Dataset CO2 Emission per GDP Forecast 2020-2100
Creators
Description
The dataset includes Business as Usual (BAU) forecast of world global CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) for 2020-2100.
The CO2 emission forecast is from the publication “Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors” [6]. According to this publication, the CO2 emissions without international transport will change from 33,803 MtCO2/y in 2020 to 70,191 MtCO2/y in 2100, a 108% increase.
The GDP forecast applies a parabolic trendline of the last 30 years. According to this calculation, the world GDP will change from 126.3 MM$/y in 2020 to 728.1 MM$/y in 2100, a 476% increase.
CO2 emissions per GDP (Cp$) are calculated by dividing the CO2 emissions per year by the GDP in the same year.
The world 0.000268 tCO2/$GDP Cp$ in 2020 will decrease by 64% in 2100 to 0.000096 tCO2/$GDP.
Files
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Additional details
References
- Hannah Ritchie, Max Roser, Edouard Mathieu, Bobbie Macdonald and Pablo Rosado - Data on CO2 and Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Our World in Data https://github.com/owid/co2-data#data-on-co2-and-greenhouse-gas-emissions-by-our-world-in-data
- Our World in Data, Cumulative CO2 emissions, 2020 https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cumulative-co-emissions
- GDP, PPP (constant 2017 international $) - World Bank, International Comparison Program, World Bank | World Development Indicators database, World Bank | Eurostat-OECD PPP Programme
- Cumulative CO2 Emissions of International Transport – Joseph Nowarski, DOI:10.5281/zenodo.7114110
- Dataset Cumulative CO2 Emissions of International Transport – Joseph Nowarski, DOI:10.5281/zenodo.7114087
- Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors - Joseph Nowarski, DOI:10.5281/zenodo.7151890
- CO2 Emission per GDP Forecast 2020-2100 - Joseph Nowarski, DOI:10.5281/zenodo.7264413