It's not so much the polls, but rather the lack of anything else to justify that there's a disparity in them. This is a blue state within the metro areas (Albuquerque, Santa Fe). How we got a Republican Gov. for the time being is beyond me. But Heinrich is well loved within NM and is the incumbent; to be blind to that and not see that it's an uphill battle in a 3 way race is foolish.