Journal article Open Access

Global Warming Acceleration

Nowarski, Joseph

This publication analyzes changes in global warming rates (GWR) expressed in Centigrade per year (°C/y) and introduces a parameter “global warming acceleration” (GWA) expressed in Centigrade per year per year (°C/y2).

GWA may be applied to forecast the GWR for the next decade. If the current decrease of GWA will continue for the next 11 years, Global Warming Rate will increase from the current +0.017 °C/y to +0.019 °C/y, for land+ocean.

Files (1.0 MB)
Name Size
Global Warming Acceleration v1-1-2.pdf
md5:0bb8ce18ce99465b4b66e147a42c24be
159.5 kB Download
Global Warming Acceleration v1-2-1.pdf
md5:311c03460236f31de1120d2c5107f328
446.8 kB Download
Global Warming Acceleration.pdf
md5:805d7264c20b7a44df07740eb74c2c00
414.8 kB Download
  • GISTEMP Team, 2022: GISS Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP), version 4. NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies. Dataset accessed 2022-02-05 at https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp

  • Lenssen, N., G. Schmidt, J. Hansen, M. Menne, A. Persin, R. Ruedy, and D. Zyss, 2019: Improvements in the GISTEMP uncertainty model. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 124, no. 12, 6307-6326, doi:10.1029/2018JD029522.

  • NOAA National Centers for Environmental information, Climate at a Glance: Global Time Series, published February 2022, retrieved on March 9, 2022 from https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/

  • Berkeley Earth - Global Temperature Report for 2021 http://berkeleyearth.org/global-temperature-report-for-2021/

  • Rohde, R. A. and Hausfather, Z.: The Berkeley Earth Land/Ocean Temperature Record, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 3469-3479, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3469-2020, 2020.

  • Berkeley Earth - Time Series Data, Land Only (1750 – Recent), Monthly Average Temperature (annual summary) http://berkeleyearth.org/data/

  • Global Surface Temperature Changes over Land Dataset - Joseph Nowarski. DOI:10.5281/zenodo.6373255

  • Global Warming Datasets Converted to 1850-1900 Baseline - Joseph Nowarski. DOI:10.5281/zenodo.6386179

  • IPCC: SPECIAL REPORT: GLOBAL WARMING OF 1.5 ºC, p7 https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15/chapter/chapter-1/

  • NASA, Earth Observatory, World of Change: Global Temperatures https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/world-of-change/global-temperatures?src=eoa-features

  • Climate Change: Global Temperature https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-temperature

90
55
views
downloads
All versions This version
Views 9015
Downloads 5512
Data volume 19.6 MB3.5 MB
Unique views 7913
Unique downloads 479

Share

Cite as