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Technical note Open Access

Environmental effects of ozone depletion: 1998 Assessment

van der Leun, J C; Tang, X; Tevini, M

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Item originally deposited with Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) document repository by Miss Poppy Townsend. Transferred to CEDA document repository community on Zenodo on 2022-11-24</subfield>
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    <subfield code="a">The Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer requires periodic assessments of
available scientific, environmental, technical and economic information. The assessments shall be
made at least every four years. Assessments were made in 1989, 1991, 1994, and the present one, in
1998. The 1998 assessment focuses on new information since 1994, but it includes some background
of prior information, so that it can be read without having the earlier reports at hand.
In 1994, the ozone layer was predicted to become thinner until about 1998, and to recover gradually
thereafter. Taking into account new information, the Atmospheric Science Panel now expects that
the most vulnerable period for ozone depletion will be extended into the coming two decades. Scientific
studies are continuing on the most important effects, and on what can be done to prevent or mitigate
The present assessment deals with the results of such investigations. These repeatedly give reasons
for concern for potential effects, but relatively little progress has been made in quantifying these effects.
The more the investigators look into the problems, the more the complexity becomes apparent.
Nevertheless, the knowledge is accumulating.
In comparison with the earlier assessments on effects of ozone depletion, the present report has a
new section, Frequently Asked Questions.</subfield>
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