Database of future pathways transfered from IPBES Global Assessment Chapter 5 (33 documents),,,,
Nr,Source,Spatial Scale,Region/system,Reference
1,Alkemande et al. 2009,Global,World,"Alkemade, R. et al. (2009) ‘GLOBIO3: A Framework to Investigate Options for Reducing Global Terrestrial Biodiversity Loss’, Ecosystems. Springer-Verlag, 12(3), pp. 374–390. doi: 10.1007/s10021-009-9229-5."
2,Carnicer & Penuelas 2012,Global,World,"Carnicer, J. et al. The world at a crossroads: Financial scenarios for sustainability. Energy Policy 48, 611–617 (2012)."
3,Costello et al. 2016,Global,World,"Costello, C. et al. Global fishery prospects under contrasting management regimes. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 113, 5125–5129 (2016)."
4,Doelman et al. 2018,Global,World,"Doelman, J. C. et al. Exploring SSP land-use dynamics using the IMAGE model: Regional and gridded scenarios of land-use change and land-based climate change mitigation. Glob. Environ. Chang. 48, 119–135 (2018)."
5,Egli et al 2018,Global,World,"Egli, L. et al. (2018) ‘Winners and losers of national and global efforts to reconcile agricultural intensification and biodiversity conservation’, Global Change Biology. Wiley/Blackwell (10.1111), 24(5), pp. 2212–2228. doi: 10.1111/gcb.14076"
6,Eitelberg et al. 2016,Global,World,"Eitelberg, D.A., J. van Vliet, J.C. Doelman, E. Stehfest, and P.H. Verburg. 2016. “Demand for Biodiversity Protection and Carbon Storage as Drivers of Global Land Change Scenarios.” Global Environmental Change 40. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.014."
7,Erb et al. 2016,Global,World,"Erb, Karl-Heinz, Christian Lauk, Thomas Kastner, Andreas Mayer, Michaela C. Theurl, and Helmut Haberl. 2016. “Exploring the Biophysical Option Space for Feeding the World without Deforestation.” Nature Communications. doi:10.1038/ncomms11382."
8,Flachsbarth et al. 2015,Global,World,"Flachsbarth, I. et al. The Role of Latin America’s Land and Water Resources for Global Food Security: Environmental Trade-Offs of Future Food Production Pathways. PLoS One 10, e0116733 (2015)."
9,Fricko et al. 2017,Global,World,"Fricko, O. et al. (2017) ‘The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century’, Global Environmental Change. Pergamon, 42, pp. 251–267. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.004."
10,GEO3,Global,World,Global Environmental Outlook 3: https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/global-environment-outlook-3
11,Gerst et al. 2014,Global,World,"Gerst, M.D., P.D. Raskin, and J. Rockström. 2014. “Contours of a Resilient Global Future.” Sustainability (Switzerland) 6 (1). doi:10.3390/su6010123."
12,Kraxner et al. 2013,Global,World,"Kraxner, Florian, Eva-Maria Nordström, Petr Havlík, Mykola Gusti, Aline Mosnier, Stefan Frank, Hugo Valin, et al. 2013. “Global Bioenergy Scenarios – Future Forest Development, Land-Use Implications, and Trade-Offs.” Biomass and Bioenergy 57 (October): 86–96. doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2013.02.003."
13,Leclere et al. 2018,Global,World,"Leclère, D. et al. (2018) ‘Towards pathways bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity trends within the 21 st century’, Preprint. doi: 10.22022/ESM/04-2018.15241."
14,McCollum et al. 2012,Global,World,"Mccollum, D. L., Krey, V. and Riahi, K. (2012) ‘Beyond rio: Sustainable energy scenarios for the 21st century’, Natural Resources Forum, 36(4), pp. 215–230. doi: 10.1111/j.1477-8947.2012.01459.x."
15,Obersteiner et al. 2016,Global,World,"Obersteiner, M. et al. (2016) ‘Assessing the land resource-food price nexus of the Sustainable Development Goals’, Science Advances, 2(9), pp. e1501499–e1501499. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.1501499."
16,Odegard and van der Voet 2014,Global,World,"Odegard, I.Y.R., and E. van der Voet. 2014. “The Future of Food — Scenarios and the Effect on Natural Resource Use in Agriculture in 2050.” Ecological Economics 97. Elsevier B.V.: 51–59. doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2013.10.005."
17,PBL 2012,Global,World,PBL. (2012). Roads from Rio +20: Pathways to achieving global sustainability goals by 2050. The Hague: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.
18,Prieler et al. 2015,Global,World,"Prieler, S. et al. Land and the Food-Fuel Competition: Insights from Modeling. Adv. Bioenergy Sustain. Chall. 2, 447–464 (2015)."
19,Raskin et al. 2010,Global,World,"Raskin, P. D. et al. The century ahead: Searching for sustainability. Sustainability 2, 2626–2651 (2010)."
20,Rojelj et al. 2018,Global,World,"Rogelj, J. et al. Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °c. Nat. Clim. Chang. 8, 325–332 (2018)."
21,Sessa & Ricci 2014,Global,World,"Sessa, C. and Ricci, A. (2014) ‘The world in 2050 and the New Welfare scenario’, Futures. Pergamon, 58, pp. 77–90. doi: 10.1016/J.FUTURES.2013.10.019."
22,Schader et al. 2015,Global,World,"Schader, C. et al. (2015) ‘Impacts of feeding less food-competing feedstuffs to livestock on global food system sustainability’, Journal of The Royal Society Interface. The Royal Society, 12(113), p. 20150891. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2015.0891."
23,Smeets et al. 2007,Global,World,"Smeets, E. M. W. W. et al. (2007) ‘A bottom-up assessment and review of global bio-energy potentials to 2050’, Progress in Energy and Combustion Science. Pergamon, 33(1), pp. 56–106. doi: 10.1016/j.pecs.2006.08.001."
24,Smith et al. 2013,Global,World,"Smith, P. et al. How much land-based greenhouse gas mitigation can be achieved without compromising food security and environmental goals? Glob. Chang. Biol. 19, 2285–2302 (2013)."
25,Springer and Duchin 2014,Global,World,"Springer, N. P. et al. Feeding nine billion people sustainably: Conserving land and water through shifting diets and changes in technologies. Environ. Sci. Technol. 48, 4444–4451 (2014)."
26,Stavi & Lal 2015,Global,World,"Stavi, I. and Lal, R. (2015) ‘Achieving Zero Net Land Degradation: Challenges and opportunities’, Journal of Arid Environments. Academic Press, 112(PA), pp. 44–51. doi: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2014.01.016."
27,van Vuuren et al. 2010,Global,World,"van Vuuren, D. P. et al. (2010) ‘Bio-energy use and low stabilisation scenarios’, Energy Journal, 31(#1), pp. 193–222. doi: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol31-NoSI-8."
28,van Vuuren et al. 2017,Global,World,"van Vuuren, D. P. et al. (2017) ‘Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm’, Global Environmental Change. Pergamon, 42, pp. 237–250. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.008."
29,Van Vuuren et al. 2018,Global,World,"Van Vuuren, D. P. et al. Alternative pathways to the 1.5 °c target reduce the need for negative emission technologies. Nat. Clim. Chang. 8, 391–397 (2018)."
30,Visconti et al. 2015,Global,World,"Visconti, P. et al. Socio-economic and ecological impacts of global protected area expansion plans. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B. Biol. Sci. 370, 20140284- (2015)."
31,Visconti et al. 2016,Global,World,"Visconti, P. et al. Projecting Global Biodiversity Indicators under Future Development Scenarios. Conserv. Lett. 9, 5–13 (2016)."
32,WBCSD 2010,Global,World,World Business Council for Sustainable Development (2010) Vision 2050: The new agenda for business. http://www.wbcsd.org/Overview/About-us/Vision2050
33,Wirsenius et al. 2010,Global,World,"Wirsenius, S. et al. How much land is needed for global food production under scenarios of dietary changes and livestock productivity increases in 2030? Agric. Syst. 103, 621–638 (2010)."