RCMIP name,RCMIP variable,RCMIP region,RCMIP scenario,evaluation_period_start,evaluation_period_end,norm_period_start,norm_period_end,very_likely__lower,likely__lower,central,likely__upper,very_likely__upper,unit,RCMIP evaluation method,Source
Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity,,,,,,,,2,2.5,3,4,5,K,model-reported,FGD internal draft Table 7.13
Transient Climate Response,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,1pctCO2,,,,,1.2,1.4,1.8,2.2,2.4,K,custom,FGD internal draft Table 7.13
Transient Climate Response to Emissions,"Surface Air Temperature Change, Cumulative Emissions|CO2",World,1pctCO2,,,,,,1,1.65,2.3,,K / TtC,custom,Personal communication from Joeri
Surface Air Ocean Blended Temperature Change World ssp245 1995-2014,Surface Air Ocean Blended Temperature Change,World,ssp245,1995,2014,1850,1900,0.69,,0.85,,0.95,K,mean,Final Box 2.3 Table 1
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp245 1995-2014,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp245,1995,2014,1850,1900,0.67,,0.85,,0.98,K,mean,Final Box 2.3 Table 1
Heat Content|Ocean ssp245 1971-2018,Heat Content|Ocean,World,ssp245,2018,2018,1971,1971,,329,396,463,,ZJ,mean,Matt Palmer's latest timeseries
Effective Radiative Forcing|Anthropogenic|Aerosols ssp245 2005-2014,Effective Radiative Forcing|Anthropogenic|Aerosols,World,ssp245-1750-start,2005,2014,1750,1750,-2,,-1.3,,-0.6,W/m^2,mean,FGD Internal draft 7.3.3.4
Effective Radiative Forcing|Anthropogenic|Greenhouse Gases ssp245 2019,Effective Radiative Forcing|Anthropogenic|Greenhouse Gases,World,ssp245-1750-start,2019,2019,1750,1750,3.03,,3.32,,3.61,W/m^2,mean,FGD Internal draft Table 7.5
Effective Radiative Forcing|Anthropogenic|CH4 ssp245 2019,Effective Radiative Forcing|Anthropogenic|CH4,World,ssp245-1750-start,2019,2019,1750,1750,0.43,,0.54,,0.65,W/m^2,mean,FGD Internal draft Table 7.5
Effective Radiative Forcing|Anthropogenic|CO2 ssp245 2019,Effective Radiative Forcing|Anthropogenic|CO2,World,ssp245-1750-start,2019,2019,1750,1750,1.90,,2.16,,2.41,W/m^2,mean,FGD Internal draft Table 7.5
Airborne Fraction|CO2 World 1pctCO2 1850-1920,"Net Ocean to Atmosphere Flux|CO2,Net Land to Atmosphere Flux|CO2,Carbon Pool|Atmosphere",World,1pctCO2,1920,1920,1850,1850,,0.468,0.532,0.594,,dimensionless,custom,Mean and standard deviation of CMIP6 models in Figure A2 of Arora et al (2020) https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-4173-2020
Airborne Fraction|CO2 World 1pctCO2 1850-1990,"Net Ocean to Atmosphere Flux|CO2,Net Land to Atmosphere Flux|CO2,Carbon Pool|Atmosphere",World,1pctCO2,1990,1990,1850,1850,,0.501,0.597,0.696,,dimensionless,custom,Mean and standard deviation of CMIP6 models in Figure 4 of Arora et al (2020) https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-4173-2020
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp119 2021-2040,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp119,2021,2040,1995,2014,0.38,,0.61,,0.85,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp119 2041-2060,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp119,2041,2060,1995,2014,0.4,,0.71,,1.07,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp119 2081-2100,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp119,2081,2100,1995,2014,0.24,,0.56,,0.96,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp126 2021-2040,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp126,2021,2040,1995,2014,0.41,,0.63,,0.89,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp126 2041-2060,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp126,2041,2060,1995,2014,0.54,,0.88,,1.32,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp126 2081-2100,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp126,2081,2100,1995,2014,0.51,,0.9,,1.48,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp245 2021-2040,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp245,2021,2040,1995,2014,0.44,,0.66,,0.9,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp245 2041-2060,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp245,2041,2060,1995,2014,0.78,,1.12,,1.57,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp245 2081-2100,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp245,2081,2100,1995,2014,1.24,,1.81,,2.59,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp370 2021-2040,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp370,2021,2040,1995,2014,0.45,,0.67,,0.92,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp370 2041-2060,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp370,2041,2060,1995,2014,0.92,,1.28,,1.75,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp370 2081-2100,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp370,2081,2100,1995,2014,2,,2.76,,3.75,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp585 2021-2040,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp585,2021,2040,1995,2014,0.51,,0.76,,1.04,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp585 2041-2060,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp585,2041,2060,1995,2014,1.08,,1.54,,2.08,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)
Surface Air Temperature Change World ssp585 2081-2100,Surface Air Temperature Change,World,ssp585,2081,2100,1995,2014,2.44,,3.5,,4.82,K,mean,Final Ch. 4 assessed timeseries (personal communication from Sebastian Milinski on 30th Jan 2021)