Yes, it is so obvious.  Think about it: WHY in the world would IRAN, all by itself, pick an attack on the USA, with the most powerful military on the planet???  That would be suicide.  If anything, it would give the USA a justification to invade Iran, and take over their oil fields, as happened with Iraq!  Talk about shooting oneself in the foot!  It makes ZERO sense. On the other hand, WHO does want to keep a US Military Presence in the Middle East?  Israel.  Just like Israel was so happy when the USA invaded Iraq, and took forever to leave. Like I said, just Do the Math.