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wpgp/bottom-up-tutorial: v1.0.0

Édith Darin; Doug Leasure

The bottom-up-tutorial repo provides a series of material about Bayesian statistics for population modelling and hands-on experience . It includes example code and other resources designed to expedite the learning curve.

The key concepts that are covered in the tutorial series include:

  • Introduction to software for Bayesian statistical modelling: R and Stan,
  • Simple linear regression in a Bayesian context,
  • Random effects to account for settlement type (e.g. urban/rural) and other types of stratification in survey data,
  • Quantifying and mapping uncertainties in population estimates and
  • Diagnostics to evaluate model performance (e.g. cross-validation).

Suggested citation

Darin E, Leasure DR, Tatem AJ. 2021. Statistical population modelling for census support. WorldPop, University of Southampton

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