\begin{table} \begin{center} \begin{tabular}{l c c c c c c c c c c c c c c c} \hline & Model 1 & Model 2 & Model 3 & Model 4 & Model 5 & Model 6 & Model 7 & Model 8 & Model 9 & Model 10 & Model 11 & Model 12 & Model 13 & Model 14 & Model 15 \\ \hline (Intercept) & $-4.052^{**}$ & $-4.201^{**}$ & $-4.264^{**}$ & $-4.080^{**}$ & $-6.235^{***}$ & $-6.094^{***}$ & $-4.996^{***}$ & $-3.753^{**}$ & $-6.120^{***}$ & $-3.788^{**}$ & $-4.963^{***}$ & $-3.607^{**}$ & $-3.703^{**}$ & $-5.788^{***}$ & $-5.284^{***}$ \\ & $(1.387)$ & $(1.370)$ & $(1.380)$ & $(1.391)$ & $(1.581)$ & $(1.570)$ & $(1.485)$ & $(1.399)$ & $(1.550)$ & $(1.411)$ & $(1.474)$ & $(1.384)$ & $(1.397)$ & $(1.487)$ & $(1.481)$ \\ Co-optation & $-0.169$ & $-0.173$ & $-0.169$ & $-0.163$ & $0.319$ & $0.325$ & $0.178$ & $-0.049$ & $0.219$ & $-0.024$ & $0.197$ & $-0.059$ & $-0.031$ & $0.409$ & $0.133$ \\ & $(0.263)$ & $(0.271)$ & $(0.270)$ & $(0.261)$ & $(0.279)$ & $(0.279)$ & $(0.277)$ & $(0.263)$ & $(0.287)$ & $(0.270)$ & $(0.277)$ & $(0.261)$ & $(0.268)$ & $(0.283)$ & $(0.285)$ \\ Debt crisis & $-0.355$ & $-0.165$ & $-0.200$ & $-0.368$ & $-0.025$ & $-0.039$ & $-0.081$ & $-0.189$ & $0.011$ & $0.045$ & $-0.078$ & $-0.190$ & $0.055$ & $0.099$ & $-0.048$ \\ & $(0.394)$ & $(0.386)$ & $(0.386)$ & $(0.393)$ & $(0.390)$ & $(0.390)$ & $(0.387)$ & $(0.391)$ & $(0.381)$ & $(0.379)$ & $(0.385)$ & $(0.390)$ & $(0.378)$ & $(0.378)$ & $(0.377)$ \\ Freedom from killing & $-0.412$ & & & $-0.410$ & $-0.499$ & $-0.503$ & $-0.530^{*}$ & $-0.465$ & & & $-0.535^{*}$ & $-0.460$ & & & \\ & $(0.256)$ & & & $(0.256)$ & $(0.261)$ & $(0.258)$ & $(0.258)$ & $(0.256)$ & & & $(0.254)$ & $(0.254)$ & & & \\ Opposition group size & $1.047^{***}$ & $1.037^{**}$ & $1.105^{***}$ & $1.066^{**}$ & & & & & $1.179^{***}$ & & & & & $0.797^{**}$ & $1.150^{***}$ \\ & $(0.313)$ & $(0.318)$ & $(0.332)$ & $(0.325)$ & & & & & $(0.340)$ & & & & & $(0.300)$ & $(0.337)$ \\ Pro-autocracy mobilization & $-1.423^{***}$ & $-1.321^{***}$ & $-1.211^{***}$ & $-1.381^{***}$ & $-1.084^{***}$ & $-1.280^{***}$ & $-0.990^{***}$ & $-1.124^{***}$ & & $-1.025^{***}$ & $-1.197^{***}$ & $-1.261^{***}$ & $-1.125^{***}$ & & \\ & $(0.281)$ & $(0.282)$ & $(0.324)$ & $(0.320)$ & $(0.274)$ & $(0.316)$ & $(0.264)$ & $(0.261)$ & & $(0.264)$ & $(0.307)$ & $(0.307)$ & $(0.312)$ & & \\ Opposition autonomy & $0.239$ & $0.092$ & $0.093$ & $0.239$ & $-0.577$ & $-0.601$ & $-0.478$ & $-0.136$ & $-0.471$ & $-0.220$ & $-0.515$ & $-0.120$ & $-0.206$ & $-0.552$ & $-0.381$ \\ & $(0.292)$ & $(0.299)$ & $(0.299)$ & $(0.292)$ & $(0.325)$ & $(0.327)$ & $(0.324)$ & $(0.289)$ & $(0.331)$ & $(0.297)$ & $(0.326)$ & $(0.287)$ & $(0.294)$ & $(0.326)$ & $(0.328)$ \\ Regime duration & $0.143$ & $0.042$ & $0.018$ & $0.139$ & $0.209$ & $0.216$ & $0.156$ & $0.273$ & $-0.234$ & $0.143$ & $0.167$ & $0.290$ & $0.163$ & $-0.111$ & $-0.255$ \\ & $(0.244)$ & $(0.250)$ & $(0.254)$ & $(0.244)$ & $(0.256)$ & $(0.253)$ & $(0.258)$ & $(0.249)$ & $(0.272)$ & $(0.252)$ & $(0.255)$ & $(0.246)$ & $(0.250)$ & $(0.261)$ & $(0.270)$ \\ State ownership of economy & $1.301^{***}$ & $1.222^{***}$ & $1.218^{***}$ & $1.289^{***}$ & $1.359^{***}$ & $1.314^{***}$ & $1.605^{***}$ & $1.578^{***}$ & $1.230^{***}$ & $1.421^{***}$ & $1.564^{***}$ & $1.545^{***}$ & $1.388^{***}$ & $1.082^{**}$ & $1.341^{***}$ \\ & $(0.359)$ & $(0.358)$ & $(0.355)$ & $(0.357)$ & $(0.375)$ & $(0.377)$ & $(0.370)$ & $(0.370)$ & $(0.369)$ & $(0.361)$ & $(0.372)$ & $(0.370)$ & $(0.361)$ & $(0.365)$ & $(0.358)$ \\ Judicial constraints & $-0.221$ & $-2.112$ & $-2.189$ & $-0.197$ & $-2.099$ & $-2.257$ & $-1.400$ & $-0.280$ & $-3.585$ & $-2.325$ & $-1.668$ & $-0.303$ & $-2.223$ & $-3.166$ & $-3.398$ \\ & $(1.748)$ & $(1.832)$ & $(1.849)$ & $(1.747)$ & $(1.882)$ & $(1.870)$ & $(1.822)$ & $(1.739)$ & $(1.941)$ & $(1.798)$ & $(1.800)$ & $(1.718)$ & $(1.792)$ & $(1.876)$ & $(1.849)$ \\ Freedom from torture & & $0.442$ & $0.473$ & & & & & & $0.544$ & $0.475$ & & & $0.453$ & $0.457$ & $0.577$ \\ & & $(0.317)$ & $(0.317)$ & & & & & & $(0.321)$ & $(0.312)$ & & & $(0.312)$ & $(0.319)$ & $(0.320)$ \\ Polarization & & & $-0.176$ & $-0.063$ & & $0.360$ & & & $-0.666^{*}$ & & $0.375$ & $0.234$ & $0.162$ & & $-0.640^{*}$ \\ & & & $(0.283)$ & $(0.282)$ & & $(0.290)$ & & & $(0.264)$ & & $(0.279)$ & $(0.272)$ & $(0.270)$ & & $(0.258)$ \\ Support group size & & & & & $0.017$ & $-0.025$ & $0.087$ & $0.197$ & & $0.070$ & $0.051$ & $0.181$ & $0.054$ & & \\ & & & & & $(0.292)$ & $(0.293)$ & $(0.284)$ & $(0.272)$ & & $(0.279)$ & $(0.285)$ & $(0.271)$ & $(0.277)$ & & \\ Polyarchy & & & & & $3.485$ & $4.359$ & $5.250^{*}$ & & $5.320$ & & $6.123^{*}$ & & & $6.812^{*}$ & $5.759^{*}$ \\ & & & & & $(2.602)$ & $(2.732)$ & $(2.449)$ & & $(2.811)$ & & $(2.563)$ & & & $(2.897)$ & $(2.527)$ \\ Legislative constraints & & & & & $3.028$ & $2.846$ & & & $1.487$ & & & & & $1.174$ & \\ & & & & & $(1.581)$ & $(1.581)$ & & & $(1.594)$ & & & & & $(1.559)$ & \\ Pro-democracy mobilization & & & & & & & & & $-0.202$ & & & & & $-0.369^{*}$ & $-0.179$ \\ & & & & & & & & & $(0.178)$ & & & & & $(0.169)$ & $(0.176)$ \\ \hline Fixed Effects & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes \\ Lagged DV & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes \\ AIC & $482.968$ & $483.145$ & $485.194$ & $485.384$ & $485.572$ & $487.238$ & $489.944$ & $490.106$ & $490.497$ & $490.650$ & $491.519$ & $492.364$ & $493.108$ & $493.473$ & $494.316$ \\ BIC & $960.519$ & $960.697$ & $968.364$ & $968.553$ & $973.328$ & $980.600$ & $973.114$ & $967.658$ & $983.859$ & $968.201$ & $980.307$ & $975.534$ & $976.277$ & $981.228$ & $983.104$ \\ Log Likelihood & $-156.484$ & $-156.573$ & $-156.597$ & $-156.692$ & $-155.786$ & $-155.619$ & $-158.972$ & $-160.053$ & $-157.249$ & $-160.325$ & $-158.760$ & $-160.182$ & $-160.554$ & $-159.736$ & $-160.158$ \\ Deviance & $312.968$ & $313.145$ & $313.194$ & $313.384$ & $311.572$ & $311.238$ & $317.944$ & $320.106$ & $314.497$ & $320.650$ & $317.519$ & $320.364$ & $321.108$ & $319.473$ & $320.316$ \\ Num. obs. & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2011$ & $2011$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2011$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2035$ & $2011$ & $2035$ \\ \hline \multicolumn{16}{l}{\scriptsize{$^{***}p<0.001$; $^{**}p<0.01$; $^{*}p<0.05$}} \end{tabular} \caption{Statistical models} \label{table:coefficients} \end{center} \end{table}