Agreed, I like the idea of trying to decode a day.  Reality is that it's just going to get hopes up for what is a growing track record of wrong guesses. Not really expecting anything major before Christmas...naive people a chance to forget some of the drama, then round 3 starts.    It does actually seem like; say in a boxing match, near the end of the round just let yourself get sloppy and take a couple hits so they come into the next round a touch too cocky.