============================================================================================================ # START readme ============================================================================================================ ============================================================================================================ # General ============================================================================================================ + Author(s): Peter Ravensbergen, Wil Hennen, Gerben Jukema, Hager Fahkry + Project: EU funded project commissioned by the Netherlands Enterprise Agency (Rijksdienst voor Ondernemend Nederland (RVO)) + Contact: peter.ravenbergen@wur.nl, +31 (0)6 2246 1324 ============================================================================================================ # Title ============================================================================================================ Quick scan ‘Locations for highest-potential greenhouse development in the world’ ============================================================================================================ # Abstract ============================================================================================================ Forecast studies show an increasing demand for greenhouses worldwide, as governments encourage local, safe and sustainable food production. Climate change, scarcity of water and other key resources are adding to the trend towards greenhouses. This project shows a world map of the highest suitability for greenhouses, broken down by mid-tech and high-tech greenhouses. This is done by performing a quick scan, which means synthesis and application of existing knowledge and data. Of the countries with the highest potential, more detailed maps are shown. This paper is commissioned by the Netherlands Enterprise Agency (Rijksdienst voor Ondernemend Nederland (RVO)) and funded by the European Community. Dutch Green Delta (DGD) and some of their partners contributed with their expertise and experiential knowledge. The total area of covered crops is very difficult to indicate because there are no clear definitions and hence no uniform data. This study estimates approximately 700,000 hectares of protected horticulture worldwide, of which approximately 53,000 hectares are high-tech greenhouses. This is in line with other literature sources. China provides the greatest uncertainty in data. Based on the analysis of area suitability, USA is the country with the highest relative score for high-tech, followed by France, Germany, UK and Ukraine. For mid-tech, the USA and France are also the countries with the highest relative score, followed by India, Libya, and Brazil. Based on the highest market opportunities for greenhouses explored for the production and sales of tomato, the top 5 countries are Germany, the Netherlands, France, the USA, and Spain. Based on the presence of existing greenhouses, Mexico is the country with the highest surface for high-tech, followed by the Netherlands, Turkey, Belgium and Germany. For mid-tech surfaces the top 5 countries are China, Turkey, Spain, Republic of Korea, and Egypt. Based on the combination of the 3 analyses above, the top 10 countries with the strongest expected growth in high-tech greenhouses are: the USA, France, Spain, Germany, Poland, the Netherlands, Italy, Japan, Turkey, and China. When we differentiate these countries in 3 categories we identify: • Emerging countries: the USA, Poland, Italy, Saudi Arabia, and the UK. • Conversion countries from mid-tech to high-tech greenhouses: Spain, France, China, Japan, India, and South Korea. • Countries that already have areas of high-tech greenhouses: Germany, the Netherlands, Turkey, Belgium, and Mexico. The whitepaper, PowerPoint, all maps, and PowerBI datafiles generated by this project can be downloaded below. ============================================================================================================ # Note on use ============================================================================================================ Maps of Area Potential: Global Detector Suitability Maps were produced for 4 regions, namely the world, North-West Europe, Gulf States, Northern Africa and for the following 18 countries, each for mid-tech and high-tech greenhouses: • Europe: the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, France, the UK, Spain, Poland, Turkey, and Ukraine • Asia: Australia, China, India, Japan, South Korea, and Kazakhstan • North America: Canada, Mexico, and the USA In addition, as an example for the USA, the specific scores for the 4 aspects are also mapped: Climate, Water, Market & Infrastructure, and No restrictions Maps of Market Potential: To see the maps of the Market potential, you need to install MicroSoft Power BI on your computer. Next you download 3 files below from below and store then in 1 folder. Then you open the .pbix file. • MarketExplorer.pbix • TomatoRanking.html • StrawberriesRanking.html Maps of Current Regions: The maps of countries with combined maps of current greenhouse regions and greenhouse suitability potential (Global detector) were produced for: • Europe: the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, France, Spain, the UK, Italy, Poland, Turkey • Asia: Australia, China, India, Japan, South Korea, Saudi Arabia • North America: the USA, Canada, Mexico ============================================================================================================ # Data files ============================================================================================================ The datafiles contain the following: - Whitepaper CEA.pdf - Whitepaper of the project - 20240221_Highest potential CEA locations in the world.pdf - PowerPoint presentation - Market Explorer Power BI.zip /---MarketExplorer.pbix /---CombieTab_Strawberries.csv /---CombiTab_Tomato.csv TomatoRanking.html StrawberriesRanking.html - 52 Potential Country Suitability maps in *.png files: a. 8 maps are the scores for specific aspects for the USA (high-tech and mid-tech), named ‘Aspect USA and high-tech/midtech.png’ b. 44 country maps, starting with ‘Potential and high-tech/midtech’ - Potential and actual area maps combined 18 Country Suitability maps combined with actual greenhouse areas in *.png files, specified for high-tech, or for mid-tech: Potential .png ============================================================================================================ END readme ============================================================================================================