\begin{table} \begin{center} \begin{tabular}{l c c c c c c c c} \hline & \multicolumn{4}{c}{Opposition} & \multicolumn{4}{c}{Support} \\ \cline{2-5} \cline{6-9} & Model 1 & Model 2 & Model 3 & Model 4 & Model 5 & Model 6 & Model 7 & Model 8 \\ \hline (Intercept) & $-3.92^{*}$ & $-5.04^{**}$ & $-6.96^{***}$ & $-7.21^{***}$ & $-1.49$ & $-2.22$ & $-1.83$ & $-1.81$ \\ & $(1.76)$ & $(1.83)$ & $(2.00)$ & $(2.00)$ & $(1.75)$ & $(1.85)$ & $(1.76)$ & $(1.85)$ \\ Lagged Business Opp. & $3.65^{***}$ & $3.57^{***}$ & $3.76^{***}$ & $3.69^{***}$ & & & & \\ & $(0.35)$ & $(0.35)$ & $(0.35)$ & $(0.35)$ & & & & \\ Co-optation & $-1.14^{***}$ & $-1.03^{**}$ & $-1.03^{**}$ & $-0.95^{**}$ & $1.01^{***}$ & $1.16^{***}$ & $1.00^{***}$ & $1.13^{***}$ \\ & $(0.32)$ & $(0.32)$ & $(0.33)$ & $(0.33)$ & $(0.24)$ & $(0.25)$ & $(0.24)$ & $(0.25)$ \\ Debt crisis & $-0.82^{*}$ & $-0.89^{*}$ & $-0.57$ & $-0.64$ & $0.13$ & $0.24$ & $0.07$ & $0.20$ \\ & $(0.41)$ & $(0.41)$ & $(0.43)$ & $(0.43)$ & $(0.30)$ & $(0.31)$ & $(0.30)$ & $(0.32)$ \\ Freedom from torture & $-0.34$ & $-0.63$ & & & $-0.11$ & $-0.34$ & & \\ & $(0.35)$ & $(0.37)$ & & & $(0.24)$ & $(0.26)$ & & \\ State ownership & $0.70^{*}$ & $0.52$ & $0.85^{*}$ & $0.80^{*}$ & $1.21^{***}$ & $1.12^{***}$ & $1.36^{***}$ & $1.38^{***}$ \\ & $(0.36)$ & $(0.36)$ & $(0.37)$ & $(0.38)$ & $(0.30)$ & $(0.32)$ & $(0.31)$ & $(0.34)$ \\ Pro-democracy mobilization & $-0.21$ & $-0.23$ & & & $-0.15$ & $-0.05$ & & \\ & $(0.20)$ & $(0.20)$ & & & $(0.16)$ & $(0.16)$ & & \\ Polarization & $-0.55$ & $-0.34$ & $-0.38$ & $-0.27$ & $-0.85^{***}$ & $-0.87^{***}$ & $-0.85^{**}$ & $-0.83^{**}$ \\ & $(0.30)$ & $(0.29)$ & $(0.34)$ & $(0.34)$ & $(0.25)$ & $(0.26)$ & $(0.27)$ & $(0.29)$ \\ Judicial constraints & $1.33$ & $-1.20$ & $-0.20$ & $-1.90$ & $-0.21$ & $-0.69$ & $0.05$ & $-0.80$ \\ & $(1.61)$ & $(1.95)$ & $(1.65)$ & $(2.06)$ & $(1.36)$ & $(1.51)$ & $(1.28)$ & $(1.49)$ \\ Opposition Autonomy & $0.27$ & $-0.04$ & $-0.17$ & $-0.34$ & $-0.15$ & $-0.57^{*}$ & $-0.09$ & $-0.39$ \\ & $(0.35)$ & $(0.37)$ & $(0.39)$ & $(0.41)$ & $(0.26)$ & $(0.29)$ & $(0.26)$ & $(0.28)$ \\ Opposition group size & $0.06$ & $0.26$ & & & $0.03$ & $0.20$ & & \\ & $(0.31)$ & $(0.32)$ & & & $(0.21)$ & $(0.22)$ & & \\ Regime duration & $-0.37$ & $-0.38$ & $-0.35$ & $-0.41$ & $0.52^{*}$ & $0.44^{*}$ & $0.53^{*}$ & $0.45^{*}$ \\ & $(0.26)$ & $(0.26)$ & $(0.28)$ & $(0.28)$ & $(0.21)$ & $(0.21)$ & $(0.21)$ & $(0.21)$ \\ Legislative constraints & & $1.60$ & & $0.65$ & & $-1.35$ & & $-1.45$ \\ & & $(1.79)$ & & $(1.88)$ & & $(1.38)$ & & $(1.38)$ \\ Polyarchy & & $5.11$ & & $3.32$ & & $5.81^{**}$ & & $5.58^{**}$ \\ & & $(2.73)$ & & $(2.85)$ & & $(1.94)$ & & $(1.94)$ \\ Freedom from killing & & & $0.62$ & $0.53$ & & & $-0.36$ & $-0.41$ \\ & & & $(0.34)$ & $(0.35)$ & & & $(0.23)$ & $(0.24)$ \\ Pro-autocracy mobilization & & & $-0.79^{*}$ & $-0.77^{*}$ & & & $-0.30$ & $-0.24$ \\ & & & $(0.38)$ & $(0.38)$ & & & $(0.26)$ & $(0.28)$ \\ Support group size & & & $0.61$ & $0.45$ & & & $0.03$ & $-0.25$ \\ & & & $(0.33)$ & $(0.34)$ & & & $(0.21)$ & $(0.23)$ \\ Lagged Business Sup. & & & & & $3.00^{***}$ & $3.00^{***}$ & $3.00^{***}$ & $2.98^{***}$ \\ & & & & & $(0.23)$ & $(0.24)$ & $(0.23)$ & $(0.23)$ \\ \hline Fixed Effects & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes \\ AIC & $445.14$ & $445.57$ & $437.22$ & $440.81$ & $704.99$ & $694.78$ & $702.66$ & $692.51$ \\ BIC & $928.31$ & $938.93$ & $920.39$ & $934.17$ & $1188.16$ & $1188.14$ & $1185.83$ & $1185.88$ \\ Log Likelihood & $-136.57$ & $-134.78$ & $-132.61$ & $-132.40$ & $-266.49$ & $-259.39$ & $-265.33$ & $-258.26$ \\ Deviance & $273.14$ & $269.57$ & $265.22$ & $264.81$ & $532.99$ & $518.78$ & $530.66$ & $516.51$ \\ Num. obs. & $2035$ & $2011$ & $2035$ & $2011$ & $2035$ & $2011$ & $2035$ & $2011$ \\ \hline \multicolumn{9}{l}{\scriptsize{$^{***}p<0.001$; $^{**}p<0.01$; $^{*}p<0.05$}} \end{tabular} \caption{Statistical models} \label{table:coefficients} \end{center} \end{table}