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Published April 20, 2022 | Version v21
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Calculation of Paris-compatible Emission Targets for the Six Largest Emitters with the Extended Smooth Pathway Model (ESPM)

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What are realistic emissions targets for the world's six largest emitters that sum up to Paris-compatible emissions? To answer this question, this paper varies key framework data on the available global budget and the sharing mechanism to calculate top-down national emissions targets using the Extended Smooth Pathway Model (ESPM). The Paris Ambition Mechanism provides a combination of top-down and bottom-up approaches. For each country in the word the question arises to what extent their bottom-up targets fit with global needs. This might initiate a discourse on the global framework data that contributes to Paris-compatible NDCs in sum.

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