M., Nordström, E.M., Mossing, A., Nordin, A., 2020. Policy goals and instruments for achieving a desirable future forest: Experiences from backcasting with stakeholders in Sweden. Forest Policy and Economics 111, 102051. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2019.102051",NA 377,Sandström et al. 2020,Conservation,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,2054,national,Sweden,Sweden,Europe and Central Asia,"Sandström, C., Kanyama, A.C., Räty, R., Sonnek, K.M., Nordström, E.M., Mossing, A., Nordin, A., 2020. Policy goals and instruments for achieving a desirable future forest: Experiences from backcasting with stakeholders in Sweden. Forest Policy and Economics 111, 102051. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2019.102051",NA 378,Sandström et al. 2020,Sami Livelihoods,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,2054,national,Sweden,Sweden,Europe and Central Asia,"Sandström, C., Kanyama, A.C., Räty, R., Sonnek, K.M., Nordström, E.M., Mossing, A., Nordin, A., 2020. Policy goals and instruments for achieving a desirable future forest: Experiences from backcasting with stakeholders in Sweden. Forest Policy and Economics 111, 102051. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2019.102051",NA 379,Sandström et al. 2020,Recreation and Rural Development A,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,2054,national,Sweden,Sweden,Europe and Central Asia,"Sandström, C., Kanyama, A.C., Räty, R., Sonnek, K.M., Nordström, E.M., Mossing, A., Nordin, A., 2020. Policy goals and instruments for achieving a desirable future forest: Experiences from backcasting with stakeholders in Sweden. Forest Policy and Economics 111, 102051. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2019.102051",NA 380,Sandström et al. 2020,Recreation and Rural Development B,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Academia participatory/policy-driven,2054,national,Sweden,Sweden,Europe and Central Asia,"Sandström, C., Kanyama, A.C., Räty, R., Sonnek, K.M., Nordström, E.M., Mossing, A., Nordin, A., 2020. Policy goals and instruments for achieving a desirable future forest: Experiences from backcasting with stakeholders in Sweden. Forest Policy and Economics 111, 102051. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2019.102051",NA 381,Santos et al. 2017,A1 - private landfills,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,Local,"Recife Metropolitan Region, Brazil",Brazil,Americas,"Santos, S. M., M. M. Silva, R. M. Melo, S. Gavazza, L. Florencio, and M. T. Kato. 2017. Multi-criteria analysis for municipal solid waste management in a Brazilian metropolitan area. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 189(11).",NA 382,Santos et al. 2017,A2 - municipal waste treatment plants,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,Local,"Recife Metropolitan Region, Brazil",Brazil,Americas,"Santos, S. M., M. M. Silva, R. M. Melo, S. Gavazza, L. Florencio, and M. T. Kato. 2017. Multi-criteria analysis for municipal solid waste management in a Brazilian metropolitan area. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 189(11).",NA 383,Santos et al. 2017,A3 - private landfills + an incinerator,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,Local,"Recife Metropolitan Region, Brazil",Brazil,Americas,"Santos, S. M., M. M. Silva, R. M. Melo, S. Gavazza, L. Florencio, and M. T. Kato. 2017. Multi-criteria analysis for municipal solid waste management in a Brazilian metropolitan area. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 189(11).",NA 384,Schulp et al. 2019 + Stürck et al. 2018,Libertarian Europe (V-A1),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2040,Regional (continental),EU,EU,Europe and Central Asia,"Stürck, J., Levers, C., van der Zanden, E.H., Schulp, C.J.E., Verkerk, P.J., Kuemmerle, T., Helming, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Tabeau, A., Popp, A., Schrammeijer, E., Verburg, P., 2018. Simulating and delineating future land change trajectories across Europe. Regional Environmental Change 18, 733–749. doi:10.1007/s10113-015-0876-0 Schulp, C.J.E., Levers, C., Kuemmerle, T., Tieskens, K.F., Verburg, P.H., 2019. Mapping and modelling past and future land use change in Europe’s cultural landscapes. Land Use Policy 80, 332–344. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.04.030",NA 385,Schulp et al. 2019 + Stürck et al. 2018,Eurosceptic Europe (V-A2),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2040,Regional (continental),EU,EU,Europe and Central Asia,"Stürck, J., Levers, C., van der Zanden, E.H., Schulp, C.J.E., Verkerk, P.J., Kuemmerle, T., Helming, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Tabeau, A., Popp, A., Schrammeijer, E., Verburg, P., 2018. Simulating and delineating future land change trajectories across Europe. Regional Environmental Change 18, 733–749. doi:10.1007/s10113-015-0876-0 Schulp, C.J.E., Levers, C., Kuemmerle, T., Tieskens, K.F., Verburg, P.H., 2019. Mapping and modelling past and future land use change in Europe’s cultural landscapes. Land Use Policy 80, 332–344. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.04.030",NA 386,Schulp et al. 2019 + Stürck et al. 2018,Social Democracy Europe (V-B1),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2040,Regional (continental),EU,EU,Europe and Central Asia,"Stürck, J., Levers, C., van der Zanden, E.H., Schulp, C.J.E., Verkerk, P.J., Kuemmerle, T., Helming, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Tabeau, A., Popp, A., Schrammeijer, E., Verburg, P., 2018. Simulating and delineating future land change trajectories across Europe. Regional Environmental Change 18, 733–749. doi:10.1007/s10113-015-0876-0 Schulp, C.J.E., Levers, C., Kuemmerle, T., Tieskens, K.F., Verburg, P.H., 2019. Mapping and modelling past and future land use change in Europe’s cultural landscapes. Land Use Policy 80, 332–344. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.04.030",NA 387,Schulp et al. 2019 + Stürck et al. 2018,European Localism (V-B2),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2040,Regional (continental),EU,EU,Europe and Central Asia,"Stürck, J., Levers, C., van der Zanden, E.H., Schulp, C.J.E., Verkerk, P.J., Kuemmerle, T., Helming, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Tabeau, A., Popp, A., Schrammeijer, E., Verburg, P., 2018. Simulating and delineating future land change trajectories across Europe. Regional Environmental Change 18, 733–749. doi:10.1007/s10113-015-0876-0 Schulp, C.J.E., Levers, C., Kuemmerle, T., Tieskens, K.F., Verburg, P.H., 2019. Mapping and modelling past and future land use change in Europe’s cultural landscapes. Land Use Policy 80, 332–344. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.04.030",NA 388,"Sessa and Ricci, 2014",New Welfare Scenario (Orange World paradigm),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328713001481?via%3Dihub,"Sessa, C., & Ricci, A. (2014). The world in 2050 and the New Welfare scenario. Futures, 58, 77-90." 389,"Sessa and Ricci, 2014",Growing without limits: Pear World paradigm,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328713001481?via%3Dihub,"Sessa, C., & Ricci, A. (2014). The world in 2050 and the New Welfare scenario. Futures, 58, 77-90." 390,"Sessa and Ricci, 2014",Growing within limits: Apple World paradigm,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328713001481?via%3Dihub,"Sessa, C., & Ricci, A. (2014). The world in 2050 and the New Welfare scenario. Futures, 58, 77-90." 391,"Sessa and Ricci, 2014",Turbulent decline: Potato World paradigm,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328713001481?via%3Dihub,"Sessa, C., & Ricci, A. (2014). The world in 2050 and the New Welfare scenario. Futures, 58, 77-90." 392,Seven Lochs Wetland Park: masterplan and visioning study,Seven Lochs Wetland Park: masterplan and visioning study,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios","Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Unspecified,Local,"Seven Lochs Wetland Park (Gartloch and Gartcosh, Glasgow / North Lanarkshire)",UK,Europe and Central Asia,https://issuu.com/gcvgreennetworkpartnership/docs/120815145940-b9e507d9d9614bb4bc64dbc593e1b47e,"Collective Architecture, AECOM, Brown & Wallace, MCM Associates. (2013). Seven Lochs Wetland Park: vision and masterplan. Retrieved from: https://issuu.com/gcvgreennetworkpartnership/docs/120815145940-b9e507d9d9614bb4bc64dbc593e1b47e" 393,Shared global vision for Groundwater Governance 2030 and A call-for-action: Revised edition,Shared Global Vision and a Framework of Action,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios","Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2030,Global,Global,Global,Global,http://www.fao.org/3/a-i5508e.pdf,"Global Environment Facility (GEF), World Bank, United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization – International Hydrological Programme (UNESCO-IHP), Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), International Association of Hydrogeologists (IAH). (2015). Shared global vision for Groundwater Governance 2030 and A call-for-action: Revised edition. http://www.fao.org/3/a-i5508e.pdf" 394,Sharma et al. 2019,BaU,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2035,local,"West Kalimantan, Indonesia",Indonesia,Asia-Pacific,"Sharma, S.K., Baral, H., Laumonier, Y., Okarda, B., Purnomo, H., Pacheco, P., 2019. Ecosystem services under future oil palm expansion scenarios in West Kalimantan, Indonesia. Ecosystem Services 39, 100978. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.100978",NA 395,Sharma et al. 2019,Conservation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2035,local,"West Kalimantan, Indonesia",Indonesia,Asia-Pacific,"Sharma, S.K., Baral, H., Laumonier, Y., Okarda, B., Purnomo, H., Pacheco, P., 2019. Ecosystem services under future oil palm expansion scenarios in West Kalimantan, Indonesia. Ecosystem Services 39, 100978. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.100978",NA 396,Sharma et al. 2019,Sustainable intensification,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2035,local,"West Kalimantan, Indonesia",Indonesia,Asia-Pacific,"Sharma, S.K., Baral, H., Laumonier, Y., Okarda, B., Purnomo, H., Pacheco, P., 2019. Ecosystem services under future oil palm expansion scenarios in West Kalimantan, Indonesia. Ecosystem Services 39, 100978. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.100978",NA 397,Sherrouse et al. 2018,road network expansion,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2060,local,"Southern Rocky Mountains, USA",USA,Americas,"Sherrouse, B.C., Semmens, D.J., Ancona, Z.H., Brunner, N.M., 2017. Analyzing land-use change scenarios for trade-offs among cultural ecosystem services in the Southern Rocky Mountains. Ecosystem Services 26, 431–444. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2017.02.003",NA 398,South West Water,Water Future,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,2020-2050,Local,"UK (Cornwall, Devon, parts of Somerset and Dorset)",UK,Europe and Central Asia,https://www.southwestwater.co.uk/waterfuture/vision2050/,South West Water. 2018. Water Future: Our Vision 2020-2050. https://www.southwestwater.co.uk/waterfuture/vision2050/ 399,SSPs (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways),SSP1 (Sustainable development),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2100,Global,World,Global,Global,"O’Neill, B.C., et al., 2017. The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42, 169–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 Riahi, K., et al., 2017. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42, 153-168.","O’Neill, B.C., et al., 2017. The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42, 169–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 Riahi, K., et al., 2017. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42, 153-168." 400,SSPs (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways),SSP2 (The middle road),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2100,Global,World,Global,Global,"O’Neill, B.C., et al., 2017. The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42, 169–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 Riahi, K., et al., 2017. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42, 153-168.","O’Neill, B.C., et al., 2017. The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42, 169–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 Riahi, K., et al., 2017. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42, 153-168." 401,SSPs (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways),SSP3 (A fragmented world),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2100,Global,World,Global,Global,"O’Neill, B.C., et al., 2017. The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42, 169–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 Riahi, K., et al., 2017. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42, 153-168.","O’Neill, B.C., et al., 2017. The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42, 169–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 Riahi, K., et al., 2017. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42, 153-168." 402,SSPs (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways),SSP4 (Inequality),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2100,Global,World,Global,Global,"O’Neill, B.C., et al., 2017. The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42, 169–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 Riahi, K., et al., 2017. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42, 153-168.","O’Neill, B.C., et al., 2017. The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42, 169–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 Riahi, K., et al., 2017. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42, 153-168." 403,SSPs (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways),SSP5 (Fossil fuel-based development),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2100,Global,World,Global,Global,"O’Neill, B.C., et al., 2017. The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42, 169–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 Riahi, K., et al., 2017. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42, 153-168.","O’Neill, B.C., et al., 2017. The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42, 169–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 Riahi, K., et al., 2017. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42, 153-168." 404,Tallis et al. 2018,Sustainability,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,"Tallis, H.M., Hawthorne, P.L., Polasky, S., Reid, J., Beck, M.W., Brauman, K., Bielicki, J.M., Binder, S., Burgess, M.G., Cassidy, E., Clark, A., Fargione, J., Game, E.T., Gerber, J., Isbell, F., Kiesecker, J., McDonald, R., Metian, M., Molnar, J.L., Mueller, N.D., O’Connell, C., Ovando, D., Troell, M., Boucher, T.M., McPeek, B., 2018. An attainable global vision for conservation and human well-being. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 16, 563–570. https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1965","Tallis, H.M., Hawthorne, P.L., Polasky, S., Reid, J., Beck, M.W., Brauman, K., Bielicki, J.M., Binder, S., Burgess, M.G., Cassidy, E., Clark, A., Fargione, J., Game, E.T., Gerber, J., Isbell, F., Kiesecker, J., McDonald, R., Metian, M., Molnar, J.L., Mueller, N.D., O’Connell, C., Ovando, D., Troell, M., Boucher, T.M., McPeek, B., 2018. An attainable global vision for conservation and human well-being. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 16, 563–570. https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1965" 405,Tallis et al. 2018,Business-as-Usual,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Global,World,Global,Global,"Tallis, H.M., Hawthorne, P.L., Polasky, S., Reid, J., Beck, M.W., Brauman, K., Bielicki, J.M., Binder, S., Burgess, M.G., Cassidy, E., Clark, A., Fargione, J., Game, E.T., Gerber, J., Isbell, F., Kiesecker, J., McDonald, R., Metian, M., Molnar, J.L., Mueller, N.D., O’Connell, C., Ovando, D., Troell, M., Boucher, T.M., McPeek, B., 2018. An attainable global vision for conservation and human well-being. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 16, 563–570. https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1965","Tallis, H.M., Hawthorne, P.L., Polasky, S., Reid, J., Beck, M.W., Brauman, K., Bielicki, J.M., Binder, S., Burgess, M.G., Cassidy, E., Clark, A., Fargione, J., Game, E.T., Gerber, J., Isbell, F., Kiesecker, J., McDonald, R., Metian, M., Molnar, J.L., Mueller, N.D., O’Connell, C., Ovando, D., Troell, M., Boucher, T.M., McPeek, B., 2018. An attainable global vision for conservation and human well-being. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 16, 563–570. https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1965" 406,Tasaki et al. 2016,The health-oriented society,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,National,Japan,Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Tasaki, T., Yoshida, A., Aoyagi, M., Kanamori, Y., Awata, K., Tominaga, N., Shimizu, A., Suwabe, H., Nemoto, K., 2016. Scenario Writing of Future Lifestyles in Japan for 2030. Sustainable Development 24, 406–415. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.1636","Tasaki, T., Yoshida, A., Aoyagi, M., Kanamori, Y., Awata, K., Tominaga, N., Shimizu, A., Suwabe, H., Nemoto, K., 2016. Scenario Writing of Future Lifestyles in Japan for 2030. Sustainable Development 24, 406–415. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.1636" 407,Tasaki et al. 2016,"The anti-aging town, restoring vitality",Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,National,Japan,Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Tasaki, T., Yoshida, A., Aoyagi, M., Kanamori, Y., Awata, K., Tominaga, N., Shimizu, A., Suwabe, H., Nemoto, K., 2016. Scenario Writing of Future Lifestyles in Japan for 2030. Sustainable Development 24, 406–415. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.1636","Tasaki, T., Yoshida, A., Aoyagi, M., Kanamori, Y., Awata, K., Tominaga, N., Shimizu, A., Suwabe, H., Nemoto, K., 2016. Scenario Writing of Future Lifestyles in Japan for 2030. Sustainable Development 24, 406–415. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.1636" 408,Tasaki et al. 2016,Attaching oneself to more than one community,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,National,Japan,Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Tasaki, T., Yoshida, A., Aoyagi, M., Kanamori, Y., Awata, K., Tominaga, N., Shimizu, A., Suwabe, H., Nemoto, K., 2016. Scenario Writing of Future Lifestyles in Japan for 2030. Sustainable Development 24, 406–415. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.1636","Tasaki, T., Yoshida, A., Aoyagi, M., Kanamori, Y., Awata, K., Tominaga, N., Shimizu, A., Suwabe, H., Nemoto, K., 2016. Scenario Writing of Future Lifestyles in Japan for 2030. Sustainable Development 24, 406–415. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.1636" 409,Tasaki et al. 2016,Wide-ranging communication by Visor-com,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2030,National,Japan,Japan,Asia-Pacific,"Tasaki, T., Yoshida, A., Aoyagi, M., Kanamori, Y., Awata, K., Tominaga, N., Shimizu, A., Suwabe, H., Nemoto, K., 2016. Scenario Writing of Future Lifestyles in Japan for 2030. Sustainable Development 24, 406–415. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.1636","Tasaki, T., Yoshida, A., Aoyagi, M., Kanamori, Y., Awata, K., Tominaga, N., Shimizu, A., Suwabe, H., Nemoto, K., 2016. Scenario Writing of Future Lifestyles in Japan for 2030. Sustainable Development 24, 406–415. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.1636" 410,Teixeria et al. 2018,Aquaculture carrying capacity given the current situation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,"Salgado of the Figueira da Foz, Portugal",Portugal,Europe and Central Asia,"Teixeira, Z., Marques, C., Mota, J.S., Garcia, A.C., 2018. Identification of potential aquaculture sites in solar saltscapes via the Analytic Hierarchy Process. Ecological Indicators 93, 231–242. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.05.003",NA 411,Teixeria et al. 2018,Aquaculture carrying capacity given activation of all farms,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,NA,Local,"Salgado of the Figueira da Foz, Portugal",Portugal,Europe and Central Asia,"Teixeira, Z., Marques, C., Mota, J.S., Garcia, A.C., 2018. Identification of potential aquaculture sites in solar saltscapes via the Analytic Hierarchy Process. Ecological Indicators 93, 231–242. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.05.003",NA 412,Tejada et al. 2016,Sustainability,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,national,Bolivia,Bolivia,Americas,"Tejada, G., Dalla-Nora, E., Cordoba, D., Lafortezza, R., Ovando, A., Assis, T., Aguiar, A.P., 2016. Deforestation scenarios for the Bolivian lowlands. Environmental Research 144, 49–63. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2015.10.010",NA 413,Tejada et al. 2016,Middle of the road,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,national,Bolivia,Bolivia,Americas,"Tejada, G., Dalla-Nora, E., Cordoba, D., Lafortezza, R., Ovando, A., Assis, T., Aguiar, A.P., 2016. Deforestation scenarios for the Bolivian lowlands. Environmental Research 144, 49–63. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2015.10.010",NA 414,Tejada et al. 2016,Fragmentation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,national,Bolivia,Bolivia,Americas,"Tejada, G., Dalla-Nora, E., Cordoba, D., Lafortezza, R., Ovando, A., Assis, T., Aguiar, A.P., 2016. Deforestation scenarios for the Bolivian lowlands. Environmental Research 144, 49–63. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2015.10.010",NA 415,The Earth Charter,The Earth Charter,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Unspecified,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://earthcharter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/echarter_english.pdf?x79755,Earth Charter International 2020. The Earth Charter. https://earthcharter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/echarter_english.pdf?x79755 416,The Great Transition,Market Forces,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Continuous,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://greattransition.org/explore/scenarios,"Tellus Institute 2020. ""Gloval Scenarios."" Great Transition Initiative: Toward a Transformative Vision and Praxis. " 417,The Great Transition,Policy Reform,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Continuous,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://greattransition.org/explore/scenarios,"Tellus Institute 2020. ""Gloval Scenarios."" Great Transition Initiative: Toward a Transformative Vision and Praxis. " 418,The Great Transition,Fortress World,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Continuous,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://greattransition.org/explore/scenarios,"Tellus Institute 2020. ""Gloval Scenarios."" Great Transition Initiative: Toward a Transformative Vision and Praxis. " 419,The Great Transition,Breakdown,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Continuous,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://greattransition.org/explore/scenarios,"Tellus Institute 2020. ""Gloval Scenarios."" Great Transition Initiative: Toward a Transformative Vision and Praxis. " 420,The Great Transition,Eco-communalism,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Continuous,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://greattransition.org/explore/scenarios,"Tellus Institute 2020. ""Gloval Scenarios."" Great Transition Initiative: Toward a Transformative Vision and Praxis. " 421,The Great Transition,Great Transition,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Continuous,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://greattransition.org/explore/scenarios,"Tellus Institute 2020. ""Gloval Scenarios."" Great Transition Initiative: Toward a Transformative Vision and Praxis. " 422,The Second African Dialogue on the World in 2050,Ubuntu,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Regional (continental),Western and Central Africa,Africa,Africa,https://swed.bio/reports/the-second-african-dialogue-on-the-world-in-2050/,"Aguiar, APD; Collste, D; Galafassi, D; Harmackova, Z; Houngbedji, K; Mesfin, M; Ndahiro, D; Pereira, L; Selomane , O; van der Leeuw; S (2019). The Second African Dialogue on the World In 2050: How to attain the SDGs within planetary boundaries: Agriculture and food systems. Report on a Multi-Actor Dialogue for TWI2050, 30–31 October 2018, Kigali, Rwanda. Sustainable Development Goals Center for Africa and SwedBio/Stockholm Resilience Centre at Stockholm University" 423,The Second African Dialogue on the World in 2050,Prosperous and Peaceful East Africa,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Regional (continental),East Africa,Africa,Africa,https://swed.bio/reports/the-second-african-dialogue-on-the-world-in-2050/,"Aguiar, APD; Collste, D; Galafassi, D; Harmackova, Z; Houngbedji, K; Mesfin, M; Ndahiro, D; Pereira, L; Selomane , O; van der Leeuw; S (2019). The Second African Dialogue on the World In 2050: How to attain the SDGs within planetary boundaries: Agriculture and food systems. Report on a Multi-Actor Dialogue for TWI2050, 30–31 October 2018, Kigali, Rwanda. Sustainable Development Goals Center for Africa and SwedBio/Stockholm Resilience Centre at Stockholm University" 424,The Second African Dialogue on the World in 2050,Urugendo,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Regional (continental),Southern Africa,Africa,Africa,https://swed.bio/reports/the-second-african-dialogue-on-the-world-in-2050/,"Aguiar, APD; Collste, D; Galafassi, D; Harmackova, Z; Houngbedji, K; Mesfin, M; Ndahiro, D; Pereira, L; Selomane , O; van der Leeuw; S (2019). The Second African Dialogue on the World In 2050: How to attain the SDGs within planetary boundaries: Agriculture and food systems. Report on a Multi-Actor Dialogue for TWI2050, 30–31 October 2018, Kigali, Rwanda. Sustainable Development Goals Center for Africa and SwedBio/Stockholm Resilience Centre at Stockholm University" 425,The Second African Dialogue on the World in 2050,Rainbow,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2050,Regional (continental),African continent,Africa,Africa,https://swed.bio/reports/the-second-african-dialogue-on-the-world-in-2050/,"Aguiar, APD; Collste, D; Galafassi, D; Harmackova, Z; Houngbedji, K; Mesfin, M; Ndahiro, D; Pereira, L; Selomane , O; van der Leeuw; S (2019). The Second African Dialogue on the World In 2050: How to attain the SDGs within planetary boundaries: Agriculture and food systems. Report on a Multi-Actor Dialogue for TWI2050, 30–31 October 2018, Kigali, Rwanda. Sustainable Development Goals Center for Africa and SwedBio/Stockholm Resilience Centre at Stockholm University" 426,Thorne et al. 2015,No Action,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years,local,"San Francisco Bay, Pacific coast, North America",North America,Americas,"Thorne, K.M., Mattsson, B.J., Takekawa, J., Cummings, J., Crouse, D., Block, G., Bloom, V., Gerhart, M., Goldbeck, S., Huning, B., Sloop, C., Stewart, M., Taylor, K., Valoppi, L., 2015. Collaborative decision-analytic framework to maximize resilience of tidal marshes to climate change. Ecology and Society 20. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07018-200130",NA 427,Thorne et al. 2015,Static Restoration,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years,local,"San Francisco Bay, Pacific coast, North America",North America,Americas,"Thorne, K.M., Mattsson, B.J., Takekawa, J., Cummings, J., Crouse, D., Block, G., Bloom, V., Gerhart, M., Goldbeck, S., Huning, B., Sloop, C., Stewart, M., Taylor, K., Valoppi, L., 2015. Collaborative decision-analytic framework to maximize resilience of tidal marshes to climate change. Ecology and Society 20. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07018-200130",NA 428,Thorne et al. 2015,Resilient Restoration,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years,local,"San Francisco Bay, Pacific coast, North America",North America,Americas,"Thorne, K.M., Mattsson, B.J., Takekawa, J., Cummings, J., Crouse, D., Block, G., Bloom, V., Gerhart, M., Goldbeck, S., Huning, B., Sloop, C., Stewart, M., Taylor, K., Valoppi, L., 2015. Collaborative decision-analytic framework to maximize resilience of tidal marshes to climate change. Ecology and Society 20. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07018-200130",NA 429,Thorne et al. 2015,Migration Restoration,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years,local,"San Francisco Bay, Pacific coast, North America",North America,Americas,"Thorne, K.M., Mattsson, B.J., Takekawa, J., Cummings, J., Crouse, D., Block, G., Bloom, V., Gerhart, M., Goldbeck, S., Huning, B., Sloop, C., Stewart, M., Taylor, K., Valoppi, L., 2015. Collaborative decision-analytic framework to maximize resilience of tidal marshes to climate change. Ecology and Society 20. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07018-200130",NA 430,Thorne et al. 2015,Wildlife Adaptation,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,50 years,local,"San Francisco Bay, Pacific coast, North America",North America,Americas,"Thorne, K.M., Mattsson, B.J., Takekawa, J., Cummings, J., Crouse, D., Block, G., Bloom, V., Gerhart, M., Goldbeck, S., Huning, B., Sloop, C., Stewart, M., Taylor, K., Valoppi, L., 2015. Collaborative decision-analytic framework to maximize resilience of tidal marshes to climate change. Ecology and Society 20. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07018-200130",NA 431,Transforming our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development,Transforming our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios","Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",2030,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/post2015/transformingourworld; https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/content/documents/24797GSDR_report_2019.pdf,"A/RES/70/1 - Transforming our world: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development; Independent Group of Scientists appointed by the Secretary-General, Global Sustainable Development Report 2019: The Future is Now – Science for Achieving Sustainable Development, (United Nations, New York, 2019)." 432,Unilever Sustainable Living Plan ,A corporation's vision: Our vision is to create a better future in which people can improve their quality of life without increasing their environmental footprint. ,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,2010 - 2020,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://www.unilever.com/Images/unilever-sustainable-living-plan_tcm244-409855_en.pdf,NA 433,Visions for change: Recommendations for a Sustainable Lifestyle ,Visions for change: Recommendations for a Sustainable Lifestyle ,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),"Policy-making and support: governments, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs",Unclear,Global,Global (multi-country),Global,Global,http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11822/8009,"UNEP 2011. Visions for Change: Recommendations for Effective Policies on Sustainable Lifestyles. Global Survey on Sustainable Lifestyles (GSSL)." 434,Volans,Procuring a regenerative economy,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,Unspecified,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://volans.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/Procuring-a-Regenerative-Economy-FINAL.pdf,NA 435,Walmart,"2020 Environmental, Social and Governance Report ","Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,Unspecified,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://corporate.walmart.com/esgreport/,NA 436,Wang et al. 2018,BaU,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,Local,"Wuhan city, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Wang, Y., Li, X., Zhang, Q., Li, J., Zhou, X., 2018. Projections of future land use changes: Multiple scenarios-based impacts analysis on ecosystem services for Wuhan city, China. Ecological Indicators 94, 430–445. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.06.047",NA 437,Wang et al. 2018,Rapid Economic Development,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,Local,"Wuhan city, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Wang, Y., Li, X., Zhang, Q., Li, J., Zhou, X., 2018. Projections of future land use changes: Multiple scenarios-based impacts analysis on ecosystem services for Wuhan city, China. Ecological Indicators 94, 430–445. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.06.047",NA 438,Wang et al. 2018,Ecological Land Protection,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2030,Local,"Wuhan city, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Wang, Y., Li, X., Zhang, Q., Li, J., Zhou, X., 2018. Projections of future land use changes: Multiple scenarios-based impacts analysis on ecosystem services for Wuhan city, China. Ecological Indicators 94, 430–445. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.06.047",NA 439,Ward et al. 2018,Business as usual,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2115,Local,Table Mountain National Park Marine Protected Area,South Africa,Africa,"Ward, M., H. Possingham, J. R. Rhodes, and P. Mumby. 2018. Food, money and lobsters: Valuing ecosystem services to align environmental management with Sustainable Development Goals. Ecosystem Services29:56–69.",NA 440,Ward et al. 2018,Redirect the poachers,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2115,Local,Table Mountain National Park Marine Protected Area,South Africa,Africa,"Ward, M., H. Possingham, J. R. Rhodes, and P. Mumby. 2018. Food, money and lobsters: Valuing ecosystem services to align environmental management with Sustainable Development Goals. Ecosystem Services29:56–69.",NA 441,Ward et al. 2018,Large scale cutbacks,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2115,Local,Table Mountain National Park Marine Protected Area,South Africa,Africa,"Ward, M., H. Possingham, J. R. Rhodes, and P. Mumby. 2018. Food, money and lobsters: Valuing ecosystem services to align environmental management with Sustainable Development Goals. Ecosystem Services29:56–69.",NA 442,Wolff et al. 2018,Restoration and Protection (SSP1 + global targets),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Global,Global,Global,Global,"Wolff, S., Schrammeijer, E.A., Schulp, C.J.E., Verburg, P.H., 2018. Meeting global land restoration and protection targets: What would the world look like in 2050? Global Environmental Change 52, 259–272. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.08.002",NA 443,Wolff et al. 2018,Sustainability (SSP1),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Global,Global,Global,Global,"Wolff, S., Schrammeijer, E.A., Schulp, C.J.E., Verburg, P.H., 2018. Meeting global land restoration and protection targets: What would the world look like in 2050? Global Environmental Change 52, 259–272. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.08.002",NA 444,Wolff et al. 2018,Middle of the Road (SSP2),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2050,Global,Global,Global,Global,"Wolff, S., Schrammeijer, E.A., Schulp, C.J.E., Verburg, P.H., 2018. Meeting global land restoration and protection targets: What would the world look like in 2050? Global Environmental Change 52, 259–272. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.08.002",NA 445,World Business Council for Sustainable Development,Vision 20:50. The new agenda for business.,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,2010 - 2050,Global,Global,Global,Global,https://www.wbcsd.org/Overview/About-us/Vision2050/Resources/Vision-2050-The-new-agenda-for-business,NA 446,World Economic Forum ,New Nature Economy Report: Part II: The Future of Nature and Business,"Normative visions, target-seeking scenarios",Business/ private sector,Unspecified,Global,Global,Global,Global,http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_The_Future_Of_Nature_And_Business_2020.pdf,NA 447,World Energy Scenarios 2019: Exploring innovation pathways to 2040,Modern Jazz,Pathways (sequences of actions to a goal in target-seeking scenarios),Business/ private sector,2040,Regional (continental),Latin America and the Caribbean region,Americas,Americas,https://www.worldenergy.org/assets/downloads/2019_Scenarios_Full_Report.pdf,"World Energy Council, 2019. World Energy Scenarios 2019: Exploring Innovation Pathways to 2040. UK: World Energy Council. " 448,Wu et al. 2015,GDP,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2025,Local,"Baoshan District, Shanghai, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Wu, M., Ren, X., Che, Y. et al. Environmental Management (2015) 56: 402. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-015-0512-2",NA 449,Wu et al. 2015,urban development,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2025,Local,"Baoshan District, Shanghai, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Wu, M., Ren, X., Che, Y. et al. Environmental Management (2015) 56: 402. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-015-0512-2",NA 450,Wu et al. 2015,urban population,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2025,Local,"Baoshan District, Shanghai, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Wu, M., Ren, X., Che, Y. et al. Environmental Management (2015) 56: 402. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-015-0512-2",NA 451,Xu et al. 2019,Continued expansion of cropland,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2119,local,"Manas River Basin of Xinjiang, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Xu, Z., Fan, W., Wei, H., Zhang, P., Ren, J., Gao, Z., Ulgiati, S., Kong, W., Dong, X., 2019. Evaluation and simulation of the impact of land use change on ecosystem services based on a carbon flow model: A case study of the Manas River Basin of Xinjiang, China. Science of the Total Environment 652, 117–133. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.206",NA 452,Xu et al. 2019,Return from cropland to grassland,Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2119,local,"Manas River Basin of Xinjiang, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Xu, Z., Fan, W., Wei, H., Zhang, P., Ren, J., Gao, Z., Ulgiati, S., Kong, W., Dong, X., 2019. Evaluation and simulation of the impact of land use change on ecosystem services based on a carbon flow model: A case study of the Manas River Basin of Xinjiang, China. Science of the Total Environment 652, 117–133. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.206",NA 453,You et al. 2017,historical trend,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2020,local,"Mount Wuyi, southeast China",China,Asia-Pacific,"You, W., Ji, Z., Wu, L., Deng, X., Huang, D., Chen, B., Yu, J., He, D., 2017. Modeling changes in land use patterns and ecosystem services to explore a potential solution for meeting the management needs of a heritage site at the landscape level. Ecological Indicators 73, 68–78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.09.027",NA 454,You et al. 2017,non-selective management of tea plantations,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2020,local,"Mount Wuyi, southeast China",China,Asia-Pacific,"You, W., Ji, Z., Wu, L., Deng, X., Huang, D., Chen, B., Yu, J., He, D., 2017. Modeling changes in land use patterns and ecosystem services to explore a potential solution for meeting the management needs of a heritage site at the landscape level. Ecological Indicators 73, 68–78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.09.027",NA 455,You et al. 2017,selective management of tea plantations,Exploratory scenarios,Academia participatory/policy-driven,2020,local,"Mount Wuyi, southeast China",China,Asia-Pacific,"You, W., Ji, Z., Wu, L., Deng, X., Huang, D., Chen, B., Yu, J., He, D., 2017. Modeling changes in land use patterns and ecosystem services to explore a potential solution for meeting the management needs of a heritage site at the landscape level. Ecological Indicators 73, 68–78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.09.027",NA 456,Zhang et al. 2017,SSP1 (sustainable scenario),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2040,Local,"Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Zhang, D., Q. Huang, C. He, and J. Wu. 2017. Impacts of urban expansion on ecosystem services in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, China: A scenario analysis based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Resources, Conservation and Recycling 125(December 2016):115–130.",NA 457,Zhang et al. 2017,SSP2 (middle of the road),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2040,Local,"Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Zhang, D., Q. Huang, C. He, and J. Wu. 2017. Impacts of urban expansion on ecosystem services in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, China: A scenario analysis based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Resources, Conservation and Recycling 125(December 2016):115–130.",NA 458,Zhang et al. 2017,SSP3 (regional rivalry),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2040,Local,"Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Zhang, D., Q. Huang, C. He, and J. Wu. 2017. Impacts of urban expansion on ecosystem services in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, China: A scenario analysis based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Resources, Conservation and Recycling 125(December 2016):115–130.",NA 459,Zhang et al. 2017,SSP4 (inequality),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2040,Local,"Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Zhang, D., Q. Huang, C. He, and J. Wu. 2017. Impacts of urban expansion on ecosystem services in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, China: A scenario analysis based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Resources, Conservation and Recycling 125(December 2016):115–130.",NA 460,Zhang et al. 2017,SSP5 (fossil-fueled development),Exploratory scenarios,Academia without stakeholder engagement,2040,Local,"Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, China",China,Asia-Pacific,"Zhang, D., Q. Huang, C. He, and J. Wu. 2017. Impacts of urban expansion on ecosystem services in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, China: A scenario analysis based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. 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