I've seen those posts and am still skeptical.   The traditional strategy in Oregon is for the GOP (which is controlled opposition) to run a squish candidate.  The DNC funds a true conservative Libertarian or Constitution party candidate.  The 3rd party candidate get 3-8% of the vote.  The Dem wins by 7-12 percentage points.  Gov. Kate Brown has really pissed off a lot of people though.  It will take a huge turnaround in voters to counter the usual election fraud in Multnomah county.  (aka Portland)  It might be close, but, I really don't see Oregon turning towards the GOP.