Journal article Open Access

A Possible Declining Trend for Worldwide Innovation

Huebner, Jonathan


DataCite XML Export

<?xml version='1.0' encoding='utf-8'?>
<resource xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns="http://datacite.org/schema/kernel-4" xsi:schemaLocation="http://datacite.org/schema/kernel-4 http://schema.datacite.org/meta/kernel-4.1/metadata.xsd">
  <identifier identifierType="URL">https://zenodo.org/record/1259385</identifier>
  <creators>
    <creator>
      <creatorName>Huebner, Jonathan</creatorName>
      <givenName>Jonathan</givenName>
      <familyName>Huebner</familyName>
    </creator>
  </creators>
  <titles>
    <title>A Possible Declining Trend for Worldwide Innovation</title>
  </titles>
  <publisher>Zenodo</publisher>
  <publicationYear>2005</publicationYear>
  <dates>
    <date dateType="Issued">2005-10-01</date>
  </dates>
  <resourceType resourceTypeGeneral="Text">Journal article</resourceType>
  <alternateIdentifiers>
    <alternateIdentifier alternateIdentifierType="url">https://zenodo.org/record/1259385</alternateIdentifier>
  </alternateIdentifiers>
  <relatedIdentifiers>
    <relatedIdentifier relatedIdentifierType="DOI" relationType="IsIdenticalTo">10.1016/j.techfore.2005.01.003</relatedIdentifier>
  </relatedIdentifiers>
  <rightsList>
    <rights rightsURI="https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/legalcode">Creative Commons Zero v1.0 Universal</rights>
    <rights rightsURI="info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess">Open Access</rights>
  </rightsList>
  <descriptions>
    <description descriptionType="Abstract">A comparison is made between a model of technology in which the level of technology advances exponentially without limit and a model with an economic limit. The model with an economic limit best fits data obtained from lists of events in the history of science and technology as well as the patent history in the United States. The rate of innovation peaked in the year 1873 and is now rapidly declining. We are at an estimated 85% of the economic limit of technology, and it is projected that we will reach 90% in 2018 and 95% in 2038.</description>
  </descriptions>
</resource>
490
366
views
downloads
Views 490
Downloads 366
Data volume 36.5 MB
Unique views 476
Unique downloads 334

Share

Cite as