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[null,"smooth global paths: RM scenario types + SPM Formula from Raupach"]
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[null,"contents and navigation",null,null,"summary","imprint"]
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[null,"input frame data",null,"base data","Political determination on the basis of scientific findings"]
[null,"determination and input of parameters for global paths",null,"goal seek"]
[null,"global emission paths and important results",null,"graphs"]
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[null,"calculation of global paths compatible with a given CO2 budget",null,"scenarios RM 1-6 and Raupach"]
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[null,"comparison: IPCC SR15 P1 - P4 ill. model paths",null,"IPCC SR15 results",null,"info"]
[null,null,null,"IPCC SR15 graphs"]
[null,null,null,"IPCC SR15 AFOLU"]
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[null,null,null,"hidden sheets"]
[null,"data base IPCC SR15",null,"paths P1-P4","data"]
[null,"data base global emissions",null,"Global Carbon Project"]
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[null,"version: ","2014 - 2021","20.0"]
[null,"DOI","10.5281/zenodo.4584562"]
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[null,"Suggestions and feedback:",null,"save-the-climate@online.ms"]
[]
[null,"Here you can download the most recent version of the tool:",null,"http://www.save-the-climate.info"]

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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"You can download a comprehensive mathematical description of the Regensburg Model Scenario Types from our website or use this direct link to zenodo:"]
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[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Mathematical Description RM 1 - 6"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Detailed instruction to the tool:"]

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[null,"base data",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"source:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"http://www.ipcc.ch/report/sr15/"]
[null,"input fields",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"> Chapter 2"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SPM >"]
[null,"A. Budget from 2018 to 2100"]
[]
[null,"A"]
[null,"CO2 budget from 2018 to 2100\nin Gt"]
[null,420,null,"see Table 2.2"]
[]
[]
[null,"B. Emissions 2018 - 2019"]
[]
[null,null,"see sheet: ","Global Carbon Project"]
[null,"annual change rate: ",null,null,{"$f":"E18/D18-1","v":2.0833887525627981E-2},{"$f":"F18/E18-1","v":2.3720917397066277E-2},9.9994854834253299E-3,1.6751293281617174E-2,4.1612594944313575E-3,-1.2966150550344779E-2,8.49775274741571E-3,2.0467485906255245E-2,2.2153319886980771E-2]
[null,null,"year:",2010,{"$f":"D17+1","v":2011},2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,"sum\n2018 - 2019"]
[null,"anthropogenic CO2 emissions    in Gt",null,{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!N76","v":38.470761467029789},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!O76","v":39.272256984459148},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!P76","v":40.20383094838386},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!Q76","v":40.605848572330309},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!R76","v":41.286049050714354},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!S76","v":41.457851014314201},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!T76","v":40.92030227656884},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!U76","v":41.268032887664631},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!V76","v":42.112685769171783},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!W76","v":43.04562156831615},{"$f":"SUM(L18:M18)","v":85.15830733748794},"B"]
[null,"anthropogenic CO2 emissions exclusive FOLU    in Gt",null,{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!N77","v":33.133552000000002},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!O77","v":34.210768000000002},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!P77","v":34.760368},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!Q77","v":34.987535999999999},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!R77","v":35.244016000000002},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!S77","v":35.211039999999997},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!T77","v":35.222031999999999},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!U77","v":35.694688000000006},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!V77","v":36.420160000000003},{"$f":"'Global Carbon Budget'!W77","v":36.440759799144367},"info"]
[null,"FOLU (LUC) CO2 in Gt",null,{"$f":"D18-D19","v":5.3372094670297869},{"$f":"E18-E19","v":5.061488984459146},5.4434629483838606,5.6183125723303107,6.0420330507143518,6.2468110143142042,5.6982702765688416,5.573344887664625,5.6925257691717803,6.6048617691717837,"info"]
[null,"share FOLU CO2:",null,{"$f":"D20/D18","v":0.138734177944564},{"$f":"E20/E18","v":0.12888204990260893},0.1353966231569452,0.13836215150934558,0.14634563465476019,0.15067860155504348,0.139252888164311,0.13505235160676984,{"$f":"L20/L18","v":0.13517365765683231},{"$f":"M20/M18","v":0.15343864320066666},"info"]
[]
[null,"C. Budget 2020 - 2100"]
[]
[null,"CO2 cumulative budget 2020 - 2100 in Gt",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"B10-N18","v":334.84169266251206},"= A - B"]
[]
[null,"D. Emissions in the base year 2019 and minimum emissions 2020 - 2100 (potential global negative emissions)"]
[]
[null,"CO2 emissions in the base year 2019 in Gt (see B.)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"M18","v":43.04562156831615},null,null,null,null,"illustrative model paths IPCC SR15"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"in Gt","P1","P2","average"]
[null,"Minimum CO2 emissions in Gt (a negative value stands for global net negative emissions); Emin:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,-3.5,null,null,"year 2100",{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 data'!Y76/1000","v":-3.524486354},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 data'!Y4/1000","v":-4.4748741000000001},{"$f":"AVERAGE(R31:S31)","v":-3.9996802269999998}]
[]
[null,"proportion of minimum emissions on global emissions in 2019:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N31/M18","v":-8.1309082607746219E-2},null,null,null,{"$f":"R31/$M$18","v":-8.1877929173502936E-2},{"$f":"S31/$M$18","v":-0.10395654510176114},-9.2917237137632031E-2]

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["Determination of the free parameters for the global scenarios 2020 - 2100"]
[null,null,null,null,"target is met","target is not met"]
["input values","determination via \"goal seek\"",null,null,"target value of \"goal seek\""]
[]
[null,null,{"$f":"scenarios!$E$2","v":"RM-1 const"},{"$f":"scenarios!$L$2","v":"RM-2 exp"},{"$f":"scenarios!T2","v":"RM-3 lin"},{"$f":"scenarios!$AB$2","v":"RM-4 quadr"},{"$f":"scenarios!AJ2","v":"RM-5 rad"},{"$f":"scenarios!AR2","v":"RM-6 abs"},{"$f":"scenarios!AX2","v":"SPM-R"},"average global change rates last three years"]
["characteristics of the scenario",null,"RRt const","RRt exp","RRt lin","RRt quadr","RRt rad","RA const","Raupach"]
["A corona effect should not be considered here.",null,null,"only a negative RR_20 possible","a positive RR_20 is also possible\n(= increasing emissions after 2019)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"info","info"]
["change rate 2020 (RR20)",null,{"$f":"C12","v":-8.7311525446526275E-2},-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,{"$f":"scenarios!AV9","v":-3.9220006207341007E-2},{"$f":"scenarios!AZ16","v":-1.1754969012235383E-3},{"$f":"AVERAGE('base data'!J16:L16)","v":5.3330293677753922E-3}]
["Initial values for free parameter (cells shaded in grey) if Goal Seek does not converge:",null,-0.1,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-3]
[null,null,"RRt constant","a","a","a","a","RA"]
["Free parameters are determined by Goal Seek in such a way as that the budget is adhered to.",null,-8.7311525446526275E-2,0.22460613979203964,-8.8315906025456543E-3,-8.2446864864690785E+303]
[null,null,null,-3.7778706683311344E+16,null,-8.2878234472804073E-4,-2.9334022091993893E-2,-1.6882495451082156]
[]
["scenario ∑ 2020 - 2100","Gt",{"$f":"scenarios!J6","v":335},{"$f":"scenarios!$R$6","v":335},{"$f":"scenarios!$Z$6","v":335},{"$f":"scenarios!$AH$6","v":335},{"$f":"scenarios!AP6","v":335},{"$f":"scenarios!AV6","v":335},{"$f":"ROUND(scenarios!AX97,0)","v":335}]
["budget ∑ 2020 - 2100","Gt",{"$f":"ROUND('base data'!$L$25,0)","v":335},{"$f":"ROUND('base data'!$L$25,0)","v":335},{"$f":"ROUND('base data'!$L$25,0)","v":335},{"$f":"ROUND('base data'!$L$25,0)","v":335},{"$f":"ROUND('base data'!$L$25,0)","v":335},{"$f":"ROUND('base data'!$L$25,0)","v":335},{"$f":"ROUND('base data'!$L$25,0)","v":335}]
[]
["emissions 2100 scenario; E2100","Gt",{"$f":"scenarios!J8","v":-3.5},{"$f":"scenarios!R8","v":-3.5},{"$f":"scenarios!T96","v":-3.5},{"$f":"scenarios!$AH$8","v":-3.5},{"$f":"scenarios!AP8","v":-3.5},{"$f":"scenarios!AR96","v":-3.5},{"$f":"scenarios!AX96","v":4.6220450037472845E-7}]
["minimum emissions; Emin","Gt",{"$f":"ROUND('base data'!$N$31,5)","v":-3.5},{"$f":"ROUND('base data'!$N$31,2)","v":-3.5},{"$f":"ROUND('base data'!$N$31,2)","v":-3.5},{"$f":"ROUND('base data'!$N$31,2)","v":-3.5},{"$f":"ROUND('base data'!$N$31,2)","v":-3.5},{"$f":"ROUND('base data'!$N$31,2)","v":-3.5},"-"]
[]
["values from the scenarios",null,{"$f":"scenarios!$E$2","v":"RM-1 const"},{"$f":"scenarios!$L$2","v":"RM-2 exp"},{"$f":"scenarios!T2","v":"RM-3 lin"},{"$f":"scenarios!$AB$2","v":"RM-4 quadr"},{"$f":"G5","v":"RM-5 rad"},{"$f":"H5","v":"RM-6 abs"},{"$f":"I5","v":"SPM-R"}]
["year Emin is achieved ",null,{"$f":"IF(ISNA(INDEX(scenarios!$C$16:$C$96,MATCH('goal seek'!C$19,scenarios!$E$16:$E$96,0))),\"-\",INDEX(scenarios!$C$16:$C$96,MATCH('goal seek'!C$19,scenarios!$E$16:$E$96,0)))","v":2080},{"$f":"IF(ISNA(INDEX(scenarios!$C$16:$C$96,MATCH('goal seek'!D$19,scenarios!$L$16:$L$96,0))),\"-\",INDEX(scenarios!$C$16:$C$96,MATCH('goal seek'!D$19,scenarios!$L$16:$L$96,0)))","v":2044},{"$f":"IF(ISNA(INDEX(scenarios!$C$16:$C$96,MATCH('goal seek'!E$19,scenarios!$T$16:$T$96,0))),\"-\",INDEX(scenarios!$C$16:$C$96,MATCH('goal seek'!E$19,scenarios!$T$16:$T$96,0)))","v":2055},{"$f":"IF(ISNA(INDEX(scenarios!$C$16:$C$96,MATCH('goal seek'!F$19,scenarios!$AB$16:$AB$96,0))),\"-\",INDEX(scenarios!$C$16:$C$96,MATCH('goal seek'!F$19,scenarios!$AB$16:$AB$96,0)))","v":2047},{"$f":"IF(ISNA(INDEX(scenarios!$C$16:$C$96,MATCH('goal seek'!G$19,scenarios!$AJ$16:$AJ$96,0))),\"-\",INDEX(scenarios!$C$16:$C$96,MATCH('goal seek'!G$19,scenarios!$AJ$16:$AJ$96,0)))","v":2063},{"$f":"IF(ISNA(INDEX(scenarios!$C$16:$C$96,MATCH('goal seek'!H$19,scenarios!$AR$16:$AR$96,0))),\"-\",INDEX(scenarios!$C$16:$C$96,MATCH('goal seek'!H$19,scenarios!$AR$16:$AR$96,0)))","v":2047},"-"]
["maximum RRt",null,{"$f":"MIN(graphs!CM10:CM90)","v":-8.7311525446526428E-2},{"$f":"MIN(graphs!CN10:CN90)","v":-0.57534540697215264},{"$f":"MIN(graphs!CO10:CO90)","v":-0.22195817446109567},{"$f":"MIN(graphs!CP10:CP90)","v":-0.37549301402506596},{"$f":"MIN(graphs!CQ10:CQ90)","v":-0.16100612100335543},{"$f":"MIN(graphs!CR10:CR90)","v":-0.6679173315926108},{"$f":"MIN(graphs!CS10:CS90)","v":-0.19824340826523001}]
["year maximum RRt",null,{"$f":"INDEX(graphs!$CL$10:$CL$90,MATCH(C23,graphs!CM10:CM90,0))","v":2020},{"$f":"INDEX(graphs!$CL$10:$CL$90,MATCH(D23,graphs!CN10:CN90,0))","v":2040},{"$f":"INDEX(graphs!$CL$10:$CL$90,MATCH(E23,graphs!CO10:CO90,0))","v":2044},{"$f":"INDEX(graphs!$CL$10:$CL$90,MATCH(F23,graphs!CP10:CP90,0))","v":2041},{"$f":"INDEX(graphs!$CL$10:$CL$90,MATCH(G23,graphs!CQ10:CQ90,0))","v":2047},{"$f":"INDEX(graphs!$CL$10:$CL$90,MATCH(H23,graphs!CR10:CR90,0))","v":2044},"-"]
["overshoot","Gt",{"$f":"graphs!J5","v":103.05834419488201},{"$f":"graphs!K5","v":204.59928096061719},{"$f":"graphs!L5","v":173.87187144705592},{"$f":"graphs!M5","v":195.51332715065416},{"$f":"graphs!N5","v":150.31904766224602},{"$f":"graphs!O5","v":192.38598275410311},"-"]
["reduction 2030 vs. 2010",null,{"$f":"graphs!CD101","v":-0.59041274921688802},{"$f":"graphs!CE101","v":-0.2332120056397935},{"$f":"graphs!CF101","v":-0.39644222122887751},{"$f":"graphs!CG101","v":-0.28091935622015451},{"$f":"graphs!CH101","v":-0.47668695855157717},{"$f":"graphs!CI101","v":-0.36380576732017011},{"$f":"graphs!CJ101","v":-0.72730783481238914}]
[]
["At which level of global emissions (threshold value; TV) shall the annual percentage reduction be change into a constant annual reduction amount in scenarios 2 - 5?   in Gt",null,null,null,null,2,{"$f":"F28/'base data'!$M$18","v":4.6462332918712122E-2}]
[]
[]
["Opportunity for its own TV in scenario 1 to get there earlier to global negative emissions: in Gt",null,null,null,null,2.2000000000000002,{"$f":"F31/'base data'!$M$18","v":5.1108566210583337E-2}]

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[null,"Global pathways determined 2020 - 2100"]
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[null,"budget 2018 - 2100 in Gt:",null,{"$f":"'base data'!B10","v":420},null,"Is the budget 2020 - 2100 complied with?",null,null,null,{"$f":"IF('goal seek'!C15='goal seek'!C16,\"yes\",\"no\")","v":"yes"},{"$f":"IF('goal seek'!D15='goal seek'!D16,\"yes\",\"no\")","v":"yes"},{"$f":"IF('goal seek'!E15='goal seek'!E16,\"yes\",\"no\")","v":"yes"},{"$f":"IF('goal seek'!F15='goal seek'!F16,\"yes\",\"no\")","v":"yes"},{"$f":"IF('goal seek'!G15='goal seek'!G16,\"yes\",\"no\")","v":"yes"},{"$f":"IF('goal seek'!H15='goal seek'!H16,\"yes\",\"no\")","v":"yes"},"-",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"A","B"]
[null,"budget 2020 - 2100 in Gt:",null,{"$f":"'base data'!L25","v":334.84169266251206},null,"overshoot 2020 - 2100 in Gt",null,null,null,{"$f":"scenarios!BK97","v":103.05834419488201},{"$f":"scenarios!BL97","v":204.59928096061719},{"$f":"scenarios!BM97","v":173.87187144705592},{"$f":"scenarios!BN97","v":195.51332715065416},{"$f":"scenarios!BO97","v":150.31904766224602},{"$f":"-scenarios!AR98","v":192.38598275410311},"-",null,null,null,"Underlying world population: UN forecast"]
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[null,"global paths: comparison RM and IPCC SR15 illustrative scenarios"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"This tool: Dermination global paths based on RM Scenario Types"]
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{"sheet":"overshoot estimate 420","index":7,"n_rows":7,"n_cols":5,"rows_kept":7,"cut":false,"hidden":true,"merged":[]}
[]
[null,"Estimate 1.5 ° C compatible overshoot on a global budget 2018 - 2100 of 420 Gt"]
[]
[null,"in Gt","sum 2018 - 2100","IPCC SR15","estimate"]
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{"sheet":"IPCC SR15 AFOLU","index":8,"n_rows":100,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":100,"cut":false,"hidden":true,"merged":[[3,4,3,6]]}
[]
["IPCC SR15 illustrative model paths P1 - P4: AFOLU (interpolation of the paths)"]
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["AFOLU",null,"data",null,"interpolated"]
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[2100,{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 data'!Y77/1000","v":-4.342758753},{"$f":"B97","v":-4.342758753},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 data'!Y5/1000","v":-3.6138283000000002},{"$f":"D97","v":-3.6138283000000002},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 data'!Y73/1000","v":-4.1623155519999999},{"$f":"F97","v":-4.1623155519999999},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 data'!Y113/1000","v":-1.2010000000000001},{"$f":"H97","v":-1.2010000000000001},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2100,{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 paths P1-P4'!C97-'IPCC SR15 AFOLU'!C97","v":0.81827239900000004},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 paths P1-P4'!E97-'IPCC SR15 AFOLU'!E97","v":-0.86104579999999986},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 paths P1-P4'!G97-'IPCC SR15 AFOLU'!G97","v":-8.8865743280000018},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 paths P1-P4'!I97-'IPCC SR15 AFOLU'!I97","v":-20.108999999999998}]
["sum 2018 - 2100 in Gt",null,{"$f":"SUM(C15:C97)","v":-159.47458214310063},null,{"$f":"SUM(E15:E97)","v":-222.39745701999996},null,{"$f":"SUM(G15:G97)","v":-168.52232699759961},null,{"$f":"SUM(I15:I97)","v":143.92670000000021}]
["sum neg. emissions in Gt",null,{"$f":"SUMIF(C15:C97,\"<0\")","v":-191.21922494025},null,{"$f":"SUMIF(E15:E97,\"<0\")","v":-249.46426119999975},null,{"$f":"SUMIF(G15:G97,\"<0\")","v":-207.70684336060009},null,{"$f":"SUMIF(I15:I97,\"<0\")","v":-7.1897799999998924}]
["sum pos. Emissions in Gt",null,{"$f":"C98-C99","v":31.744642797149368},null,{"$f":"E98-E99","v":27.066804179999792},null,39.184516363000483,null,151.11648000000011]

{"sheet":"IPCC SR15 paths P1-P4","index":9,"n_rows":99,"n_cols":11,"rows_kept":99,"cut":false,"hidden":true,"merged":[[3,4,3,6]]}
[]
["IPCC SR15 illustrative model paths P1 - P4 (interpolation of the paths)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"IPCC SR15 SPM.3a:"]
[null,null,"data",null,"interpolated"]
[]
[null,"P1 data","SR15 P1","P2 data","SR15 P2","P3 data","SR15 P3","P4 data","SR15 P4"]
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["sum 2018 - 2100 in Gt",null,{"$f":"SUM(C15:C97)","v":470.23942765139708},null,{"$f":"SUM(E15:E97)","v":398.3517015600018},null,{"$f":"SUM(G15:G97)","v":313.6844947369944},null,{"$f":"SUM(I15:I97)","v":125.48600000000039}]
["sum neg. emissions in Gt",null,{"$f":"SUMIF(C7:C97,\"<0\")","v":-94.103516559580441},null,{"$f":"SUMIF(E7:E97,\"<0\")","v":-166.40831379999989},null,{"$f":"SUMIF(G7:G97,\"<0\")","v":-377.11327837220091},null,{"$f":"SUMIF(I7:I97,\"<0\")","v":-777.26199999999994}]

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["REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0","SMP_1p5C_Def",null,"World","Emissions|CO2|AFOLU","Mt CO2/yr",5466.9841999999999,5382.9740000000002,3109.2532000000001,522.78099999999995,-1145.7268999999999,-2191.2251999999999,-2653.9792000000002,-2842.1507999999999,-3279.1394,-4043.6111000000001,-4617.2235000000001,"",-4837.2537000000002,"",-4909.2726000000002,"",-4967.5528000000004,"",-5085.1496999999999]
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["REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0","SMP_2C_regul",null,"World","Emissions|CO2|AFOLU","Mt CO2/yr",5465.0288,6292.7905000000001,4774.6472000000003,1930.6380999999999,380.13569999999999,-611.59760000000006,-2145.424,-3778.3397,-5399.8572000000004,-6788.5913,-7311.5072,"",-6943.9669999999996,"",-6149.6567999999997,"",-5547.9620000000004,"",-5338.1808000000001]
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["WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4","CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000",null,"World","Emissions|CO2","Mt CO2/yr",35674.120799999997,37811.007460000001,40656.526539999999,28166.957610000001,20765.69975,17849.432919999999,15379.19882,12687.03628,10330.785,"",4908.6294459999999,"",1820.0060289999999,"",-1909.8020309999999,"",-5802.1188739999998,"",-8298.1427669999994]
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["WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4","CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400",null,"World","Emissions|CO2|AFOLU","Mt CO2/yr",2828.1610209999999,2813.7140009999998,2662.210842,-348.47601959999997,-1267.2212790000001,-1597.1189300000001,-1797.919596,-1951.0719309999999,-2258.745257,"",-3075.479718,"",-3244.0456180000001,"",-3602.8281950000001,"",-4225.4892060000002,"",-4424.2922090000002]
[]
[]
[]
["© IAMC 1.5°C Scenario Explorer hosted by IIASA https://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at/iamc-1.5c-explorer"]
["IAMC 1.5°C Scenario Explorer and Data hosted by IIASA, release 1.1    \r"]
["    \r"]
["License    \r"]
["Copyright 2018-2019 IIASA and IAMC    \r"]
["    \r"]
["If appropriate reference is made to the data source, it is permitted to use this data for scientific research and science communication.    \r"]
["However, redistribution of substantial portions of the data is restricted.    \r"]
["Please read the guidelines and legal code at    \r"]
["https://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at/iamc-1.5c-explorer/#/license    \r"]
["before redistributing this data or adapted material.    \r"]
["    \r"]
["Version    \r"]
["When using this data for any analysis, figures or tables, please clearly state the release version as indicated at the top of this file.    \r"]
["Please look at the release notes on the About page (see below) for a list of changes and the history of previous versions.    \r"]
["https://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at/iamc-1.5c-explorer/#/about    \r"]
["    \r"]
["Scientific references    \r"]
["When using the scenario ensemble data for own analysis, please cite:    \r"]
["    \r"]
["  Daniel Huppmann, Elmar Kriegler, Volker Krey, Keywan Riahi, Joeri Rogelj, Steven K. Rose, John Weyant, et al.,  \r"]
["  IAMC 1.5°C Scenario Explorer and Data hosted by IIASA.  \r"]
["  Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium & International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2018.    \r"]
["  doi:   https://doi.org/10.22022/SR15/08-2018.15429\r"]
["  url:   https://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at/iamc-1.5c-explorer\r"]
["    \r"]
["You can download this citation and the references for all studies that submitted scenarios to the ensemble in the following formats:    \r"]
["Endnote (enl)  https://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at/iamc-1.5c-explorer/iamc_1.5c_scenario_data.enl  \r"]
["Reference Manager (ris)  https://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at/iamc-1.5c-explorer/iamc_1.5c_scenario_data.ris  \r"]
["BibTex (bib)  https://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at/iamc-1.5c-explorer/iamc_1.5c_scenario_data.bib  \r"]
["    \r"]
["More information and acknowledgements    \r"]
["Please refer to the page linked below for more information on the scenario ensemble, references to contributing studies, and acknowledgements of contributors and funding.    \r"]
["https://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at/iamc-1.5c-explorer/#/about    \r"]

{"sheet":"Global Carbon Budget","index":11,"n_rows":89,"n_cols":23,"rows_kept":89,"cut":false,"hidden":true,"merged":[[53,9,53,11],[1,1,1,5]]}
[]
[null,"Global Carbon Projekt"]
[]
[null,"All values in billion tonnes of carbon per year (GtC/yr), for the globe. For values in billion tonnes of carbon dioxide per year (GtCO2/yr) , multiply the numbers below by 3.664. "]
[null,"Note: 1 billion tonnes C = 1 petagram of carbon (10^15 gC) = 1 gigatonne C = 3.664 billion tonnes of CO2"]
[null,"All uncertainties represent ± 1 sigma error (68 % chance of being in the range provided) "]
[null,"Emissions from fossil fuel combustion and industrial processes (uncertainty of ±5% for a ± 1 sigma confidence level):"]
[null,null,"Cite as: Friedlingstein et al. 2020 (see Summary tab)."]
[null,"Emissions from land-use change (uncertainty of ±0.7 GtC/yr):"]
[null,null,"Cite as: average of three bookkeeping models: Houghton, R. A. and Nassikas, A. A.: Global and regional fluxes of carbon from land use and land cover change 1850-2015, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 31, 456-472, 2017;  Hansis, E., Davis, S. J., and Pongratz, J.: Relevance of methodological choices for accounting of land use change carbon fluxes, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, 1230-1246, 2015; Gasser, T., Crepin, L., Quilcaille, Y., Houghton, R. A., Ciais, P. and Obersteiner, M.: Historical CO 2 emissions from land use and land cover change and their uncertainty, Biogeosciences , 4075–4101, 2020."]
[null,"The atmospheric CO2 growth rate (variable uncertainty around 0.2 GtC/yr from 1980) is estimated directly from atmospheric CO2 concentration measurements, and provided by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Earth System Research Laboratory (NOAA/ESRL).  http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/global.html"]
[null,null,"Cite as: Dlugokencky, E. and Tans, P.: Trends in atmospheric carbon dioxide, National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration, Earth System Research Laboratory (NOAA/ESRL), available at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/global.html, 2020."]
[null,null,"1959-1980 are based on Mauna Loa and South Pole stations as observed by the CO2 Program at Scripps Institution of Oceanography. http://scrippsco2.ucsd.edu/data/atmospheric_co2/"]
[null,null,"1980 onwards are global averages estimated from multiple stations run by NOAA/ESRL."]
[null,"The ocean sink (uncertainty of ±0.4 GtC/yr on average) is estimated from the average of several global ocean biogeochemistry models that reproduce the observed mean ocean sink of the 1990s. "]
[null,null,"Cite as: Friedlingstein et al. 2020 (see Summary tab)."]
[null,"The land sink (uncertainty of ±0.9 GtC/yr on average) was estimated from the average of several dynamic global vegetation models that reproduce the observed mean total land sink of the 1990s."]
[null,null,"Cite as: Friedlingstein et al. 2020 (see Summary tab)."]
[null,"The cement carbonation sink:"]
[null,null,"Cite as: Friedlingstein et al. 2020 (see Summary tab)."]
[null,"The budget imbalance is the sum of emissions (fossil fuel and industry + land-use change) minus (atmospheric growth + ocean sink + land sink + cement carbonation sink); it is a measure of our imperfect data and understanding of the contemporary carbon cycle. "]
[null,null,"Cite as: Friedlingstein et al. 2020 (see Summary tab)."]
[]
["Year","fossil emissions excluding carbonation","land-use change emissions","atmospheric growth","ocean sink","land sink","cement carbonation sink","budget imbalance"]
[1959,2.415,1.8041998730239868,2.0448,0.86136776002847193,0.67744484723529408,1.2683730499999999E-2,0.62290353526022102]
[1960,2.548,1.6594406334330234,1.5123,0.83909649867894509,1.2583989870588235,1.38387995E-2,0.58380634819525512]
[1961,2.5529999999999999,1.5936361338857001,1.6614,0.71651577881586037,0.66030620841176479,1.4726463500000002E-2,1.0936876831580746]
[1962,2.6440000000000001,1.55592163940938,1.1928000000000001,0.7684019670510992,1.4082209219999999,1.5871007499999999E-2,0.81462774285828121]
[1963,2.794,1.5112429549967432,1.2141,0.91736474517766764,1.0238226213529413,1.6862708000000001E-2,1.1330928804661338]
[1964,2.9390000000000001,1.4674677584762568,1.0437000000000001,1.1113255525543564,1.5295234982941177,1.8451229E-2,0.70346747862778269]
[1965,3.0760000000000001,1.4221802365976968,2.343,1.2309506893908972,0.4807770951176471,1.9485973E-2,0.4239664790891523]
[1966,3.2189999999999999,1.3918454160995466,2.343,1.1881256406512233,1.4343294637647059,2.0914842499999999E-2,-0.37552453081638293]
[1967,3.3220000000000001,1.3733657603403699,1.2992999999999999,0.99484157431723852,1.6408221295882353,2.1952477500000001E-2,0.73844957893489682]
[1968,3.5030000000000001,1.3668350554962132,2.1086999999999998,1.0675975450682718,2.3674042239411763,2.3532642999999999E-2,-0.69739935651323481]
[1969,3.7370000000000001,1.3727037706502265,2.8115999999999999,1.1083964995285946,0.74821112317647043,2.4966522500000001E-2,0.41652962544516192]
[1970,4.0469999999999997,1.3583775639368667,2.4068999999999998,1.0327881693546896,0.72390931700000005,2.6489823000000003E-2,1.2152902545821771]
[1971,4.21,1.3358898952992735,1.5548999999999999,1.0972820569079396,2.2851294841176473,2.7991509999999997E-2,0.5805868442736869]
[1972,4.4059999999999997,1.3063292389882399,3.1311,1.3335998151029456,1.3217626578823529,3.04854505E-2,-0.10461868449705906]
[1973,4.6399999999999997,1.2978376414337134,3.1097999999999999,1.3008105041228921,1.7956086300588239,3.2610441000000004E-2,-0.30099193374800259]
[1974,4.62,1.2685654112752267,1.4483999999999999,1.2139213155453064,3.5479576307058824,3.3395811000000004E-2,-0.35510934597596122]
[1975,4.6130000000000004,1.2531180858027133,2.6198999999999999,1.1759591561024993,2.4070230579411769,3.4104432500000004E-2,-0.37086856074096236]
[1976,4.8579999999999997,1.2349822038523335,2.0661,1.2820402294813853,2.8694461109999998,3.6066967499999998E-2,-0.16067110412905222]
[1977,4.9909999999999997,1.2205240717798866,4.0895999999999999,1.3903840301462687,1.5822215735294116,3.8465277999999999E-2,-0.88914680989579431]
[1978,5.1740000000000004,1.1927833299585966,2.7477,1.4467608211209464,2.5516755477058823,4.1111291000000001E-2,-0.42046432986823179]
[1979,5.3120000000000003,1.1630157124404901,4.5582000000000003,1.3215336785386855,1.618457512,4.259889E-2,-1.0657743680981953]
[1980,5.2859999999999996,1.1971534031422901,3.621,1.6335833126806323,0.78091309682352938,4.3860726999999995E-2,0.40379626663812829]
[1981,5.1420000000000003,1.2124057412498266,2.4107400000000001,1.6169517496686165,2.2586901892941178,4.4740826499999997E-2,2.3282975787092042E-2]
[1982,5.1040000000000001,1.2137048881672801,2.1770999999999998,1.7093406769060586,1.7863882421176471,4.5586188E-2,0.59928978114357434]
[1983,5.1520000000000001,1.2445701068722501,3.8975399999999998,1.8654547759591962,0.67382370011764703,4.7107128000000005E-2,-8.7355497204592736E-2]
[1984,5.3019999999999996,1.2784823650339032,2.7505799999999998,1.7311343942300657,2.835898103764706,4.8557116499999997E-2,-0.7856872494608691]
[1985,5.49,1.2953513513627766,3.4514999999999998,1.6285349547999479,2.7068002572352934,4.9960639000000001E-2,-1.0514444996724646]
[1986,5.5679999999999996,1.3190526466668666,2.2726799999999998,1.7007639968018486,2.3485686908823524,5.2336416499999996E-2,0.51270354248266625]
[1987,5.7489999999999997,1.3401167865907067,5.7560399999999996,1.8072158620246443,0.82402237194117656,5.4798024000000001E-2,-1.3529594713751143]
[1988,5.968,1.3696194800550965,4.7896200000000002,1.7076116075735901,2.1968909119999998,5.8076626000000006E-2,-1.4145796655184939,null,"own calculation"]
[1989,6.0570000000000004,1.3914406383861235,2.8992599999999999,1.6653753327251632,3.5118323873529405,5.8036533999999994E-2,-0.68606361569197927,null,{"$f":"B24","v":"fossil emissions excluding carbonation"},{"$f":"C24","v":"land-use change emissions"},"sum"]
[1990,6.1950000000000003,1.3589592638217434,2.64438,1.7926782349487058,2.622000591058824,5.7503869500000006E-2,0.43739656831421408,null,{"$f":"B56*$J$86","v":22.698480000000004},{"$f":"C56*$J$86","v":4.9792267426428678},{"$f":"SUM(J56:K56)","v":27.677706742642872}]
[1991,6.3239999999999998,1.3474304542852369,1.63548,1.9042764598253901,2.2135593497058825,6.10532175E-2,1.8570614272539645,null,{"$f":"B57*$J$86","v":23.171136000000001},{"$f":"C57*$J$86","v":4.9369851845011086},{"$f":"SUM(J57:K57)","v":28.108121184501108}]
[1992,6.1260000000000003,1.3495337660917066,1.5186599999999999,2.1310074107327446,2.2905663081176471,6.1916218500000002E-2,1.4733838287413157,null,22.445664000000001,4.944691718960013,27.390355718960013]
[1993,6.1909999999999998,1.3511041994013733,2.4956999999999998,2.0693164039606153,3.1015709327058825,6.6167605500000004E-2,-0.19065074276512517,null,22.683824000000001,4.9504457866066316,27.634269786606634]
[1994,6.2350000000000003,1.3447605092826933,3.5683199999999999,1.9296573393514744,1.7898306208235297,6.9813709500000001E-2,0.22213883960768932,null,22.845040000000001,4.9272025060117883,27.772242506011789]
[1995,6.3680000000000003,1.3351500024347833,4.3329599999999999,1.9241048860052363,2.0213692814705881,7.3664286999999995E-2,-0.64894845204104046,null,23.332352000000004,4.8919896089210466,28.224341608921051]
[1996,6.5640000000000001,1.3181965945096066,2.2514400000000001,1.8790207011574422,3.0745489458235293,7.6577975000000006E-2,0.60060897252863454,null,24.050496000000003,4.8298723222831983,28.8803683222832]
[1997,6.6020000000000003,1.7884377265599565,4.1948999999999996,1.9857089882402299,3.2637011385882353,7.9486561999999997E-2,-1.1333589622685074,null,24.189728000000002,6.552835830115681,30.742563830115685]
[1998,6.5810000000000004,1.2464324997151666,6.0427799999999996,2.1000041077418548,1.9414887531176475,8.0461868500000006E-2,-2.3373022296443349,null,24.112784000000001,4.5669286789563701,28.679712678956371]
[1999,6.6680000000000001,1.2302056225255298,2.8673999999999999,1.9083523221544785,3.5387244448235289,8.3429614499999999E-2,-0.49970075895247756,null,24.431552,4.5074734009335415,28.939025400933541]
[2000,6.8559999999999999,1.3781452411066668,2.6656200000000001,1.8665259163515679,3.7566633352352934,8.6772776499999996E-2,-0.14143678698019518,null,25.120384000000001,5.0495241634148273,30.169908163414828]
[2001,6.9139999999999997,1.3333161024347933,3.8975399999999998,1.7710314128621798,2.6759434565294118,8.9617011999999982E-2,-0.18681577895679818,null,25.332896000000002,4.8852701993210825,30.218166199321082]
[2002,7.0720000000000001,1.5008891783701568,5.0020199999999999,2.1591553618491042,1.6136065051176471,9.4394431500000001E-2,-0.29628712009659347,null,25.911808000000001,5.4992579495482543,31.411065949548256]
[2003,7.4169999999999998,1.5459852282867399,4.8108599999999999,2.2353264992022068,2.556661948529412,0.101384393,-0.74124761244487836,null,27.175888,5.664489876442615,32.840377876442616]
[2004,7.77,1.5136065421498601,3.3984000000000001,2.1367992291905078,3.601666568823529,0.10844852349999999,3.8292220635822619E-2,null,28.469280000000001,5.5458543704370875,34.015134370437089]
[2005,8.0269999999999992,1.4174884580942766,5.2250399999999999,2.2078722222984335,2.2009526920588236,0.1160547635,-0.30543121976298182,null,29.410927999999998,5.1936777104574299,34.604605710457427]
[2006,8.2899999999999991,1.4956374716695133,3.7276199999999999,2.2621646926612331,3.2179600561764703,0.126380984,0.45151173883180851,null,30.374559999999999,5.4800156961970972,35.854575696197095]
[2007,8.5410000000000004,1.3116813892262766,4.4603999999999999,2.2995438409123867,2.9945770012941177,0.13621108800000001,-3.8050540980227837E-2,null,31.294224000000003,4.8060006101250776,36.100224610125082]
[2008,8.7189999999999994,1.3573265084737134,3.8444400000000001,2.2152855843355135,3.6322706695882356,0.14096747800000001,0.24336277654996361,null,31.946415999999999,4.973244327047686,36.919660327047687]
[2009,8.5869999999999997,1.6007471938120501,3.4196399999999998,2.2833452824044476,3.0345224855294113,0.148333776,1.3019056498781929,null,31.462768000000001,5.8651377181273521,37.327905718127354,null,2010,{"$f":"N75+1","v":2011},{"$f":"O75+1","v":2012},2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019]
[2010,9.0429999999999993,1.4566619724426266,5.1613199999999999,2.27344911637993,3.2997764297647065,0.15759733299999998,-0.39248090670201075,null,33.133552000000002,5.3372094670297843,38.470761467029789,null,38.470761467029789,39.272256984459148,40.20383094838386,40.605848572330309,41.286049050714354,41.457851014314201,40.92030227656884,41.268032887664631,42.112685769171783,43.04562156831615]
[2011,9.3369999999999997,1.3814107490336101,3.6001799999999999,2.3859453109854911,4.076728145647059,0.170529021,0.48502827140105886,null,34.210768000000002,5.0614889844591477,39.272256984459148,null,33.133552000000002,34.210768000000002,34.760368,34.987535999999999,35.244016000000002,35.211039999999997,35.222031999999999,35.694688000000006,36.420160000000003,36.440759799144367]
[2012,9.4870000000000001,1.4856612850392634,5.0657399999999999,2.4405023985942367,2.8244340117058822,0.17755105500000001,0.46443381973914499,null,34.760368,5.4434629483838615,40.20383094838386]
[2013,9.5489999999999995,1.533382252273557,5.1719400000000002,2.4778657260688846,3.6449099508823535,0.18599576549999999,-0.39832919017768242,null,34.987535999999999,5.6183125723303133,40.605848572330309]
[2014,9.6189999999999998,1.64902648764038,4.2161400000000002,2.5640000392749038,3.834119221058824,0.19418929300000001,0.45957793430665195,null,35.244016000000002,6.0420330507143527,41.286049050714354]
[2015,9.61,1.7049156698455799,6.2764199999999999,2.6078210397626211,2.6415017337647062,0.19621514600000001,-0.40704224968174818,null,35.211039999999997,6.246811014314205,41.457851014314201]
[2016,9.6129999999999995,1.5552047698059066,6.0746399999999996,2.6835066044567957,3.1832322397647066,0.19910636900000001,-0.97228044341559638,null,35.222031999999999,5.6982702765688424,40.92030227656884]
[2017,9.7420000000000009,1.5211094125722233,4.5772199999999996,2.5199913899732991,3.8300333237647055,0.203693613,0.13217108583421933,null,35.694688000000006,5.5733448876646268,41.268032887664631]
[2018,9.94,1.5536369457346566,5.0869799999999996,2.5610906617026004,3.7763938615882351,0.210855607,-0.14168318455617962,null,36.420160000000003,5.6925257691717821,42.112685769171783]
[2019,9.9456222159236809,1.8026369457346567,5.4268200000000002,2.6259905646281965,3.1367427728823536,0.21529754199999998,0.34340828214778718,null,36.440759799144367,6.6048617691717828,{"$f":"SUM(J85:K85)","v":43.04562156831615}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,3.6640000000000001,"conversion factor"]
["2020*","~9.3","~1.6","~5.3"]
[]
["*2020 values are based on proxies and on projections for the most recent months, not based on actual emission data. See Friedlingstein et al. 2020 for methodology"]

{"sheet":"IPCC SR15 results","index":12,"n_rows":18,"n_cols":9,"rows_kept":18,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[7,1,8,1],[3,3,3,6],[4,3,4,6],[5,3,5,6],[16,4,17,7],[1,2,1,8],[2,3,2,6],[2,7,4,8],[15,2,15,8],[17,2,17,3]]}
[]
[null,null,"IPCC SR15 illustrative model paths for possible guidance in the ESPM or RM (in Gt)"]
[null,"A","2019 total",{"$f":"D4+D5","v":43.04562156831615},null,null,null,"source:\nGlobal Carbon Project"]
[null,"B","2019 excl. LUC",{"$f":"'base data'!M19","v":36.440759799144367}]
[null,null,"2019  LUC",{"$f":"'base data'!M20","v":6.6048617691717837}]
[null,"C","global budget 2018 - 2100",420]
[null,null,"IPCC SR15 model paths",{"$f":"'base data'!R30","v":"P1"},{"$f":"'base data'!S30","v":"P2"},"P3","P4","average\nP1 - P4","average\nP1 / P2"]
[null,1,"∑ 2018 - 2100 LUC",{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 AFOLU'!C98","v":-159.47458214310063},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 AFOLU'!E98","v":-222.39745701999996},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 AFOLU'!G98","v":-168.52232699759961},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 AFOLU'!I98","v":143.92670000000021},{"$f":"AVERAGE(D8:G8)","v":-101.616916540175},{"$f":"AVERAGE(D8:E8)","v":-190.93601958155028}]
[null,null,"share of C",{"$f":"D8/$D$6","v":-0.37970138605500153},{"$f":"E8/$D$6","v":-0.52951775480952368},{"$f":"F8/$D$6","v":-0.40124363570857047},{"$f":"G8/$D$6","v":0.34268261904761954},{"$f":"H8/$D$6","v":-0.24194503938136905},{"$f":"AVERAGE(D9:E9)","v":-0.45460957043226258}]
[null,null,"∑ 2018 - 2100 net positive LUC",{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 AFOLU'!C100","v":31.744642797149368},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 AFOLU'!E100","v":27.066804179999792},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 AFOLU'!G100","v":39.184516363000483},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 AFOLU'!I100","v":151.11648000000011},{"$f":"AVERAGE(D10:G10)","v":62.278110835037438},{"$f":"AVERAGE(D10:E10)","v":29.40572348857458}]
[null,null,"∑ 2018 - 2100 net negative LUC",{"$f":"D8-D10","v":-191.21922494025},{"$f":"E8-E10","v":-249.46426119999975},-207.70684336060009,-7.1897799999998995,-163.89502737521244,-220.34174307012486]
[null,null,"2100 total",{"$f":"'base data'!R31","v":-3.524486354},{"$f":"'base data'!S31","v":-4.4748741000000001},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 data'!Y72/1000","v":-13.048889880000001},{"$f":"'IPCC SR15 data'!Y112/1000","v":-21.31},{"$f":"AVERAGE(D12:G12)","v":-10.589562583500001},{"$f":"AVERAGE(D12:E12)","v":-3.9996802269999998}]
[null,{"$f":"B8+1","v":2},"share of A",{"$f":"D12/$D$3","v":-8.1877929173502936E-2},{"$f":"E12/$D$3","v":-0.10395654510176114},-0.30314093291208677,-0.49505615724887764,-0.24600789110905713,{"$f":"AVERAGE(D13:E13)","v":-9.2917237137632031E-2}]
[null,null,"2100 excl. LUC",{"$f":"('IPCC SR15 data'!Y76-'IPCC SR15 data'!Y77)/1000","v":0.81827239899999993},{"$f":"('IPCC SR15 data'!Y4-'IPCC SR15 data'!Y5)/1000","v":-0.86104579999999986},{"$f":"('IPCC SR15 data'!Y72-'IPCC SR15 data'!Y73)/1000","v":-8.886574328},{"$f":"('IPCC SR15 data'!Y112-'IPCC SR15 data'!Y113)/1000","v":-20.109000000000002},{"$f":"AVERAGE(D14:G14)","v":-7.2595869322500004},{"$f":"AVERAGE(D14:E14)","v":-2.1386700499999967E-2}]
[null,{"$f":"B13+1","v":3},"share of B",{"$f":"D14/$D$4","v":2.2454866570021766E-2},{"$f":"E14/$D$4","v":-2.3628645635984168E-2},{"$f":"F14/$D$4","v":-0.24386358508937175},{"$f":"G14/$D$4","v":-0.55182713288190455},{"$f":"H14/$D$4","v":-0.19921612425930965},-5.86889532981201E-4]
[null,null,"Possible approaches for"]
[null,null,"a LUC budget 2018 - 2100",{"$f":"B8","v":1},"the potential for net negative emissions",null,null,null,{"$f":"B15","v":3}]
[null,null,"no separate LUC budget",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"B13","v":2}]

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["Authors:"]
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["Andreas Wolfsteiner, Master of Economics"]
["Günter Wittmann, Master of Mathematics"]
["save-the-climate@online.ms"]
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["Here you can download the most recent version of the tool:"]
["http://www.save-the-climate.info"]

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