Published January 20, 2013 | Version 5216
Journal article Open

Parametric Modeling Approach for Call Holding Times for IP based Public Safety Networks via EM Algorithm

Description

This paper presents parametric probability density models for call holding times (CHTs) into emergency call center based on the actual data collected for over a week in the public Emergency Information Network (EIN) in Mongolia. When the set of chosen candidates of Gamma distribution family is fitted to the call holding time data, it is observed that the whole area in the CHT empirical histogram is underestimated due to spikes of higher probability and long tails of lower probability in the histogram. Therefore, we provide the Gaussian parametric model of a mixture of lognormal distributions with explicit analytical expressions for the modeling of CHTs of PSNs. Finally, we show that the CHTs for PSNs are fitted reasonably by a mixture of lognormal distributions via the simulation of expectation maximization algorithm. This result is significant as it expresses a useful mathematical tool in an explicit manner of a mixture of lognormal distributions.

Files

5216.pdf

Files (425.4 kB)

Name Size Download all
md5:c6ceb7af17b202bcc9571841bab520d2
425.4 kB Preview Download

Additional details

References

  • A. M. Law, W. D. Kelton, Simulation Modeling and Analysis, New York: McGraw-Hill, 1991.
  • Al. Ajarmeh, J. Yu, M. Amezziane, "Framework for Modeling Call Holding Time for VoIP Tandem Networks: Introducing the Call Cease Rate Function," in Proc. GLOBECOM 2011, Chicago, IL, USA, 5-9 Dec. 2011, pp. 1- 6.
  • F. Barcelo, J. Jordan, "Channel Holding Time Distribution in Cellular Telephony," Elect. Letter, vol. 34, no. 2, pp.146-147, 1998.
  • V. A. Bolotin, "Modeling call holding time distributions for CCS network design and performance analysis," IEEE J. Select. Areas Commun., vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 433-438, 1994.
  • W-E Chen, H. Hung, Y. Lin, "Modeling VoIP Call Holding Times for Telecom," IEEE Network, vol. 21, no. 6, pp. 22-28, 2007.
  • Y. Fang and I. Chlamtic, "Teletraffic Analysis and Mobility Modeling of the PCS networks," IEEE Trans. on Communications, vol. 47, no.7, July 1999.
  • C. Jedrzycky, V. C. M. Leung, "Probability distribution of channel holding time in cellular telephony system," in Proc. IEEE Vech. Technol. Conf., Atlanta, GA, May. 1996, pp. 247-251.
  • J. Jordan, F. Barcelo, "Statistical of Channel Occupancy in Trunked PAMR systems," Teletraffic Contributions for the Information Age (ITC-15), Elsevier Science, pp. 1169-1178, 1997.
  • D. Sharp, N. Cackov., and L.Trajkovic, "Analysis of Public Safety Traffic on Trunked Land Mobile Radio Systems," IEEE J. Select. Areas Commun., vol. 22, no.7, pp. 1197-1202, 2004. [10] F. Barcel├▓, J. Jordan, "Channel Holding Time Distribution in Public Telephony System (PAMR and PCS)," IEEE Transaction on Vechular Technology, vol. 49, no.5, pp.1615-1625, 2000. [11] B. Vujicic, H. Chen, and Lj. Trajkovic, "Prediction of traffic in a public safety network," in Proc. IEEE Int. Symp. Circuits and Systems, Kos, Greece, May 2006, pp. 2637-2640. [12] E. Chelbus, "Empirical validation of call holding time distribution in cellular communication systems," Teletraffic Contributions of the Information Age, Elsevier Science, pp.1179 -1189, 1997. [13] L. Brown, N. Gans., and L. Zhao, "Statistical Analysis of a Telephone Call Center: A Queueing - Science Perspective," Journal of the American Statistical Association, vol. 100, no. 469, March. 2005. [14] Dempster AP, Laird NM, Rubin DB, "Maximum Likelihood from Incomplete Data Via the EM Algorithm," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, no. 39. vol.1, pp.1-38, 1977. [15] T. Benaglia, D. Chauveau, DR. Hunter, and DS. Young, "Mixtools: An R package for analyzing finite mixture models," Journal of Statistical Software, vol. 32, no. 6, pp.1-29, 2009. [16] G. J. McLachlan, T. Krishnan, The EM Algorithm and Extensions, 2nd ed, John Wiley and Sons, New York, 2008. [17] I. Tang, X. Wei, "Existence of maximum likelihood estimation for Three-parameter lognormal Distribution, reliability and safety," in Proc. 8th International Conference ICRMS, 20-24 July, 2009. [18] L. Eckhard, A. Werner, A. Markus, "Log-normal Distributions across the Sciences: Keys and Clues," BioScience, vol. 51, no. 5, pp. 341-351, May. 2001. [19] R. Vernic, S. Teodorescu, E. Pelican, "Two Lognormal Models for Real Data," Annals of Ovidius University, Series Mathematics, vol. 17, no. 3, pp. 263-277, 2009. [20] J.A.Bilmes, "A Gentle Tutorial of the EM Algorithm and its Application to Parameter Estimation for Gaussian Mixture and Hidden Markov Models," International Computer Science Institute, Berkeley, California, April, 1998.