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MODELAGEM DO VENTO DIÁRIO EM PELOTAS, RS: RESULTADOS PRELIMINARES

BAPTISTA DA SILVA, Joaõ; BURGUEÑO, Luís Eduardo Torma; DE CAMARGO, Venice Meazza; RIBEIRO, Juliano Vieira


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    <dct:title>MODELAGEM DO VENTO DIÁRIO EM PELOTAS, RS: RESULTADOS PRELIMINARES</dct:title>
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    <dct:issued rdf:datatype="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#gYear">2020</dct:issued>
    <dcat:keyword>ventos, análise espectral, periodograma, autocorrelações</dcat:keyword>
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    <dct:description>&lt;p&gt;Estudou-se o comportamento dos ventos em Pelotas, Estado do Rio Grande do Sul, por meio da an&amp;aacute;lise harm&amp;ocirc;nica dos dados di&amp;aacute;rios. Foram utilizadas as m&amp;eacute;dias das velocidades m&amp;eacute;dias di&amp;aacute;rias, de 42 anos (1952/1993), registradas na Esta&amp;ccedil;&amp;atilde;o Agroclimatol&amp;oacute;gica de Pelotas. Os resultados preliminares das an&amp;aacute;lises realizadas indicaram duas ondas senoidais destacadas pelo periodograma e pela densidade espectral, a anual e a semestral. O modelo composto com estas duas ondas apresentou um &lt;em&gt;r&lt;/em&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;em&gt;2&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/sup&gt; de 0,79, representando de forma adequada a sazonalidade dos dados. A qualidade do ajuste do modelo aos dados observados foi verificada pela an&amp;aacute;lise dos res&amp;iacute;duos. As autocorrela&amp;ccedil;&amp;otilde;es dos res&amp;iacute;duos indicaram que pode-se aceitar o modelo como adequado para representar a variabilidade dos dados. Pelo modelo pode-se observar um m&amp;iacute;nimo localizado no outono e um m&amp;aacute;ximo na primavera. Sugere-se estudos mais aprofundados para comprovar esses resultados preliminares e assegurar o aproveitamento dessa importante fonte de energia.&lt;/p&gt;</dct:description>
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