You're right -- that's what some are saying. However, on something this important, Speaker McConnell wouldn't have filed cloture, much less be scheduling a vote, unless there has been a head count and he knows he has the votes.  He can also be pretty sure he'll get a Rat, or two, or three, in races for their lives in President Trump Red states. We've been soothed by Q -- but from my own pragmatic political experience -- this will have a hard head count ahead of time. If something changes -- like we, for some reason, need the Senator rightfully going to his daughter's wedding, there are procedural gimmicks the Speaker has available. I'd say flip-flop Flake is no better than 50-50 -- and never is.  But let him go if Susan Collins (ME) has given Speaker McConnel her word quietly.  She can still publicly claim she is troubled and making up her mind, but getting to 50 (all 51 Republicans less the idiot Flake) forces Manchin and McCaskill and Donnelly to vote yes, or just forfeit their elections right now.  Heitkamp is so far behind (13-14%) she will pander to the liberal media for a post-ass whuppin' job.