Working paper Open Access

SHORT-TERM FORECAST OF THE ADEQUACY OF THE MONTENEGRIN POWER SYSTEM AS A RESULT OF THE CROSSBOW PROJECT

Biljana Ivanovic; Nina Damjanovic; Verica Martinovic

CROSSBOW is Horizon 2020 funded project and will propose the shared use of resources to foster cross-border management of variable renewable energies and storage units, enabling a transnational wholesale market. Montenegrin power system (CGES) has become a part of CROSSBOW consortium, which is composed of 24 members, recognized as end user of final project results, with intention to define requirements, validate and demonstrate the results. One of the results of the project, whose functionality will be presented in this paper, is a software solution that will help with coordination, interaction and exchange system reliability data between the transmission system operators in the region. The power system can be considered reliable if the conditions of adequacy and safety are fulfilled. Through this paper, the results of the probabilistic approach in the short-term forecast of the adequacy of the Montenegrin power system will be presented, also the ability of the system to meet the needs of consumption from domestic sources of electricity and imports from neighbouring systems.

 

Key words: short term forecast, adequacy, probabilistic approach

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