What impacts have geographical locations on the cases and deaths from COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 36 states and union territories of India:-observational analysis in India - V2

Background: Curiosity and need are the major forces driving invention and discoveries. The covid-19 pandemic is said to be originated from Wuhan of Hubei province in china. This statement has raised many questions and doubts about origin and spread of disease and the controversy is still going on. The geographical location of Wuhan in relation to sea is of signicant value in relation to covid-19 pandemic as observed in this research. The city of Wuhan is located on both banks of the Changjiang (the Great River, a.k.a the Yangtze River) about six hundred miles upstream from Shanghai and the Pacic Ocean. It is about four hundred miles upstream from Nanjing. Its location is supremely strategic, being where the Hanshui (Han River) joins the Changjiang. The Wuhan Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market was in news and highlighted by several media and news agency as probable source of origin of covid-19. The Huanan Seafood Market located in Wuhan is a live animal and seafood market in Jianghan District, Wuhan City, and the capital of Hubei Province in Central China. Objective: This continuous observational research analysis aimed to assess the impact of geographical locations particularly coastal inuence on the total/average/maximum/minimum conrmed cases and deaths from COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 36 states and union territories of India, during COVID-19 pandemic from the beginning of pandemic cases in January 2020 in India with special focus on coastal states and union territories of India. The coast is also known popularly as the coastline or seashore is the area where land meets the sea or ocean, or as a line that forms the boundary between the land and the ocean. The term coastal state and union territories is used to refer to a state where interactions of sea and land of states occur. The study also aims to nd safest geographical location in covid-19 pandemic. Methods: This is a novel cross-sectional mixed (quantitative and Qualitative) continuous observational research study. The information on the number of cases and deaths due to COVID-19 pandemic in 36 states and union territories of India is obtained from Health Department, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MoHFW), Government of India, and data were matched followed by other states and union territories group with a count of 10431.21429. The islands group reported the lowest average numbers of death from covid-19 with a count of 61.33. A similar trend was found for numbers of conrmed cases with coastal states on top having largest number of covid-19 cases. In this version 2 the prevalence rates are also calculated per 100000. Conclusions: The research observation found that coastal states and union territories of India have larger number of daily cases of COVID-19 and mortality 867 per 100000 as compared to other geographical locations of the country. The observation also found that islands have least number of cases and deaths 115 per 100000 due to covid-19 pandemic. This study also gives rise to hypothesis that coastal locations are at greater risk of covid-19 infection and mortality whereas islands are safest places in covid-19 pandemics.


Introduction
Curiosity and need are the major forces driving invention and discoveries. The covid-19 pandemic said to be originated from Wuhan of Hubei province in china. This has raised many questions and doubts about origin and spread of disease and the controversy is still going on. The First globally announced human case of this global pandemic was reported from Wuhan city of China in December 2019.The rst case of SARS-CoV-2 in India was discovered in January 2020 [1].
The geographical location of Wuhan in relation to sea is of signi cant value in relation to covid-19 pandemic as observed in this research. The city of Wuhan is located on both banks of the Changjiang (the Great River, a.k.a the Yangtze River) about six hundred miles upstream from Shanghai and the Paci c Ocean. It is about four hundred miles upstream from Nanjing. Its location is supremely strategic, being where the Hanshui (Han River) joins the Changjiang [2]. The Wuhan Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market was in news and highlighted by several media and news agency as probable source of origin of covid-19. The Huanan Seafood Market located in Wuhan was a live animal and seafood market in Jianghan District, Wuhan City, and the capital of Hubei Province in Central China [3]. The Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) also known as COVID-19 pandemic, rst case reported in Wuhan, China which had spread worldwide and causing morbidity, mortality as well as severe economic losses. The SARS-CoV-2/ Covid -19 pandemic are still not over globally as well as in Indian states and union territories. The current healthcare system is overburdened more with this new diseases added with Mucormycosis [4] as well as previous NCD (non communicable diseases) & CD (communicable diseases) [5]. The First human case of this global pandemic was reported from Wuhan city of China in December 2019. The rst case ofcovid-19 in India was found in January 2020 on January 27, 2020, a 20 yr old female presented to the Emergency Department in General Hospital, Thrissur, Kerala, with a one-day history of dry cough and sore throat later con rmed to be covid-19 case. This rst case was from the coastal group of states and union territories as per division of states and union territories for this study [6].
The lockdown strategies have been enforced all over the world in order to prevent the COVID-19 infection from spreading even further. The lockdown have deleterious effect on various health programmes, increases domestic violence as well as creates economic problems in poor states and countries [9,10,11] On comparing the geographical locations and number of cases and deaths due to covid-19 this research study found coastal regions more favorable for the spread of covid-19 infections. It may be due to coastal climatic conditions , consumption of sea foods etc but the low rates of covid-19 cases and death in Islands who are also having access to sea foods points that sea food cannot be blamed for covid-19.
Vaccines are known to signi cantly prevent a COVID-19 infection and decrease morbidity-mortality but there are several factors and hindrance in running the vaccination programme in India and other countries such as frequent change and unavailability of vaccines, guidelines, policies, interdisciplinary con icts of medical sciences, mistrust, evil propaganda over Government data, lack of communication and health promotion in rural areas of India [12].
The present study aimed to investigate the impact of geographical locations on the total /average/maximum/ minimum con rmed cases and deaths from COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 36 states and union territories of India. The states and union territories of India are divided into different groups as per geographical locations of the states and union territories to understand the impact of covid-19 in states having Wuhan like coastal areas. Impact of climate change on the coastal states environment is of serious concern to India. The climate change is re ected in sea surface temperature and characteristics of tropical storms. The Frequency and intensity of cyclonic storms are increasing every year. Floods associated with heavy rainfall often paralyses and disrupts life in the coastal states and union territories. The climates of the Coastal states are mild, with hot summers and cool winters with few hard freezes. Precipitation is high, particularly along the coast; India's more than 7,500 square kilometers of coastline [13] are at high risk for impacts of climate change related to sea-level rise. Beyond displacement and migration along the eastern coast, sea-level rise and ooding lead to increased relocation in major coastal states.
Objective: My research aimed to assess the impact of geographical locations particularly coastal in uence on the total/average/maximum/minimum con rmed cases and deaths from COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 36 states and union territories of India, during COVID-19 pandemic from the beginning of pandemic cases in January 2020 in India with special focus on coastal states and union territories of India. The coast is also known popularly as the coastline or seashore is the area where land meets the sea or ocean, or as a line that forms the boundary between the land and the ocean. The term coastal state and union territories is used to refer to a state where interactions of sea and land of states occur. The study also aims to nd safest geographical location in covid-19 pandemic.

Materials And Methods
This is a novel cross-sectional mixed (quantitative and Qualitative) continuous observational research study. The information on the number of cases and deaths due to COVID-19 pandemic in 36 states and union territories of India was obtained from Health Department, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MoHFW), Government of India, and data were matched and analyzed from online websites as well. The impact of geographical locations on the total/average/maximum/minimum con rmed cases and deaths from COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 36 states and union territories of India was analyzed with Microsoft o ce and stata 15.1 for windows (64bit) will be used with Microsoft o ce in next version-3 of article if required for epidemiological comparison by calculating incidence, prevalence, mortality rate and other indicators. The study for global correlation of this research is also under process by the author. For the purpose of research India is divided into four geographical areas, 1 Coastal states and union territories (total ten in numbers), 2 Island groups (three in numbers), 3 north eastern states and east area i.e. Laddakh 4 other states and union territories having plain areas (14 in numbers).
The present observational study was conducted by the author during the period of December 2019 to 05 January 2022. The data on the trends in the incidence, prevalence and mortality due to COVID-19 outbreak in India were collected on daily basis from Health Department, as well as Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India also matched with online sources available in Google search and other database. The daily reports on COVID-19 published by the Health Department, as well as Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India through website, twitter etc. were care-fully reviewed and data were collected for analysis . Data of all the states and union territories of India have been collected and analyzed as well as calculation for incidence, prevalence and mortality will be done in version 2 of study. The data and calculations presented as table (see table 1 The geographical division I considered is states and union territories having sea-coast, island into one group, north eastern states having geographical similarities in one group and states having plain areas in one group as other states and union territories. The total number of cases and deaths in different geographical groups were added and mean was calculated separately for the four geographical divisions.
The collected data were properly recorded and analyzed for the different geographical locations because the pandemic has been changing numbers daily. I analyzed the impact of geographical locations on the total/average/maximum/minimum con rmed cases and deaths from COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 36 states and union territories of India since the beginning of the pandemic till 19/06/2021.

Source of Data:
The key data source is as mentioned below 1. https://www.mygov.in/corona-data/covid19-statewise-status/ 2. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/world/india-covid-3. https://main.mohfw.gov.in/ Statistical analysis: The data for the 36 states and union territories were recorded, calculated and analyzed with Microsoft o ce in this version 2(in next version 3 stata software will be utilized added with Microsoft for analysis), and the output-results were expressed in numbers presented in tables 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8, AND CHART 1,2,3 and 4. The total/average/maximum/minimum con rmed cases and deaths from COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 36 states and union territories of India were calculated. The average of total divided by number of states and union territories of respective group was calculated.

Results
The total number of laboratory con rmed cases and deaths in coastal states and union territories of India due to covid-2019 pandemic from the beginning of pandemic till 05 Jan 2022, 08:00 IST (GMT+5:30)) are presented in Table 1. The total number of laboratory con rmed cases and deaths in Islands group of India due to covid-2019 pandemic from the beginning of pandemic till 05 Jan 2022, 08:00 IST (GMT+5:30) are presented in Table 2. The total number of laboratory con rmed cases and deaths in north eastern states and Laddakh of India due to covid-2019 pandemic from the beginning of pandemic till 05 Jan 2022, 08:00 IST (GMT+5:30) are presented in Table 3. The total number of laboratory con rmed cases and deaths in other states and union territories of India due to covid-2019 pandemic from the beginning of pandemic till 05 Jan 2022, 08:00 IST (GMT+5:30) are presented in Table 4.
The impact of the geographical locations on the trends of covid-19 cases and deaths is presented in Tables 5, 6, 7, and 8. The comparison of total/average/maximum/minimum death of four geographical areas of India due to covid-19 pandemic presented in table 5 and chart 1, the ndings showed that total numbers of death from covid-19 is highest in coastal states and union territories with a count of 323674 since beginning of the pandemic whereas the islands group reported the lowest total numbers of death count 184 from covid-19. The average death from covid-19 is highest in coastal states and union territories group with a count of 32367.4 followed by other states and union territories group with a count of 10431. The islands group reported the lowest average numbers of death from covid-19 with a count of 61.33. A similar trend was found for numbers of con rmed cases with coastal states on top having largest number of covid-19 cases as shown in table number 6 and chart 2.
The comparison of total/average/maximum/minimum death per 100000 of four geographical areas of India due to covid-19 pandemic presented in table 7 and chart 3, the ndings showed that total numbers of death per 100000 from covid-19 is highest in coastal states and union territories with a count of 867/100000 since beginning of the pandemic whereas the islands group reported the lowest total numbers of death count 115/100000 from covid-19.
A similar trend was found for numbers of con rmed cases per 100000 with coastal states on top having largest number of covid-19 cases as shown in table number 8 and chart 4.       The average calculation shows that majority of these coronavirus con rmed cases, were reported during the period of observation from coastal states and union territories of India followed by other states and union territories, north eastern states and islands respectively. The maximum con rmed cases, were reported during the period of observation from coastal states and union territories of India followed by other states and union territories, north eastern states and islands respectively ( Table 6). The minimum con rmed cases, were reported during the period of observation from islands group of India ( Table 6).
The average calculation shows that majority of these coronavirus con rmed cases per100000, were reported during the period of observation from islands, followed by coastal states and union territories of India, north eastern states and other states and union territories, respectively. The maximum con rmed cases per 100000, were reported during the period of observation from islands, followed by coastal states and union territories of India, north eastern states and other states and union territories, respectively ( Table 8). The minimum con rmed cases per 100000, were reported during the period of observation from other states and union territories group of India (Table 8).
Regarding the impact of geographical location on the mortality of the COVID-19 outbreak in India, I found that during the period of observation majority of these coronavirus con rmed deaths, were reported from coastal states and union territories of India followed by other states and union territories, north eastern states and islands respectively (Table5). The maximum con rmed deaths from covid-19, were reported during the period of observation from coastal states and union territories of India followed by other states and union territories, north eastern states and islands respectively ( Table 5). The minimum con rmed deaths, were reported during the period of observation from islands group of India (Table 5).
Regarding the impact of geographical location on the mortality per 100000 of the COVID-19 outbreak in India, I found that during the period of observation majority of these coronavirus con rmed deaths per 100000, were reported from coastal states and union territories of India followed by other states and union territories, north eastern states and islands respectively (Table7). The maximum con rmed deaths per 100000 from covid-19, were reported during the period of observation from coastal states and union territories of India followed by other states and union territories, north eastern states and islands respectively ( Table 7). The average total Death per 100000 from covid-19 also followed a similar trend. The minimum con rmed deaths per 100000, were reported during the period of observation from islands group of India (Table 7).

Discussion
The COVID-19 pandemic is a subject of concern globally and major public health problem. The pandemic infected millions of people worldwide. The idea of association of geographical location with covid-19 came to authors mind while the author was posted on Adhaura hills (2020)  Through this article I recommend that along with other public health analysis and modeling, geographical analysis of the facts related to covid-19 should be done by world Health Organization and related highly esteemed and accredited bodies to nd out cause of origin of covid-19 and ways to prevent the SARS-CoV-2 infection from spreading to a large section of population causing increased morbidity and mortality as well as overburden on the health system. The author of this article is from LMICs having very poor resources and cannot bear the cost of such research as it will require lots of movement to different areas and research materials but agree to share ideas if any researcher or organization needs. The author is hopeful that this geographical analysis will help international organization to nd out some more details on covid-19. The author also hopes to nd out exact origin of covid article this limitation will be tried to be removed and more strength will be added with more analytic report using stata software.

Conclusions
My research shows that there is clear impact of geographical locations on the cases and deaths from COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 36 states and union territories of India. This observational research study is very much signi cant to assess the mean cases and mean mortality due to novel coronavirus SARS-COV 2. Compared to coastal states and union territories other states of India have a lesser number of con rmed cases and deaths due to covid-19 especially islands. More evidence is required and more research is needed to be done to nd out all the factors using tree model or some other models. The author is working on this article and this is second version of authors working paper series on this title and topic mentioned on page1. Kindly go through version 1 for clarity [14].
Declarations -This version of paper has not been previously published and is not currently under consideration by another journal. The document is Microsoft word with English (United States) language & 5631 words Total.
-Ethics approval and consent to participate: Not applicable. This study has not involved any human or animals in real or for experiments. The data on the COVID-19 pandemic were taken from the Health Department, and other organizations which are also available online, hence ethical approval was not required.
-Consent for publication: Not applicable -Availability of data and materials: The data & materials for study are mentioned in article and available as reference.
-Con icts of Interest/ Competing Interest: There are no con icts / competing of interest -Funding-Self sponsored. No aid taken from individual or agency etc. Comparison of total/average/maximum/minimum death of four geographical areas of India due to covid-19 pandemic