\begin{table} \begin{center} \begin{tabular}{l c c c c c c c c c c c c c c c} \hline & Model 1 & Model 2 & Model 3 & Model 4 & Model 5 & Model 6 & Model 7 & Model 8 & Model 9 & Model 10 & Model 11 & Model 12 & Model 13 & Model 14 & Model 15 \\ \hline (Intercept) & $-1.03$ & $-6.17^{**}$ & $-2.23$ & $-0.36$ & $-7.70^{**}$ & $-5.95^{*}$ & $-3.83$ & $-0.78$ & $-2.25$ & $-4.28$ & $-7.47^{**}$ & $-3.82$ & $0.81$ & $-0.82$ & $-2.19$ \\ & $(1.60)$ & $(2.33)$ & $(2.16)$ & $(2.12)$ & $(2.82)$ & $(2.32)$ & $(2.18)$ & $(2.18)$ & $(2.17)$ & $(2.26)$ & $(2.79)$ & $(2.12)$ & $(2.07)$ & $(2.08)$ & $(2.06)$ \\ Co-optation & $-5.44^{***}$ & $-3.63^{*}$ & $-6.53^{***}$ & $-6.88^{***}$ & $-2.27$ & $-3.75^{*}$ & $-3.99^{*}$ & $-6.64^{***}$ & $-6.47^{***}$ & $-3.75^{*}$ & $-2.40$ & $-4.42^{*}$ & $-7.06^{***}$ & $-6.68^{***}$ & $-4.78^{**}$ \\ & $(1.37)$ & $(1.77)$ & $(1.84)$ & $(1.84)$ & $(2.18)$ & $(1.78)$ & $(1.70)$ & $(1.85)$ & $(1.85)$ & $(1.73)$ & $(2.16)$ & $(1.74)$ & $(1.81)$ & $(1.82)$ & $(1.69)$ \\ Debt crisis & $-0.77$ & $-0.76$ & $-0.89^{*}$ & $-1.01^{*}$ & $-0.77$ & $-0.75$ & $-0.91^{*}$ & $-1.03^{*}$ & $-0.89^{*}$ & $-0.93^{*}$ & $-0.75$ & $-0.80$ & $-1.08^{**}$ & $-0.89^{*}$ & $-0.97^{*}$ \\ & $(0.40)$ & $(0.44)$ & $(0.42)$ & $(0.42)$ & $(0.44)$ & $(0.44)$ & $(0.43)$ & $(0.42)$ & $(0.42)$ & $(0.43)$ & $(0.44)$ & $(0.42)$ & $(0.41)$ & $(0.41)$ & $(0.43)$ \\ Freedom from killing & & $0.52$ & & & $0.52$ & $0.50$ & $0.36$ & & & $0.34$ & $0.51$ & $0.43$ & & & $0.37$ \\ & & $(0.35)$ & & & $(0.35)$ & $(0.35)$ & $(0.33)$ & & & $(0.33)$ & $(0.35)$ & $(0.33)$ & & & $(0.32)$ \\ Support group size & & $0.74^{*}$ & $0.73^{*}$ & $0.74^{*}$ & $0.67^{*}$ & $0.73^{*}$ & $0.65^{*}$ & $0.74^{*}$ & $0.73^{*}$ & $0.67^{*}$ & $0.65^{*}$ & & & & \\ & & $(0.31)$ & $(0.30)$ & $(0.32)$ & $(0.32)$ & $(0.31)$ & $(0.32)$ & $(0.31)$ & $(0.30)$ & $(0.31)$ & $(0.32)$ & & & & \\ Pro-autocracy mobilization & & $-0.91^{**}$ & $-0.89^{**}$ & & $-0.88^{**}$ & $-0.94^{*}$ & & & $-0.85^{*}$ & & $-0.93^{*}$ & $-0.75^{*}$ & & $-0.81^{*}$ & \\ & & $(0.33)$ & $(0.32)$ & & $(0.33)$ & $(0.38)$ & & & $(0.37)$ & & $(0.38)$ & $(0.32)$ & & $(0.32)$ & \\ Opposition Autonomy & & $-0.32$ & $-0.20$ & $-0.06$ & $-0.36$ & $-0.33$ & $-0.22$ & $-0.06$ & $-0.19$ & $-0.21$ & $-0.38$ & $-0.20$ & $0.08$ & $0.00$ & $-0.17$ \\ & & $(0.40)$ & $(0.34)$ & $(0.34)$ & $(0.40)$ & $(0.39)$ & $(0.36)$ & $(0.34)$ & $(0.34)$ & $(0.36)$ & $(0.40)$ & $(0.37)$ & $(0.34)$ & $(0.34)$ & $(0.35)$ \\ Regime duration & & $-0.15$ & $0.00$ & $0.01$ & $-0.20$ & $-0.16$ & $-0.15$ & $0.00$ & $-0.00$ & $-0.15$ & $-0.21$ & $-0.31$ & $-0.17$ & $-0.19$ & $-0.30$ \\ & & $(0.27)$ & $(0.26)$ & $(0.26)$ & $(0.28)$ & $(0.27)$ & $(0.27)$ & $(0.26)$ & $(0.26)$ & $(0.27)$ & $(0.28)$ & $(0.26)$ & $(0.25)$ & $(0.25)$ & $(0.26)$ \\ State ownership & & $0.74^{*}$ & $0.74^{*}$ & $0.65^{*}$ & $0.75^{*}$ & $0.71^{*}$ & $0.63$ & $0.71^{*}$ & $0.74^{*}$ & $0.69$ & $0.71^{*}$ & $0.47$ & $0.47$ & $0.50$ & $0.44$ \\ & & $(0.35)$ & $(0.33)$ & $(0.33)$ & $(0.35)$ & $(0.36)$ & $(0.34)$ & $(0.34)$ & $(0.34)$ & $(0.36)$ & $(0.36)$ & $(0.35)$ & $(0.34)$ & $(0.34)$ & $(0.35)$ \\ Freedom from torture & & & $-0.69$ & $-0.82^{*}$ & & & & $-0.83^{*}$ & $-0.70$ & & & & $-0.68$ & $-0.63$ & \\ & & & $(0.36)$ & $(0.37)$ & & & & $(0.37)$ & $(0.36)$ & & & & $(0.35)$ & $(0.35)$ & \\ Pro-democracy mobilization & & & & $-0.46^{*}$ & & & $-0.37^{*}$ & $-0.40^{*}$ & & $-0.32$ & & & $-0.43^{*}$ & & $-0.37^{*}$ \\ & & & & $(0.19)$ & & & $(0.19)$ & $(0.20)$ & & $(0.20)$ & & & $(0.18)$ & & $(0.18)$ \\ Polyarchy & & & & & $2.11$ & & & & & & $2.19$ & & & & \\ & & & & & $(2.61)$ & & & & & & $(2.62)$ & & & & \\ Polarization & & & & & & $0.05$ & & $-0.19$ & $-0.05$ & $-0.18$ & $0.10$ & & & & \\ & & & & & & $(0.32)$ & & $(0.28)$ & $(0.30)$ & $(0.29)$ & $(0.32)$ & & & & \\ Opposition group size & & & & & & & & & & & & $0.17$ & $0.18$ & $0.10$ & $0.26$ \\ & & & & & & & & & & & & $(0.32)$ & $(0.31)$ & $(0.32)$ & $(0.31)$ \\ \hline Fixed Effects & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes \\ Lagged DV & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes \\ AIC & $434.98$ & $435.91$ & $436.91$ & $437.34$ & $437.95$ & $438.72$ & $438.76$ & $439.41$ & $439.44$ & $440.77$ & $440.84$ & $442.08$ & $442.24$ & $442.50$ & $442.81$ \\ BIC & $873.20$ & $907.84$ & $908.84$ & $909.27$ & $915.50$ & $916.27$ & $910.70$ & $916.96$ & $916.99$ & $918.32$ & $924.00$ & $914.01$ & $914.17$ & $914.43$ & $914.75$ \\ Log Likelihood & $-139.49$ & $-133.95$ & $-134.45$ & $-134.67$ & $-133.97$ & $-134.36$ & $-135.38$ & $-134.70$ & $-134.72$ & $-135.38$ & $-134.42$ & $-137.04$ & $-137.12$ & $-137.25$ & $-137.41$ \\ Deviance & $278.98$ & $267.91$ & $268.91$ & $269.34$ & $267.95$ & $268.72$ & $270.76$ & $269.41$ & $269.44$ & $270.77$ & $268.84$ & $274.08$ & $274.24$ & $274.50$ & $274.81$ \\ Num. obs. & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ \\ \hline \multicolumn{16}{l}{\scriptsize{$^{***}p<0.001$; $^{**}p<0.01$; $^{*}p<0.05$}} \end{tabular} \caption{Statistical models} \label{table:coefficients} \end{center} \end{table}